I’m watching the chart, then analyzing for the in-person students. I think tonight the big rally could try to break 79.5. I’m expecting the market might drop this week—I might be wrong. It could end up going straight up to above 830.
The reason is, I looked at the structure here: it’s already moved into an upward trend. The pullbacks haven’t broken the key level. The trend should continue.
Tonight we’ll see whether my prediction is correct—whether it breaks 79.5. If this week’s price just keeps surging upward but the pullback strength isn’t enough, I probably won’t get a chance to board.
But all of this is speculation. In the end, we’ll only know what’s right or wrong once the market shows us.
Even though, from a technical perspective, based on the bull markets I’ve experienced, it should be a pullback by now; the way this started is clearly different. In 2021, it was the Chinese government selling the “big cake” and suppressing the crypto market, which led to the BTC dropping to 3700 (and then a violent rebound) before it kept rising all the way to 659. A lot of people took profits around 20k because it broke the previous high. The price at 20k didn’t really pull back at all—it just kept going to 42k. Then it pulled back by 28k. I had a bunch of altcoins in my hands—most got halved or even wiped out completely. I was devastated.
This 2025 start: after the FTX collapse, BTC fell to 154, then dragged sideways and finally accelerated downward as the ETF approval process came through—then it surged all the way to 73777. This time, there wasn’t an acknowledged black swan. Instead, a piece of good news for Bitcoin sent it to the moon in a single day. So this time is different from before. There was always a pullback earlier, and I also think there will be a pullback now—but it probably won’t be very strong, because the situation is different. Specific issues require specific analysis.
$BTC
The reason is, I looked at the structure here: it’s already moved into an upward trend. The pullbacks haven’t broken the key level. The trend should continue.
Tonight we’ll see whether my prediction is correct—whether it breaks 79.5. If this week’s price just keeps surging upward but the pullback strength isn’t enough, I probably won’t get a chance to board.
But all of this is speculation. In the end, we’ll only know what’s right or wrong once the market shows us.
Even though, from a technical perspective, based on the bull markets I’ve experienced, it should be a pullback by now; the way this started is clearly different. In 2021, it was the Chinese government selling the “big cake” and suppressing the crypto market, which led to the BTC dropping to 3700 (and then a violent rebound) before it kept rising all the way to 659. A lot of people took profits around 20k because it broke the previous high. The price at 20k didn’t really pull back at all—it just kept going to 42k. Then it pulled back by 28k. I had a bunch of altcoins in my hands—most got halved or even wiped out completely. I was devastated.
This 2025 start: after the FTX collapse, BTC fell to 154, then dragged sideways and finally accelerated downward as the ETF approval process came through—then it surged all the way to 73777. This time, there wasn’t an acknowledged black swan. Instead, a piece of good news for Bitcoin sent it to the moon in a single day. So this time is different from before. There was always a pullback earlier, and I also think there will be a pullback now—but it probably won’t be very strong, because the situation is different. Specific issues require specific analysis.
$BTC