大仁Jaron
367 Posts
大仁Jaron
Wb3项目投研｜AI研究员｜推特X: @Jaron2277
USD1 Holder
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3.6 Years
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On August 13, according to foreign media reports, 83% of economists expect the European Central Bank to raise the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% in September; 80% expect the deposit facility rate to remain at 2.50% by the end of the year; and 63% expect the deposit facility rate to remain at least 2.50% through the third quarter of 2027. Among the 69 economists surveyed, 57 (about 83%) expect an interest-rate hike next month. This proportion is higher than the 72% before the July meeting and the 65% in June. This indicates that, after the June rate hike, consensus in the market that the ECB will hike again in September is strengthening.
Nomura Securities said: “The longer oil prices stay at the current level and the higher they rise, the greater the risk of second-round effects. The ECB cannot act until it sees these effects, but they can act in advance—which is exactly what the ECB has been doing. The risk is that if the ECB only hikes once, it will look like a fine-tuning exercise, and as is well known, monetary policy cannot be conducted this way. If they hike once, they will very likely hike again. Given that the June rate hike is an obvious choice for the ECB, we believe the likelihood of another rate hike is very high.”
🧧🧧🧧Reply 25 to get $BNB 🧧🧧🧧
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Nomura Securities said: “The longer oil prices stay at the current level and the higher they rise, the greater the risk of second-round effects. The ECB cannot act until it sees these effects, but they can act in advance—which is exactly what the ECB has been doing. The risk is that if the ECB only hikes once, it will look like a fine-tuning exercise, and as is well known, monetary policy cannot be conducted this way. If they hike once, they will very likely hike again. Given that the June rate hike is an obvious choice for the ECB, we believe the likelihood of another rate hike is very high.”
🧧🧧🧧Reply 25 to get $BNB 🧧🧧🧧
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PINNED
开心L67758891
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May you be blessed with peace year after year, with every matter handled calmly and everything going well.
Let worldly worries and dust and troubles all be swept away; let simple joys and small scenes accompany you by your side.
Always keep an open and straightforward heart, with warmth and kindness.
Go slowly toward your dreams, toward the distant horizon.
Along the way, may blooming flowers follow your steps; may what you seek be yours, and may the road be filled with light.
Each morning brings joy without worries to disturb you; year after year, may you be safe, and may the years be long.
Let worldly worries and dust and troubles all be swept away; let simple joys and small scenes accompany you by your side.
Always keep an open and straightforward heart, with warmth and kindness.
Go slowly toward your dreams, toward the distant horizon.
Along the way, may blooming flowers follow your steps; may what you seek be yours, and may the road be filled with light.
Each morning brings joy without worries to disturb you; year after year, may you be safe, and may the years be long.
燕寶Melissa
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Bullish📈 Is DEX “eating into” CEX? A major market shift many people overlook is coming!
In July 2026, a key metric hit a historic record.
DEX (decentralized exchanges) spot trading volume / CEX (centralized exchanges) spot trading volume has risen to about 24%.
This means:
For every $4 of spot trading on-chain, nearly $1 is happening on DEX.
It’s also the highest record since statistics began in 2019.
The data shift matters more than the price
📊 In 2024, the share stayed below 10% for most of the time
📊 Starting in 2025, it grew rapidly and first broke above 20%
📊 In 2026, it has been maintained long-term at 18%～21%
📊 In July 2026, it broke through again, setting a new all-time high of about 24%
In just two short years,
DEX’s market share has nearly doubled.
This isn’t a short-term trend—it’s a change in trading habits.
In the past, the crypto market competed on:
Who had more exchanges.
Now the market is entering a new phase of competition:
Who has more on-chain liquidity.
As the DEX trading share keeps setting new all-time highs,
what’s truly changing
is not the trading platforms,
but the way value flows through the entire crypto market.
In the next bull cycle, the biggest winner may not be a single exchange,
but the entire on-chain ecosystem.
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
In July 2026, a key metric hit a historic record.
DEX (decentralized exchanges) spot trading volume / CEX (centralized exchanges) spot trading volume has risen to about 24%.
This means:
For every $4 of spot trading on-chain, nearly $1 is happening on DEX.
It’s also the highest record since statistics began in 2019.
The data shift matters more than the price
📊 In 2024, the share stayed below 10% for most of the time
📊 Starting in 2025, it grew rapidly and first broke above 20%
📊 In 2026, it has been maintained long-term at 18%～21%
📊 In July 2026, it broke through again, setting a new all-time high of about 24%
In just two short years,
DEX’s market share has nearly doubled.
This isn’t a short-term trend—it’s a change in trading habits.
