Brothers, on the $PORTAL daily RSI has already reached 70.6—money in the overbought zone is hard to make. But the even harsher part is the 24h funding rate at -0.2075%. The shorts haven’t run; they’re even paying protection money to the longs. Uncle Twelve studied it for a long time and concluded: slightly bullish, but never chase at the current price.

First look at the most obvious: the negative funding rate. At this level, shorts are paying, which means they’re still holding on desperately. As long as price doesn’t break down, these people are fuel. The long/short ratio is 0.8629—retail is in the short side. The large holder positioning ratio is 1.3556—large holders are on the long side and pulling. Both sides are fighting, but the side with the chips is the large holders. I choose to follow the side with more money.

Next, look at OI: 14M, market cap only 15M—almost 1:1. It means leveraged funds and spot funds are roughly half and half. When the order book even twitches, liquidation orders become the accelerant. The good news: direction is upward. The bad news: once it flips, a waterfall can be fast.

BTC is only +4.32%, while $PORTAL itself is +25.33%. This isn’t bandwagoning—independent capital is making moves. If it rallies hard today, it will also dump hard when the tide goes out, so don’t force it with a spot mentality.

My plan: if it pulls back near 0.0165 and holds, I’ll enter. Stop loss at 0.0155. If it breaks, I admit defeat—no gambling out of anger. First target 0.018, second target 0.02. Whoever wants to chase can chase; I’m just waiting for that boarding point.

Discipline isn’t empty talk—it’s trained with your wallet. Do you think this is the final leg of a squeeze, or the start of the main uptrend? Comment and pick a side.

$PORTAL #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve