The US loudly claims it has “complete control” over the Strait of Hormuz, but reality slaps it hard: shipping volume has fallen to a level close to a 3-month low. Iran can easily suppress maritime transport with risk-based deterrence; it doesn’t need a full blockade—just uncertainty is enough to disrupt the world oil shipping lifeline. Bluster can’t beat sea power, and the truth of geopolitical games is always in the data.#霍尔木兹海峡 #地缘政治 #中东局势 #Shipping Market