In the past, the crypto market competed on:
Who had more exchanges.
Now the market is entering a new phase of competition:
Who has more on-chain liquidity.
As the DEX trading share keeps setting new all-time highs,
what’s truly changing
is not the trading platforms,
but the way value flows through the entire crypto market.
In the next bull cycle, the biggest winner may not be a single exchange,
but the entire on-chain ecosystem.
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
灼见
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Bullish🚨 Tonight may be the moment when the crypto market truly chooses its direction!
$BTC is still ranging around $63K, while the market waits for one of today’s most important macro variables: the U.S. July CPI.📊
Interestingly, BTC’s volatility has clearly declined recently.
What does this usually mean?
👉 The market is waiting for a real catalyst.
If CPI comes in below expectations, the market may re-price rate-cut expectations, and risk-asset sentiment could improve;
But if inflation data is higher than expected, BTC may face pressure again, and short-term volatility could quickly amplify.
👀 Tonight I’m only watching 4 signals:
🔹 Can BTC hold $63K
🔹 Can it reclaim $64K–$65K
🔹 Whether ETH starts outperforming BTC
🔹 After the CPI release, whether funds rotate into Altcoins
Now the most interesting question isn’t:
“Will BTC go up or down?”
It’s:
“After the CPI comes out, which direction will capital choose?”
🔥 Time to vote!
📈 BTC breaks above $65K
📉 BTC falls below $63K
🦅 Keep ranging and waiting
👇 Drop your choice + your reasons in the comments.
Let’s see tonight who can read the market’s next move early.👀
#BTC #BnB #ETH
$BTC is still ranging around $63K, while the market waits for one of today’s most important macro variables: the U.S. July CPI.📊
Interestingly, BTC’s volatility has clearly declined recently.
What does this usually mean?
👉 The market is waiting for a real catalyst.
If CPI comes in below expectations, the market may re-price rate-cut expectations, and risk-asset sentiment could improve;
But if inflation data is higher than expected, BTC may face pressure again, and short-term volatility could quickly amplify.
👀 Tonight I’m only watching 4 signals:
🔹 Can BTC hold $63K
🔹 Can it reclaim $64K–$65K
🔹 Whether ETH starts outperforming BTC
🔹 After the CPI release, whether funds rotate into Altcoins
Now the most interesting question isn’t:
“Will BTC go up or down?”
It’s:
“After the CPI comes out, which direction will capital choose?”
🔥 Time to vote!
📈 BTC breaks above $65K
📉 BTC falls below $63K
🦅 Keep ranging and waiting
👇 Drop your choice + your reasons in the comments.
Let’s see tonight who can read the market’s next move early.👀
#BTC #BnB #ETH
慢就是快Mike
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$DOGE The market is a ruthless meat grinder. I urge my brothers to reduce leverage! Cleaning out high-multiple contract traders will make the market healthier; it will also be easier to pull it back up. In a bear market, just patiently hold mainstream value coins. Buy the dips—when the bull market comes, you’ll thank Slow Brother!
Fabixxlo
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A beautiful day to start new challenges.
Thank you, community, for the support ❤️🥰🎁🎁
$BTC
#BIP110SoftForkAttemptBegins
Thank you, community, for the support ❤️🥰🎁🎁
$BTC
#BIP110SoftForkAttemptBegins
Leo - F0
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Bullish🐳🧧🐳🧧RED PACKAGE SEASON🧧🐳🧧🐳
"Let your fears dissolve into the sea,
Chasing the spark of who you’re meant to be." 🔥💨
$BNB 🧧🧧
#金价升破4400美元创两月高位
$BTC $ETH
#1688家族family 💚
#TRUMP
"Let your fears dissolve into the sea,
Chasing the spark of who you’re meant to be." 🔥💨
$BNB 🧧🧧
#金价升破4400美元创两月高位
$BTC $ETH
#1688家族family 💚
#TRUMP
凯哥的进击
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🔥Please help forward and share, thank you🔥
🎁🎁Reply to claim the red envelope🎁🎁$SOL
✅Wishing your holding market value rises step by step✅
✅Open a trade and make big profits, with daily riches✅
🎁🎁Reply to claim the red envelope🎁🎁$SOL
✅Wishing your holding market value rises step by step✅
✅Open a trade and make big profits, with daily riches✅
Crypto Thena
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🚨🧧 FREE $USDT RED PACKET 🧧🚨
✅ Follow
❤️ Like
🔃 Repost
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⚡ First come, first served!
👇 Comment “Yes” after Follow me 🔥
#Binance #BinanceSquare #crypto #Airdrop $BTC $ETH $SOL
✅ Follow
❤️ Like
🔃 Repost
🤝 Share
💰 Claim your FREE $USDT now
⚡ First come, first served!
