The biggest night raid since the war began hit Moscow, yet BTC only fell 0.37%: who is buying?
š” Positive: As the conflict escalates, it sends the safe-haven buying demand to BTC; sell pressure is lighter than expected
The largest-scale drone night raid since the war began struck Moscow, and BTC $62,932 fell only slightly by 0.37%.
Whatās going on?
Last night, Ukraine launched the largest-scale drone attack since the war began, targeting the Moscow region. For the first time, deep inside Russia was hit with such intensity, and expectations of Russian retaliation have warmed up. A textbook-level risk eventāmoney should, in theory, be fleeing. Yet BTC over the past 24 hours only dropped 0.37% to $62,932.87. ETH fell 0.56% to $1,874.75, and the whole market barely moved. In short: the panic selling simply didnāt come through.
Market impact
- Short term: The transmission path is very specificāfighting reaches Moscow ā risk to ruble-denominated assets surges, sanctions likely intensify ā Russian domestic capital looks for cross-border exits to bypass the banking system ā BTC is one of the few options, and such OTC demand will concretely absorb in-market supply. The fact that price canāt drop is evidence by itself.
- Medium term: As the conflict becomes prolonged, the narrative of BTC as a āsanctions-immune value transfer toolā can only get stronger, and its safe-haven characteristics will keep being validated.
My take
Bullish in the short term. If the downside plays out without a drop, thatās strength. As long as the $62,000 psychological level holds, geopolitical tension becomes fuel for BTC; if it breaks below on increased volume within 12 hours, this view is invalid. Key risk: if Russiaās retaliation exceeds expectations and drags down global equities, that risk-off move could temporarily outweigh safe-haven buyingādonāt look at only one side.
šÆ Predicted impact
- Coins: BTC / ETH
- Direction: Positiveš predicts a rise
- Duration: BTC 12 hours / ETH 24 hours
ā If you think the logic āthe harder the fighting gets, the stronger BTC staysā holds up, give a likeālet me count how many people agree
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
ā ļø Not investment advice
š” Positive: As the conflict escalates, it sends the safe-haven buying demand to BTC; sell pressure is lighter than expected
The largest-scale drone night raid since the war began struck Moscow, and BTC $62,932 fell only slightly by 0.37%.
Whatās going on?
Last night, Ukraine launched the largest-scale drone attack since the war began, targeting the Moscow region. For the first time, deep inside Russia was hit with such intensity, and expectations of Russian retaliation have warmed up. A textbook-level risk eventāmoney should, in theory, be fleeing. Yet BTC over the past 24 hours only dropped 0.37% to $62,932.87. ETH fell 0.56% to $1,874.75, and the whole market barely moved. In short: the panic selling simply didnāt come through.
Market impact
- Short term: The transmission path is very specificāfighting reaches Moscow ā risk to ruble-denominated assets surges, sanctions likely intensify ā Russian domestic capital looks for cross-border exits to bypass the banking system ā BTC is one of the few options, and such OTC demand will concretely absorb in-market supply. The fact that price canāt drop is evidence by itself.
- Medium term: As the conflict becomes prolonged, the narrative of BTC as a āsanctions-immune value transfer toolā can only get stronger, and its safe-haven characteristics will keep being validated.
My take
Bullish in the short term. If the downside plays out without a drop, thatās strength. As long as the $62,000 psychological level holds, geopolitical tension becomes fuel for BTC; if it breaks below on increased volume within 12 hours, this view is invalid. Key risk: if Russiaās retaliation exceeds expectations and drags down global equities, that risk-off move could temporarily outweigh safe-haven buyingādonāt look at only one side.
šÆ Predicted impact
- Coins: BTC / ETH
- Direction: Positiveš predicts a rise
- Duration: BTC 12 hours / ETH 24 hours
ā If you think the logic āthe harder the fighting gets, the stronger BTC staysā holds up, give a likeālet me count how many people agree
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
ā ļø Not investment advice
