The breakthrough is real, but right now we’re just in the middle of the first stress test.
At this moment, what’s more important is to share some operational suggestions:
Here are my own thoughts—just for reference!
Recovering both MA120 + MA200 at the same time is quite rare;
The current instant price of $BTC is around $69,000. That means after this morning’s 8:00 a.m. close confirmed at $69,300, it has now immediately returned to the vicinity of MA200 ≈ $69,031.
Right now, this is a very good observation window:
If: 69,300 breaks out → pulls back toward around 69,000 → gets held/absorbed → then continues upward, that’s a reversal—not just a simple bounce.
What you need to pay the most attention to right now is that within this big bullish candle, there is very clear short-squeeze pressure. During BTC’s rapid move from about $64,100 up to $70,000, roughly $1.4 billion worth of crypto shorts were liquidated within four hours.
My suggestion is:
If you’re a trend trader: this is a high-value entry.
The MA120 + MA200 signal is very strong—if you don’t buy now, when would you?
But if it breaks down, you must be brave enough to sell. For example, if you buy 40% now: if it breaks MA200, cut losses by 20%; if it then breaks below MA120 again, cut losses by another 20%.
If you’re a long-term holder, you need to be clear about whether you’re suited to a left-side entry or a right-side entry. If you’re not comfortable with right-side setups, then at this moment it might be better not to do anything. If you’re worried about missing the move, you already have a clear right-side signal now—you can overturn your earlier bottom-fishing plan and recommend buying part of your position for long-term holding.
I’ll allocate, for instance, 20% of my total bottom-buying allocation, and then add to it at different stages. At this time, buy 10% first; if the daily chart continues to close above $70K, then add another 10%. After a pullback to $68.2K–$69K, if price pulls back up again, you can add another 20%. If the daily chart closes back below $68.2K, then stop adding and return to the original plan.
The chart below is something GPT helped me make to map out a plan based on my own ideas. Use it as a reference—it fits me, but it may not fit you.
At this moment, what’s more important is to share some operational suggestions:
Here are my own thoughts—just for reference!
Recovering both MA120 + MA200 at the same time is quite rare;
The current instant price of $BTC is around $69,000. That means after this morning’s 8:00 a.m. close confirmed at $69,300, it has now immediately returned to the vicinity of MA200 ≈ $69,031.
Right now, this is a very good observation window:
If: 69,300 breaks out → pulls back toward around 69,000 → gets held/absorbed → then continues upward, that’s a reversal—not just a simple bounce.
What you need to pay the most attention to right now is that within this big bullish candle, there is very clear short-squeeze pressure. During BTC’s rapid move from about $64,100 up to $70,000, roughly $1.4 billion worth of crypto shorts were liquidated within four hours.
My suggestion is:
If you’re a trend trader: this is a high-value entry.
The MA120 + MA200 signal is very strong—if you don’t buy now, when would you?
But if it breaks down, you must be brave enough to sell. For example, if you buy 40% now: if it breaks MA200, cut losses by 20%; if it then breaks below MA120 again, cut losses by another 20%.
If you’re a long-term holder, you need to be clear about whether you’re suited to a left-side entry or a right-side entry. If you’re not comfortable with right-side setups, then at this moment it might be better not to do anything. If you’re worried about missing the move, you already have a clear right-side signal now—you can overturn your earlier bottom-fishing plan and recommend buying part of your position for long-term holding.
I’ll allocate, for instance, 20% of my total bottom-buying allocation, and then add to it at different stages. At this time, buy 10% first; if the daily chart continues to close above $70K, then add another 10%. After a pullback to $68.2K–$69K, if price pulls back up again, you can add another 20%. If the daily chart closes back below $68.2K, then stop adding and return to the original plan.
The chart below is something GPT helped me make to map out a plan based on my own ideas. Use it as a reference—it fits me, but it may not fit you.