👇 Comment “Yes” after Follow me 🔥
#Binance #BinanceSquare #crypto #Airdrop $BTC $ETH $SOL
Sheemm
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🎁🎁🎁🎁 GOOD AFTERNOON
LIKE REPOST COMMENT AND CLAIM
YOUR GIFT OF $BNB 🎁🎁🎁🎁
$MU
$XRP
#ETHStakingRatioHitsRecord34.4%
#RedPacketMission
LIKE REPOST COMMENT AND CLAIM
YOUR GIFT OF $BNB 🎁🎁🎁🎁
$MU
$XRP
#ETHStakingRatioHitsRecord34.4%
#RedPacketMission
楠楠势不可挡
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BullishPredict prediction platform, predict the market 👍
🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
A gentleman’s friendship is as light as water
`Talking about coins in the square as well as life—without discussing interests, only friendship—this kind of circle can last long.
🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
A gentleman’s friendship is as light as water
`Talking about coins in the square as well as life—without discussing interests, only friendship—this kind of circle can last long.
可可529
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Messi mourns his father: Messi mourns his father on social media, with over 1.16 million comments and over 24 million likes. Ronaldo’s comforting comment received over 5.41 million likes.#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
寿山福禄Luffy
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White walls and dark-tiled roofs hold years within them; a small bridge over flowing water speaks of time. Without asking when I’ll return, I only wish to quietly sit by the water’s edge, listening to the wind and watching the clouds.
连长论饼
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When people start to feel fear about market conditions, it means the bull market is not far away$ETH
🧧🧧Like, comment, and share to receive USDT🎁🎁
🧧🧧Like, comment, and share to receive USDT🎁🎁
FG发发发
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The hardest part of trading is never the loss—it’s the obsession to break even in the midst of a downturn.
Don’t think about turning it around in one move, don’t blindly increase your position size, and don’t open trades impulsively driven by emotions.
The market won’t bend to your urgency. Protect your principal, preserve your cash flow, avoid emotional trading, and wait calmly for a high-confidence opportunity. Lasting in the market matters far more than short-term battles.#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #三星SK海力士领涨首尔股市
Don’t think about turning it around in one move, don’t blindly increase your position size, and don’t open trades impulsively driven by emotions.
The market won’t bend to your urgency. Protect your principal, preserve your cash flow, avoid emotional trading, and wait calmly for a high-confidence opportunity. Lasting in the market matters far more than short-term battles.#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #三星SK海力士领涨首尔股市
Welcome welcome
Anna-汤圆
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[Replay] 🎙️ Let’s Talk About the Faith and Future of the Shalizi Meme Coin
05 h 23 m 25 s · 13.3k listens
橙子Joyce
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The Federal Reserve’s $6 billion cap on the FIMA facility is a key trigger point for the bitcoin liquidity crisis.
Arthur Hayes noted that the Federal Reserve’s FIMA facility, with a $6 billion cap, is a key trigger point for the bitcoin liquidity crisis. He expects this limit to be lifted to accommodate larger pools of capital such as Japan’s government pension funds, which would in turn drive a significant surge in the BTC price.
This perspective is directly linked to the structural bottlenecks in the current global macro liquidity—namely, existing mechanisms cannot accommodate the intervention of sovereign funds on an ultra-large scale, thereby limiting the upside potential of risk assets.
The deeper reason lies in the operating logic of FIMA (the Foreign and International Monetary Authorities’ Repurchase Facility) and the constraints imposed by current rules. This mechanism allows authorized foreign official accounts to temporarily obtain dollars by pledging U.S. Treasury bonds as collateral. The relevant monetary authorities first hand over the Treasuries to the Federal Reserve in exchange for dollars, and then use those dollars to buy yen. This structure does not require the direct sale of Treasuries and can therefore provide funding support for currency intervention.
This perspective is directly linked to the structural bottlenecks in the current global macro liquidity—namely, existing mechanisms cannot accommodate the intervention of sovereign funds on an ultra-large scale, thereby limiting the upside potential of risk assets.
The deeper reason lies in the operating logic of FIMA (the Foreign and International Monetary Authorities’ Repurchase Facility) and the constraints imposed by current rules. This mechanism allows authorized foreign official accounts to temporarily obtain dollars by pledging U.S. Treasury bonds as collateral. The relevant monetary authorities first hand over the Treasuries to the Federal Reserve in exchange for dollars, and then use those dollars to buy yen. This structure does not require the direct sale of Treasuries and can therefore provide funding support for currency intervention.
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