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CryptoChan
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【 $BTC Four-year cycle total market-bottom series (40) 】
The classic “three-stage bottoming” is concluding as expected 🧘♂️
┌── 🐼 On-chain Data Details ──┐
📊 Bitcoin STH-MVRV is perfectly replaying the bottoming fractal structure from 2021–2022
Observe the red line in the chart. After Bitcoin’s STH-MVRV breaks below 1.0 (the short-term investor breakeven line), it doesn’t immediately reverse; instead, it forms a classic “three-stage bottoming” structure:
1️⃣ First breakdown: A wave of panic selling emerges, dropping below 1.0
2️⃣ Deep washout: After a rebound to 1.0 meets resistance, the largest-magnitude second dip occurs (the deepest spike/bottom in the chart)
3️⃣ Convergence confirmation: We are currently in the late stage of the third bottom of this “round”—the lows begin to rise, forming a local-convergence W-bottom variant
History won’t repeat itself exactly, but it often follows similar rhythms. The previous two deep declines have already completed the cleansing of shaky holdings. Once the indicator turns bullish, breaks through, and holds above 1.0, it means short-term capital has fully shaken off losses—then the trend will enter a true right-side reversal.
💡 Want to catch such on-chain anomalies as they happen? Unlock my X (formerly Twitter) platform exclusive subscription service to receive the complete 【Bear Market Bottoming Signal】 and 【Bull Market Top-Escape Warning】, so you can seize the crucial turning points of every cycle 👇
https://x.com/0xCryptoChan/creator-subscriptions/subscribe
The classic “three-stage bottoming” is concluding as expected 🧘♂️
┌── 🐼 On-chain Data Details ──┐
📊 Bitcoin STH-MVRV is perfectly replaying the bottoming fractal structure from 2021–2022
Observe the red line in the chart. After Bitcoin’s STH-MVRV breaks below 1.0 (the short-term investor breakeven line), it doesn’t immediately reverse; instead, it forms a classic “three-stage bottoming” structure:
1️⃣ First breakdown: A wave of panic selling emerges, dropping below 1.0
2️⃣ Deep washout: After a rebound to 1.0 meets resistance, the largest-magnitude second dip occurs (the deepest spike/bottom in the chart)
3️⃣ Convergence confirmation: We are currently in the late stage of the third bottom of this “round”—the lows begin to rise, forming a local-convergence W-bottom variant
History won’t repeat itself exactly, but it often follows similar rhythms. The previous two deep declines have already completed the cleansing of shaky holdings. Once the indicator turns bullish, breaks through, and holds above 1.0, it means short-term capital has fully shaken off losses—then the trend will enter a true right-side reversal.
💡 Want to catch such on-chain anomalies as they happen? Unlock my X (formerly Twitter) platform exclusive subscription service to receive the complete 【Bear Market Bottoming Signal】 and 【Bull Market Top-Escape Warning】, so you can seize the crucial turning points of every cycle 👇
https://x.com/0xCryptoChan/creator-subscriptions/subscribe