$SNDK After the earnings season, the logic behind storage price hikes is even stronger 📋
First, look at the most critical point in the earnings report:
NVIDIA revenue came in at 96.2 billion, and the next-quarter guidance was 108 billion—both beat expectations,
but the CFO also admitted that DRAM prices have risen "beyond expectations," and profits will face pressure until the end of the year.
The world’s largest buyers are starting to pay for the storage price hikes—this is one of the most weighty confirmations in this cycle.
Supporting signals have also been emerging over the past few days:
Korea’s DRAM export unit price is up fourfold year over year;
Samsung’s ramp-up pace for the second half may slow down;
and downstream panel makers have already started cutting shipments because storage has become too expensive.
With price increases still being felt by downstream players, and no loosening yet, it doesn’t look like the cycle is ending.
Now, looking at the market:
On Monday, during the panic in the sector, 1469 tested the lows three times and each time was bought back,
then after the earnings report, it recovered above 1500; the current price is 1544.
The dip created by emotion was essentially filled by fundamentals within three days.
Next two observation levels:
· Pullback to 1500–1520, with low volume and holding firm → likely a shakeout; the structure remains healthy
· In the US session, with volume expanding and closing above 1600 → repair confirmed; it opens a new range
*(For this stock, the real trading volume is concentrated in the US session; any spike in the Asian session has limited reference value.)*
Risks are on the table: at early Friday morning, the Jackson Hole speech will be the biggest variable this week.
The probability of a September rate hike is still about 40%; if the outlook changes, pullbacks in the storage supply chain that has run up will not be slow either.
#SNDK #英伟达财报 $SNDK
*Personal analysis notes, not investment advice*
First, look at the most critical point in the earnings report:
NVIDIA revenue came in at 96.2 billion, and the next-quarter guidance was 108 billion—both beat expectations,
but the CFO also admitted that DRAM prices have risen "beyond expectations," and profits will face pressure until the end of the year.
The world’s largest buyers are starting to pay for the storage price hikes—this is one of the most weighty confirmations in this cycle.
Supporting signals have also been emerging over the past few days:
Korea’s DRAM export unit price is up fourfold year over year;
Samsung’s ramp-up pace for the second half may slow down;
and downstream panel makers have already started cutting shipments because storage has become too expensive.
With price increases still being felt by downstream players, and no loosening yet, it doesn’t look like the cycle is ending.
Now, looking at the market:
On Monday, during the panic in the sector, 1469 tested the lows three times and each time was bought back,
then after the earnings report, it recovered above 1500; the current price is 1544.
The dip created by emotion was essentially filled by fundamentals within three days.
Next two observation levels:
· Pullback to 1500–1520, with low volume and holding firm → likely a shakeout; the structure remains healthy
· In the US session, with volume expanding and closing above 1600 → repair confirmed; it opens a new range
*(For this stock, the real trading volume is concentrated in the US session; any spike in the Asian session has limited reference value.)*
Risks are on the table: at early Friday morning, the Jackson Hole speech will be the biggest variable this week.
The probability of a September rate hike is still about 40%; if the outlook changes, pullbacks in the storage supply chain that has run up will not be slow either.
#SNDK #英伟达财报 $SNDK
*Personal analysis notes, not investment advice*