Every time you go all-in, it drops. When you go to cash, it rises. It’s not bad luck—it’s because you’re the last person to enter.
Have you ever had this kind of experience? You watch and wait for three days. On the fourth day, you finally can’t take it anymore and go all-in. Then on the fifth day, it starts to fall. After you hold on for a week and cut your losses, the next day it starts to rise.
You think this is some kind of magic? Actually, it’s mathematics.
When will you go all-in?
When you’ve seen three or four days of consecutive gains, the sentiment on Twitter gets increasingly optimistic, your FOMO gets stronger and stronger, and finally, at the limit of what you can psychologically endure, you can’t hold back and rush in.
But think about this: if even people like you—who hesitate for three or four days—can’t resist anymore, it means that almost everyone in the market who wants to buy has already bought. The moment you enter, the buying pressure has peaked. After that, there’s only selling pressure.
When will you go to cash?
After three or four days of consecutive drops, every post on Twitter is panic. You finally can’t hold on anymore and cut your losses. But the same logic applies: if even someone like you—who can stubbornly hold for a few days—gives up and cuts, it means that almost everyone who wants to sell has already sold. The moment you cut your losses, the selling pressure has peaked. After that, there’s only buying pressure.
You’re not unlucky. You are the signal the market uses to confirm the top and bottom. When you can’t resist and rush in, the top is in. When you can’t hold on and cut out, the bottom is in. Your emotional threshold just happens to land right on the median of all retail investors.
The market from late July to early August perfectly validated this pattern. The S&P fell for a few days as retail investors panicked and liquidated, and then rose 10% in the following week.
Have you ever experienced "it drops the moment you buy, and it rises the moment you sell"?
$BTC
$ETH
Have you ever had this kind of experience? You watch and wait for three days. On the fourth day, you finally can’t take it anymore and go all-in. Then on the fifth day, it starts to fall. After you hold on for a week and cut your losses, the next day it starts to rise.
You think this is some kind of magic? Actually, it’s mathematics.
When will you go all-in?
When you’ve seen three or four days of consecutive gains, the sentiment on Twitter gets increasingly optimistic, your FOMO gets stronger and stronger, and finally, at the limit of what you can psychologically endure, you can’t hold back and rush in.
But think about this: if even people like you—who hesitate for three or four days—can’t resist anymore, it means that almost everyone in the market who wants to buy has already bought. The moment you enter, the buying pressure has peaked. After that, there’s only selling pressure.
When will you go to cash?
After three or four days of consecutive drops, every post on Twitter is panic. You finally can’t hold on anymore and cut your losses. But the same logic applies: if even someone like you—who can stubbornly hold for a few days—gives up and cuts, it means that almost everyone who wants to sell has already sold. The moment you cut your losses, the selling pressure has peaked. After that, there’s only buying pressure.
You’re not unlucky. You are the signal the market uses to confirm the top and bottom. When you can’t resist and rush in, the top is in. When you can’t hold on and cut out, the bottom is in. Your emotional threshold just happens to land right on the median of all retail investors.
The market from late July to early August perfectly validated this pattern. The S&P fell for a few days as retail investors panicked and liquidated, and then rose 10% in the following week.
Have you ever experienced "it drops the moment you buy, and it rises the moment you sell"?
$BTC
$ETH