Ray Dalio Warns: US 10-Year Treasuries Could Hit $6 Trillion; Suggests Allocating to Bitcoin
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater, has included Bitcoin in his recommended allocations for hedging against a debt-crisis scenario, and major institutions’ attitudes are warming up again.
Dalio’s latest view is direct: in the next decade, US debt could balloon to $6 trillion, with the risk of currency devaluation accelerating. His allocation plan is 10%-15% in gold, plus a little Bitcoin. In plain terms, the world’s largest hedge-fund founder is no longer treating BTC as a speculative asset, but as a “fiat devaluation hedge.” This isn’t the first time he’s mentioned Bitcoin, but tying a specific position size to a US Treasuries/debt-crisis narrative makes the signal much stronger.
One-sentence translation: Even a veteran macro heavyweight running trillions of dollars is now advising clients to buy insurance against US dollar credit risk with BTC.
Impact on the market
- Short term: Positive for sentiment. BTC is currently $77,495.99, up 0.39% in 24h; ETH is $2,449.86, up 1.25%. The market is already waiting for narrative catalysts, and Dalio-level endorsement is classic fuel for bulls.
- Medium term: If the “debt devaluation” narrative keeps gaining traction, institutional allocation logic will shift from “betting on ETF fund flows” to “reserve hedging”—longer-term money, more stable money. Gold also keeps making new highs, supporting this logic chain.
My take
I’m clearly bullish on this narrative direction. Dalio’s core isn’t just calling a trade—his view is that the US dollar’s purchasing power will weaken over the long run, which is exactly the underlying driver behind BTC’s shift from an edge-of-institutions asset to a mainstream allocation over the past five years. If BTC can hold above around $77,495.99, the next phase’s narrative catalysts won’t be lacking ammunition. The risk points are also clear: if the debt-crisis narrative gets suppressed by the rate path (rate cuts delayed, dollar stronger), this kind of macro-bull logic may go dim temporarily—don’t treat a long-term thesis as a short-term guarantee.
- Coins: BTC / ETH
- Direction: Bullish 📈 Predicting a rise
- Duration: BTC 12 hours / ETH 24 hours
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
📊 Historical backtest
- After similar news like “Ray Dalio: US debt could reach $3.67 trillion; bullish on gold and Bitcoin” (2025-07-29), BTC’s 12h performance was -1.15%—the bullish call was ❌ incorrect
- There are 282 pieces of bullish BTC-related news in history; in 122 cases, the predicted direction matched the actual price movement (accuracy: 43%)
# Institutional watch
⚠️ Not investment advice
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater, has included Bitcoin in his recommended allocations for hedging against a debt-crisis scenario, and major institutions’ attitudes are warming up again.
Dalio’s latest view is direct: in the next decade, US debt could balloon to $6 trillion, with the risk of currency devaluation accelerating. His allocation plan is 10%-15% in gold, plus a little Bitcoin. In plain terms, the world’s largest hedge-fund founder is no longer treating BTC as a speculative asset, but as a “fiat devaluation hedge.” This isn’t the first time he’s mentioned Bitcoin, but tying a specific position size to a US Treasuries/debt-crisis narrative makes the signal much stronger.
One-sentence translation: Even a veteran macro heavyweight running trillions of dollars is now advising clients to buy insurance against US dollar credit risk with BTC.
Impact on the market
- Short term: Positive for sentiment. BTC is currently $77,495.99, up 0.39% in 24h; ETH is $2,449.86, up 1.25%. The market is already waiting for narrative catalysts, and Dalio-level endorsement is classic fuel for bulls.
- Medium term: If the “debt devaluation” narrative keeps gaining traction, institutional allocation logic will shift from “betting on ETF fund flows” to “reserve hedging”—longer-term money, more stable money. Gold also keeps making new highs, supporting this logic chain.
My take
I’m clearly bullish on this narrative direction. Dalio’s core isn’t just calling a trade—his view is that the US dollar’s purchasing power will weaken over the long run, which is exactly the underlying driver behind BTC’s shift from an edge-of-institutions asset to a mainstream allocation over the past five years. If BTC can hold above around $77,495.99, the next phase’s narrative catalysts won’t be lacking ammunition. The risk points are also clear: if the debt-crisis narrative gets suppressed by the rate path (rate cuts delayed, dollar stronger), this kind of macro-bull logic may go dim temporarily—don’t treat a long-term thesis as a short-term guarantee.
- Coins: BTC / ETH
- Direction: Bullish 📈 Predicting a rise
- Duration: BTC 12 hours / ETH 24 hours
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
📊 Historical backtest
- After similar news like “Ray Dalio: US debt could reach $3.67 trillion; bullish on gold and Bitcoin” (2025-07-29), BTC’s 12h performance was -1.15%—the bullish call was ❌ incorrect
- There are 282 pieces of bullish BTC-related news in history; in 122 cases, the predicted direction matched the actual price movement (accuracy: 43%)
# Institutional watch
⚠️ Not investment advice
