神话 唯一 Bruce

Gold in One Night Falls Below 4,500; Silver Plunges 4%; “Interest-Free Assets” Get Beaten Up Together

Last night, it wasn’t just the crypto market that got smashed by Woosh’s broadside—gold and silver went down too.

Spot gold closed down 2.95% to $4,453.67 per ounce, breaking directly below the 4,500 level and marking its worst single-day performance since early June. Even worse was the intraday move: gold was up nearly 1% at one point. After Woosh took the stage, it suddenly dumped—classic “catching the falling knife” action at high levels.

Silver was even harsher. It crashed 4.16%, closing at $66.33 per ounce. Earlier it had still been up more than 2%—in just over an hour, it gave it all back.

Why did gold—“the king of safe havens”—crack? Because last night’s hawkishness from Woosh was textbook-level. Bloomberg calculations: measured by the immediate increase in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield, it was the most hawkish Jackson Hole speech since 2009—more aggressive than the two remarks from Powell in 2022 and 2023. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.356%, a one-month high. The 30-year yield moved back above 5.2%, the highest level since 2007. The U.S. dollar index rose 0.5%.

The logic is simple: gold doesn’t pay interest—when interest rates are higher, the opportunity cost of holding gold rises. One level deeper: this round of gold’s rally was driven by a “depreciation trade” fueled by the surge in “U.S. Treasury holdings above $40 trillion plus the Treasury’s buyback/repurchase program,” with the market betting that the Fed would coordinate with the Treasury to suppress yields and, in effect, ease policy. The result: Woosh stated directly that financial conditions are not tight, and that he mainly manages prices. The core assumption behind the depreciation trade was immediately disproven.

Gold and Bitcoin fell together last night—that was the signal: the market shifted from “betting on currency depreciation” to “betting on Fed rate hikes.”

Can the “safe-haven” story of gold still be told? Or is this round’s real safe haven only cash and short-term Treasuries?
#1688家族family
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📢 Bloomberg Chief Economist: Next week’s Nonfarm Payrolls data may be weak, and the probability of Fed rate hikes may decline

Hua Jian Kong Quick News: On August 29, Bloomberg Chief Economist Anna Wong said in an analysis that the upcoming U.S. nonfarm payrolls report next week carries risks of weakening, and there is even a possibility of recording negative employment growth. This data will directly influence the Fed’s subsequent monetary policy stance.

She noted that, looking back at the policy history of the modern Federal Reserve, there has not been an example of initiating rate hikes in a backdrop of consecutive two periods of negative nonfarm employment growth. If employment continues to cool, market expectations for the Fed to tighten monetary policy would likely fall noticeably.

Employment is the key benchmark the Fed uses to weigh interest rates. Weak nonfarm data may dampen expectations for U.S. Treasuries and a stronger U.S. dollar, indirectly providing sentiment support for risk assets. However, it’s also important to remember that inflation data remains an important constraint; it does not necessarily mean a shift toward easing. The market still needs to wait for the data to be released and validated.#美联储9月加息概率升至57%

⚠️ Information sharing only and does not constitute investment advice.

Call me “mom” 😂

🌤️On Sunday afternoon, slow down and have a real conversation with the market🍃。

You don’t have to constantly watch the screen. Knowing how to leave space is also a required lesson in investing📊。
Let go of the noisy restlessness from the outside, and return to your own understanding and rhythm🕊️。
Don’t chase illusory get-rich-quick stories. Hold on to your true intentions and wait calmly for the cycle to bloom✨。
Settle your thoughts, clarify your thinking, and face the market game of the new week with composure💎。
Wishing fellow travelers a steadfast heart and all things go smoothly[爱心].#首笔抗量子比特币交易主网完成
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#1688家族family

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Which coin chart is this?

See the four key points raised at CZ’s Hong Kong meeting this time
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At night is suitable for reflection, and also for simply letting your mind rest. May all your worries settle into calm 🌃$币安人生

Bear market layout, bull market realization. sol$SOL No rush, no panic. Learn the four-part financial method—you are the winner of the future.

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