📢 Oil prices keep climbing; Russia plans to intensify strikes on Ukraine; peace talks enter a dead end Huajian Air Express News: On August 27, the situation between Russia and Ukraine deteriorated rapidly. Russia sent signals indicating that the existing peace-talk route has effectively broken down. Plans are in place to upgrade military operations, increasing the risk of a widening conflict being priced in by the market. Brent crude is holding above $88 per barrel, while WTI crude remains steady above $83 per barrel. The geopolitical risk premium has risen rapidly. (😟 bearish)
Oil market outlook: The current market is driven by geopolitical sentiment rather than fundamentals of supply and demand. In the short term, Brent at $88–90 is a strong resistance zone. If the conflict does not materially expand, it is likely that “good news” will be cashed in and prices may pull back. If military actions are upgraded, oil prices may test levels above $92. Key support below is Brent at $85; once that level is broken, this round of geopolitical-driven upside is likely to end. $CL
Higher oil prices will boost the stickiness of inflation in Europe and the U.S., weigh on expectations for rate cuts by the Fed, and make U.S. Treasury yields more likely to rise, tightening liquidity for risk assets such as stocks and crypto and amplifying volatility. From a trading perspective, focus on Russia–Ukraine’s real-world actions and oil’s key price levels. For hedging, gold may be a safer avenue; risk assets should not be chased higher.
⚠️ Information summary only; not investment advice. Geopolitical markets can reverse quickly—strictly control position size.
The crypto market’s winter has passed, yet the market still overfocuses on price volatility while ignoring indicators of long-term growth and the performance of multi-fold profits! BTC rose by about 20% last week, recording its strongest three-day rally since 2023, suggesting that the multi-month “crypto winter” is starting to fade. The market should not limit its attention to short-term rebounds or selloffs; a key trend is that digital assets are gradually integrating into mainstream financial systems for the long term. In 2025, the daily net capital flows into Bitcoin ETPs often exceed $500 million, about 12 times the value of newly mined BTC each day. Although US spot Bitcoin ETPs saw net outflows for a stretch of 8 consecutive weeks earlier this year, as of late July they had already resumed net inflows for 3 straight weeks. A survey by EY of more than 350 institutional investors also shows that 73% plan to increase their allocation to digital assets. I came to the square in early June, and ever since then I’ve believed it was the best opportunity to invest via scheduled purchases as planned. I predicted that the optimal time to invest in BTC would be when the price is in the range of 55,000–60,000 USD, so I strongly supported the view that long-term investment is best carried out from the mid-to-high points of the bull market. $BTC
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