I’m holding a long position of 79,756, but my heart is in panic.
MA5, MA20, and MA50 are aligned in a bullish formation, and the price is above.
But RSI is 72.8—already overbought.
The 15-minute RSI is 75.0, even more aggressively overbought.
The 4-hour RSI is 43.9, and the MACD is still bearish.
Big and small timeframes are fighting each other—I'm a bit confused.
Volume ratio is 0.0, with contracting volume.
Price is pushing against the 24h high of 80,022, but volume isn’t keeping up.
With contracting volume, a push higher feels like it won’t last—like it could reverse in a flash.
The Bollinger Band bandwidth is 2.5%, and the price is riding the upper band.
Upper band: 79,709; current price: 79,756—already out of bounds.
At this position, I won’t chase.
If it pulls back to the MA20 at 78,715, that’s when I plan to enter long.
Set the stop-loss at 77,633—below the 24h low.
Initial target: look at 80,022; scale out at the prior high.
If price breaks below 77,633, I’ll admit I’m wrong—4-hour bearish pressure is there, and I don’t dare to hold on stubbornly.
Trust me? Better trust the crocodile shedding tears.
Whether this is a rebound or a reversal—I can’t be sure.

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