Chasing highs feels good for a while, but when it drops, you end up in the crematorium. $HEMI 24 Hours up 35.50%, surged to #2 on the gainers list, but I’m not going to chase long at $0.010516—I’m just waiting for a pullback to $0.009607 before I consider entry.

What’s truly worth watching isn’t this green candle—it’s that the $HEMI market cap is only $10 million, yet the OI is $28 million. The in-position leverage is 2.8x of market cap; once the price reverses direction, the closing orders can amplify the volatility. Whoever chases too fast is the first to pay the insurance fee.

The 4-hour EMA5 is at $0.009607; EMA25 and EMA60 are at $0.008524 and $0.008769 respectively. The trend is still on the bullish side. The daily EMA5 is also pressing above EMA25 and moving upward. The trend hasn’t broken, so I won’t go hard short—but the 4-hour RSI7 is already 70.1, and over the last 3 candles the volatility is 15.82%. The odds of chasing at the current price don’t feel comfortable.

The long/short ratio in the account is only 0.7504, with retail traders overall leaning bearish. But the big-money positions are 2.2062, clearly overweight to longs. On top of that, the 24-hour funding rate is 0.0300%—bulls are paying too. That’s the divergence: shorts won’t yield, and leveraged longs are already maxed out. As long as $0.009607 holds, shorts covering could still push it higher. But if it breaks below $0.008769, when leveraged longs retreat, it can happen very fast.

BTC is up only 1.28%, yet the whole market is down 2.08%. The $HEMI is running opposite the broader market. This kind of independent strength has squeeze room—but it also means that if the market continues to weaken, there may not be anyone to hold you up.

I choose to go long, but only on pullback confirmation—I won’t take the risk of buying into the chase at the current price. The mindset is to hold, assuming the trend is still intact. If it breaks the discipline level, admitting you were wrong is better than stubbornly holding.

📊 Direction: Long
💰 Entry reference: Confirm after a pullback to $0.009607
🛑 Stop loss: $0.008769 If it breaks and can’t get back above after closing, admit the mistake and exit
🎯 Take profit 1: $0.010516; at the current price level, realize part of it first
🎯 Take profit 2: $0.02; the 4-hour and daily range highs
The trend can be held, but chasing highs isn’t allowed. Once $0.008769 breaks, don’t rely on faith to place buy orders for leveraged positions.

Do you think $0.009607 will hold and keep squeezing higher, or will $0.008769 get smashed through first? Stand with your pick in the comments.

$HEMI #技术分析 #Twelve Uncle
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