Powell turns hawkish, reigniting rate-hike expectations: September hike probability rises to nearly 60%, with possibly two hikes before March 2027
The Federal Reserve chair Powell on Friday reignited market expectations for rate hikes with remarks at the Jackson Hole annual symposium. While he did not directly provide policy guidance for the September meeting, he clearly said that policymakers must be confident that underlying inflation is falling back toward the 2% target in a “clear and sufficiently rapid” manner; otherwise, the Fed “still has work to do.” The statement quickly changed pricing in the interest-rate market. Media reports said market moves indicated traders restarted bets on a single 25-basis-point rate hike later this year, and leaned toward expecting two hikes by March 2027. CME-related data showed the probability of a September hike rose from about 35% before Powell’s remarks to 50%, while other market data at one point suggested the probability increased to around 55%. Later reporting also said market data showed the probability briefly reached about 60%.
Secular competition largely relies on family background and social connections; the starting point determines the ceiling. Only the financial market has stripped away all identity filters—regardless of one’s background or status, gains and losses are defined by one’s own decisions. It is a fair playing field that ordinary people can rely on.
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#MUA Your good and bad are determined in other people’s eyes, and it only has to do with their interests.$BTC If you fit what they want, they praise and compliment you; if you don’t, they belittle you, slander you. Other people’s approval is the cheapest kind of chain,$BNB So you only need to protect your own feelings and interests; as for other people’s feelings and interests, they will fight for them themselves.$ETH
Let me tell a joke: Brother Maiji $ETH made more than 25x longs and lost 950,000. $BTC did a 40x trade and lost 340,000. $HYPE lost 310,000. Total floating loss: 1.6 million. This morning, I even lost another 1.96 million. After reading it, I thought: Brother’s reverse-indicator is reliable—I'll do the opposite! So I decisively opened a long position. Now I’m also losing. The dog-rig script is well-written: openly “sending money”? No—it's openly “double-crossing” you. His losses are due to his position size; mine are due to hot-blooded thinking. Next time, can Brother message me privately when you open a trade? I'll do the opposite—if I make money, you get half (seriously).
"Nineteen years, one lamp. Move it away, turn off the lights, lock the door. This is where this relationship ends for me. May she have no more ties with these words for the rest of her life." —— Story 《Purely Fictional》(If there are any similarities, it’s absolutely because you understand the crypto market too well) #孙宇晨 #景甜 Just like and leave a comment with "btc" to get a ❤️❤️ red envelope ❤️❤️ $BTC
🚀 Aug 27|Crypto Market Snapshot $BNB 🧧🧧 🔥 BTC reclaims the $80,000 level BTC briefly dipped below $79K earlier today, but buy-side demand quickly returned—it's now back around $80,000. ETH is about $2,500–$2,520, SOL has reclaimed $100, and total market cap is roughly $2.75–$2.78T. After this round of gains, the market remains highly volatile, but the long-side structure has not yet been broken. 💰 ETF flows continue to be core support Spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows of about $1.92B in the previous week, with inflows staying positive for multiple consecutive days. Institutional demand is still a key reason BTC can keep challenging $80K. Investopedia +1 ⚡ Tomorrow: $6.4B BTC options expire On Aug 28, Deribit will see around 81,700 BTC options expire, with a notional value of about $6.4B. There are clearly concentrated option positions around $75K and $80K. That suggests BTC may see more intense up-and-down sweeps over the next 24 hours. $80K is once again the key battleground. Binance +1 🏦 The U.S. is moving forward with crypto custody rule reforms The SEC’s proposed amendments to the digital asset custody rules have entered the White House review process. If they are finalized, they will directly affect the infrastructure for investment advisers, custodians, and broader institutional capital entering the crypto market. The Block 🟣 Ethereum: Glamsterdam upgrade moved up for pre-testing Ethereum’s development team reminds that the next phase of the Glamsterdam upgrade will adjust certain Gas costs. A small number of smart contracts may be affected, and developers have already started compatibility testing. For regular users, no action is needed for now, but project teams should check their contracts in advance. Ethereum Foundation Blog 🌐 The market is waiting for Jackson Hole The biggest macro event this week remains Jackson Hole. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to speak on Aug 28; the market will focus on interest rates, liquidity, and the future policy path. The Wall Street Journal 📊 Today’s market BTC → ~$80K ETH → ~$2.5K SOL → $100+ TOTAL MARKET CAP → ~$2.75T BTC ETF → strong inflows 🚀 The real test for the market is here. BTC is back above $80K, but tomorrow it faces at the same time: $6.4B options expiry + Jackson Hole + elevated market sentiment. So the next question matters more than “can it rise?”— can $80K truly turn into new support?
🍵A cup of afternoon tea—find a moment of inner calm amid the bustle of the world 🌿.
Tasting tea emphasizes slow sips and deep understanding; investing is much the same 📊. Fluctuations in the market are normal—there’s no need to keep staring at the charts all the time. Learn to step back when appropriate, let your thoughts settle, and stay true to your instincts and judgment ✨. Be a little less impatient, a little more composed—great opportunities are worth waiting for patiently 💎. Encouraging everyone on the journey together 🕊️.
The monetization process of Bitcoin also follows a similar trajectory. In this analogy, the material that continues to endure sustained pressure is the US dollar credit system. The first phase is discovery. Both returns and volatility are extremely high; large funds find it difficult to allocate to Bitcoin, and it is also hard to obtain financing by using it as collateral. The second phase is maturation. Returns and volatility narrow in tandem, risk-adjusted returns improve, investors are able to expand their allocation, and it gradually becomes a more attractive collateral asset. The third phase is monetization driven by the financial system. Dedicated capital and credit-driven buy orders begin to enter the Bitcoin market at scale, triggering a self-reinforcing loop; the uptrend accelerates again and breaks upward along a power-law trajectory.
🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧 Success doesn’t depend on how many things you do. It depends on how well—and how deeply—you do the few things that matter, and on how effectively you clear away distractions.
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