🕒 Analysis Time: August 13, 2026 21:40 (UTC+8)
🔹 BTC
Current Price: 63,784.6
On the 1-hour timeframe, after bottoming and rebounding, the market has entered a range-bound consolidation. Currently, the price is trading and consolidating around 63,700. The Supertrend indicator remains in a red suppression state, with the overhead resistance line pressing down near 64,048.9. The MACD has formed a golden cross in the deep negative zone below the zero line; the DIF line has already crossed above zero (DIF: 1.7, DEA: -15.0). The green bullish momentum histogram is clearly elevated (16.7), indicating that short-term bulls are actively organizing a rebound and recovery. However, overall price action is still constrained by the prevailing downtrend pressure from above.
Reference probability:
📈 Bullish: 50%
📉 Bearish: 50%
Trading outlook:
In the short-term chart, the market is in a choppy consolidation phase characterized by a struggle between bulls and bears. The primary resistance to watch on the upside is the Supertrend suppression level at 64,048 and the 24-hour high at 64,050. The first support below is the 24-hour low at 63,283. In terms of execution, it is recommended to adopt a buy-low/sell-high approach within the consolidation range. If the rebound clearly stalls around 64,000, you can try a light short position; place the stop-loss above 64,200. If the pullback stabilizes in the 63,300–63,500 area, you may look for an opportunity to buy at lower levels.
🔹 ETH
Current price: 1,892.72
ETH’s 1-hour timeframe is tracking the broader market’s choppy upward movement. Overall, the rebound bias is slightly stronger. It is currently testing resistance around the 1,900 psychological level.Supertrend remains in a red suppression posture, with the defensive level around 1,904.37. The MACD lines form a golden cross near the zero axis (DIF: 0.24, DEA: 0.05). The green bullish momentum histogram is showing a slight increase in volume (0.19), indicating that short-term bullish momentum is gradually building up and attempting to break upward.
Reference probability:
📈 Bullish: 55%
📉 Bearish: 45%
Trading outlook:
The short-term rebound momentum is still present and is about to face a test from a 1-hour trendline. The most critical resistance above is Supertrend at 1,904 and the 24-hour high at 1,907. Once there is a valid breakout with convincing volume, the chart is likely to return to a strong bullish zone. The first support below is the 24-hour low at 1,872. In terms of execution, focus on whether a breakout occurs around 1,904. If it breaks strongly, you can follow the move with a light long position. If it fails to break and pulls back, you can look for buy-the-dip opportunities in the 1,875–1,885 range; set the stop-loss below 1,860.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The information above is based only on personal market observations and market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Please make independent judgments based on your own risk tolerance.
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