The 1-hour candle that surged to 2,515 in the early morning—its upper wick is long, like it’s probing something.
Most unusual of all is the volume ratio going straight to zero.
Turnover of 807 million, down only 1.57% over the last 24 hours.
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour MACD are bearish.
The 15-minute MACD flips bullish, but the volume ratio is 0.0—it's not standing on solid ground.
This contraction in volume isn’t that it can’t fall; it’s that nobody is stepping in to buy.
1-hour RSI is 43.2—weak, but not to oversold levels.
MA5 at 2,451, MA20 at 2,465, MA50 at 2,472, with the moving averages pressing downward.
The current price at 2,457 is stuck just above MA5; it can’t break up to MA20.
Lower Bollinger band at 2,426; bandwidth 3.1%. Not far from a breakout/reversal.
I can’t tell whether this is bottoming out or just a continuation.
Support at 2,415 to 2,426, near the low point and the lower Bollinger band.
Resistance at 2,533, where the trapped positions are from earlier.
I plan to wait for a rebound to around 2,465–2,472 and then short.
Stop loss at 2,535; first target at 2,415.
If volume surges and price recovers back above 2,472, the short setup is invalid.
My position is my own—I’m not advising you to do the same.
With a low-volume pullback like this, don’t rush to chase longs.
#BTC #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析
Most unusual of all is the volume ratio going straight to zero.
Turnover of 807 million, down only 1.57% over the last 24 hours.
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour MACD are bearish.
The 15-minute MACD flips bullish, but the volume ratio is 0.0—it's not standing on solid ground.
This contraction in volume isn’t that it can’t fall; it’s that nobody is stepping in to buy.
1-hour RSI is 43.2—weak, but not to oversold levels.
MA5 at 2,451, MA20 at 2,465, MA50 at 2,472, with the moving averages pressing downward.
The current price at 2,457 is stuck just above MA5; it can’t break up to MA20.
Lower Bollinger band at 2,426; bandwidth 3.1%. Not far from a breakout/reversal.
I can’t tell whether this is bottoming out or just a continuation.
Support at 2,415 to 2,426, near the low point and the lower Bollinger band.
Resistance at 2,533, where the trapped positions are from earlier.
I plan to wait for a rebound to around 2,465–2,472 and then short.
Stop loss at 2,535; first target at 2,415.
If volume surges and price recovers back above 2,472, the short setup is invalid.
My position is my own—I’m not advising you to do the same.
With a low-volume pullback like this, don’t rush to chase longs.
#BTC #ETH #以太坊 #币圈 #行情分析