Are rate hike expectations for the Federal Reserve high or low? I’ve always believed the probability of a Fed rate hike in September is very low. I firmly believe that keeping interest rates unchanged is the right direction! So I’m bullish on $XAU, $BTC, and $BNB.
Federal Reserve Governor Waller said that his next decision on interest rates will be “to a large extent influenced by” the August inflation data to be released next week, adding that it may not require inflation to rebound sharply in order for him to support a rate hike at the upcoming policy meeting.
Waller said: “If inflation continues to make progress toward our 2% goal, I would be willing to support holding the policy rate at its current level. But if the inflation data is too hot, I would consider raising rates.” However, at the same time, he said that some optimistic signals have emerged as pricing pressures improve.
Waller said: “Even though inflation is still clearly above the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) 2% target, recent data indicate that we are finally seeing some signs of cooling inflation.” The Federal Reserve officials will meet again to discuss policy on September 15–16 in Washington. This year, the Fed has kept interest rates unchanged for five consecutive meetings. According to federal funds futures pricing, investors currently believe the probability of a rate hike this month is over 60%.
Waller also said that if inflation continues to make progress, he would be willing to support the Fed keeping rates unchanged at the September meeting. On the back of these remarks, the market scaled back its bets on a Fed rate hike; U.S. Treasury yields dropped sharply, and the U.S. dollar weakened.
BTC yesterday directly broke through 80,000, and within an hour the short liquidation volume also reached $140 million.
The catalyst for this market move was that the probability of an interest-rate hike fell from 70% to 50%, plus recent remarks from the SEC chair saying they want to push forward the passage of a crypto bill.
With a bombardment of good news, don’t FOMO. Even if the bull market is back, it will still pull back—touching 82,000 was only coming near the previous high. There are still plenty of trapped positions above, and there’s also today’s Non-Farm Payrolls data—that’s the real test.
Sure, it’s great that it’s up, but remain cautious about the possibility of a complicated correction that continues the bear market. Don’t rush to add positions.
Accumulate strength, move steadily, wait for time to reward your efforts. Accumulate strength, move steadily, wait for time to reward your efforts. #LUCiC
🧧🧧🧧 Life sometimes has scattered hardships, but it also always brings unexpected warmth. Let go of the tense version of yourself, rest well, and gather your strength before moving forward again. $币安人生
Behind the thousandfold star-coin stock MEME: AMC CEO attacks Robinhood’s illegal tokenized U.S. stocks and has involved securities lawyers
September 4, today’s widely soaring meme coin project MEME, a star-coin token that reportedly surged by a thousand times, is paired with a tokenized U.S. stock: AMC Entertainment (U.S. cinema company, stock code AMC), using the latter as the pool pairing. Earlier this morning, AMC’s CEO posted a criticism of Robinhood, saying Robinhood is promoting tokenized stocks, including AMC, that purportedly cover more than 190 companies, but these products have not been registered in accordance with U.S. securities laws. This is an unauthorized linkage to the AMC name and its underlying real shares. AMC has nothing to do with it and does not recognize it. The CEO also strongly condemned Robinhood’s actions as “disgusting, absurd, nauseating, despicable, unforgivable, and beneath contempt,” and said external securities attorneys have already been engaged to investigate.
No Anxiety About the Past $BNB 🧧 Don’t predict the future—focus on the present. Only trade within what you can know, and manage your position size well—that’s how you take control of your life!
$BTC $ETH $SOL Oh wow, what a setup—the market moved just like that! BTC and ETH collectively surged violently. Bitcoin directly broke through $80,000, and a lot of people are confused: what kind of force drove the price action? 🔥
First, the macro outlook eased. Market expectations for the Fed’s September rate hike cooled off somewhat; Treasury yields pulled back, and risk assets breathed a sigh of relief. The broader environment provided bullish soil for the crypto market. Second, regulatory expectations warmed up. The market has more optimistic expectations about U.S. crypto policy, and institutional funds have been continuously entering via spot ETFs—real money going in. 🔥
Another key point: this move is a classic short-squeeze. After a long period of sideways trading, the market had built up a large pile of short positions. Once the price broke through a crucial resistance level, many shorts were liquidated one after another. Forced buying to close positions triggered a concentrated wave of buy orders, pushing the price even higher and amplifying the magnitude of this rally. ETH also took off across the board, and major coins all rose together. 🔥
But everyone needs to stay calm: the stronger the rally, the larger the subsequent volatility. Don’t get carried away just because you’re seeing big gains and rush in chasing the price—there’s high risk in buying at the top, and leveraged contracts especially need to be handled with extreme caution. Whether the good news can last depends on follow-up inflation data and the Fed’s stance. 🔥
Don’t blindly fantasize that a bull market is restarting immediately. You must control your position size and don’t give your profits back to the market. 🔥#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 #美国8月ISM服务业指数升至55.4 #美国续请失业金人数降至177.9万
#美国续请失业金人数降至177.9万 Data is favorable, but the order book can’t move up—when it should be empty, then it should be empty. Tonight’s initial jobless claims data is out: 206,000, slightly higher than the expected 205,000. The data is somewhat favorable. Big BTC (the big coin) went from 779 to 787, but what happens after the pump? It surged and then pulled back. Now it’s back testing around 785. If it won’t rise, then it’s weak. At the current price around 785, short directly. If the market can’t be pushed by the data, what are you expecting it to keep going up for? $BTC #美国续请失业金人数降至177.9万 $BNB #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 🤔🤔🤔
☀️Friday morning light breaks, starting a new day’s market journey🍃
Market rises and falls follow their own rhythm—no need to let last night’s movements disturb your mood📊。 Investing is about staying clear-headed and self-possessed: don’t chase gains impulsively, and don’t spiral into panic🕯️。 Hand your expectations to the cycle, and keep the rhythm in your own hands✨。 Trade a little restless fantasy for a steadier commitment to fundamentals💎。 Refine your understanding, stabilize your positions, and quietly wait for your own opportunity to bloom🕊️。 Wishing all fellow travelers a peaceful mindset on Friday and a composed onward journey🌿。
💥Five Thousand Words “Dao De Jing”, word for word like pearls, sentence for sentence full of hidden meaning. This Taoist classic, passed down for more than two thousand years, offers no obscure moralizing and no harsh discipline—only plain language that reveals the operating laws of heaven, earth, and all things, and expounds the life truths of how to live and conduct oneself in the world. Read the whole book, strip away your restless state of mind, and you’ll glimpse the origin of the Dao. Ancient wisdom has crossed a thousand years of time and can still guide us today—helping us settle our body and mind.
📢 Yi Lihua: Bitcoin shows resistance at $86,000, and the bull market trend has already begun
On September 4, Yi Lihua, founder of Liquid Capital, said that when Bitcoin fell to $76,300, that was the support level for a rebound. No matter what, it remains just as expected: after the pullback, it will continue to rise. The resistance level above is still around $86,000. If it cannot strongly break through $86,000, then it may be worth considering this upswing and pullback opportunity.
The market is always changing, but in any case, the bull market trend has already begun. On September 2, Yi Lihua said that after a few days ago Bitcoin failed to break above the $81,000 resistance level, it has recently been looking at a pullback. The pullback has been between $75,500 and $76,000. After that, he expects it to continue bullishly toward the next resistance level at $86,000.
The shorts got wiped out, the missed ones went silent, and the old greenhorns turned red-eyed
Bitcoin never explains—it only refreshes your perception.
🚀 Those who held will win; those who ran fast will regret; those who didn’t get in should keep waiting for a “pullback” #1688家族family #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 $BTC
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