SPCX rises from 105 to 146—was this a new reversal and bull trend, or just a valuation repair after the lock-up release bearish news has settled?
First, at the 105 level, it has most likely already formed a stage bottom. But the range from 146 to 160 is not suitable for chasing recklessly. Entering here means you’re betting on a breakout, not picking up cheap shares at the bottom.
Before, it fell all the way from above 200 down to 105. That was because the valuation was too high, expectations were overextended, and there was lock-up release fear stacked on top—this is a double hit to valuation and supply, not that its fundamentals themselves collapsed.
After stabilizing, it kept raising its low points consecutively, which suggests that the most panic-driven selling has already ended, and capital is starting to price Starlink and AI growth again.
But remember: what we can call it now is only a very strong repair. We can’t yet say the downtrend has reversed. The 150–160 zone is the heaviest trap zone in this rally.
There are a few key levels: 140 is the line that separates short-term strength from weakness; 160 is the trend confirmation point; and only 180 is a mid-term reversal signal.
Here we simulate two possible paths:
If it digests the move on decreasing volume in the 140–150 area, then later expands volume and holds firmly above 160, you can boldly look for 180 afterward;
But if it surges to 160 with increased volume and still can’t get through—then turns around and falls back below 140—this leg is only a repair rebound after the lock-up release, not the main uptrend.
My plan is very clear: below 160, treat it uniformly as a rebound and repair. Only when it can hold above 160 do we discuss whether a true reversal is underway. And only by defending 180 do you have a chance to return to above 200. That’s also why I set the 160 area as the place for aggressive entry.
$SPCXB #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #三星SK海力士领涨首尔股市 #SEC向富兰克林邓普顿发不采取行动函
First, at the 105 level, it has most likely already formed a stage bottom. But the range from 146 to 160 is not suitable for chasing recklessly. Entering here means you’re betting on a breakout, not picking up cheap shares at the bottom.
Before, it fell all the way from above 200 down to 105. That was because the valuation was too high, expectations were overextended, and there was lock-up release fear stacked on top—this is a double hit to valuation and supply, not that its fundamentals themselves collapsed.
After stabilizing, it kept raising its low points consecutively, which suggests that the most panic-driven selling has already ended, and capital is starting to price Starlink and AI growth again.
But remember: what we can call it now is only a very strong repair. We can’t yet say the downtrend has reversed. The 150–160 zone is the heaviest trap zone in this rally.
There are a few key levels: 140 is the line that separates short-term strength from weakness; 160 is the trend confirmation point; and only 180 is a mid-term reversal signal.
Here we simulate two possible paths:
If it digests the move on decreasing volume in the 140–150 area, then later expands volume and holds firmly above 160, you can boldly look for 180 afterward;
But if it surges to 160 with increased volume and still can’t get through—then turns around and falls back below 140—this leg is only a repair rebound after the lock-up release, not the main uptrend.
My plan is very clear: below 160, treat it uniformly as a rebound and repair. Only when it can hold above 160 do we discuss whether a true reversal is underway. And only by defending 180 do you have a chance to return to above 200. That’s also why I set the 160 area as the place for aggressive entry.
$SPCXB #美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉 #三星SK海力士领涨首尔股市 #SEC向富兰克林邓普顿发不采取行动函