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橙子Joyce
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橙子Joyce

价值投资者:以十年为单位投资美股及BTC.ETH.BNB.SOL.推特X:@Joyce88ai
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Article
Trillion-Parameter! NVIDIA Reportedly Developing a New Generation of AI, Aiming Straight at the World’s Top Open-Source ModelsNVIDIA is fully committed to developing an open-source model, Nemotron 4, with at least 100 trillion parameters, aiming to reduce reliance on leading customers such as OpenAI and on cloud giants. The company has not only substantially increased its cloud service compute commitments to $28 billion through a server leaseback program, but has also formed the “Nemotron Alliance,” an ecosystem co-building effort that includes Mistral, Cursor, and others. NVIDIA shares rose nearly 2% in premarket trading. NVIDIA is heavily betting on its own in-house open-source artificial intelligence model, trying to grow demand for its GPUs—even as this strategy places it in a delicate position of directly competing with its own customers and investment targets.

Trillion-Parameter! NVIDIA Reportedly Developing a New Generation of AI, Aiming Straight at the World’s Top Open-Source Models

NVIDIA is fully committed to developing an open-source model, Nemotron 4, with at least 100 trillion parameters, aiming to reduce reliance on leading customers such as OpenAI and on cloud giants. The company has not only substantially increased its cloud service compute commitments to $28 billion through a server leaseback program, but has also formed the “Nemotron Alliance,” an ecosystem co-building effort that includes Mistral, Cursor, and others. NVIDIA shares rose nearly 2% in premarket trading.
NVIDIA is heavily betting on its own in-house open-source artificial intelligence model, trying to grow demand for its GPUs—even as this strategy places it in a delicate position of directly competing with its own customers and investment targets.
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Article
Targeting the “funding gap” in the AI industry chain! Morgan Stanley (MS.US) launches a $1.5 trillion financing initiative to facilitate the plan, covering AI infrastructure and defense technologyThis comes after last October, when JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) launched a plan of a comparable scale. Now, another top-tier Wall Street investment bank has mobilized capital on a large scale under the banner of a “national strategy.” The two institutions’ alignment in plan size reflects that large financial institutions are actively tying their business to the United States’ national economic and security strategies. Against a backdrop where the policy environment increasingly emphasizes domestic industry competitiveness, they are seeking to seize leadership in financing for strategic sectors. Morgan Stanley’s plan will be carried out around three core areas: comprehensive coverage from chips to defense. Pillar One: an innovation platform and strategic industries. Key areas include artificial intelligence, advanced computing and software, quantum technology, semiconductors, data infrastructure, network security, aerospace and defense technologies, pharmaceuticals, critical minerals, and industries that are strategically important for the reindustrialization of the United States. In a statement, Dan Simkowitz, Co-President of Morgan Stanley, said: “The United States is entering a period of major investment and innovation in the fields of technology, infrastructure, and strategic industries.”

Targeting the “funding gap” in the AI industry chain! Morgan Stanley (MS.US) launches a $1.5 trillion financing initiative to facilitate the plan, covering AI infrastructure and defense technology

This comes after last October, when JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) launched a plan of a comparable scale. Now, another top-tier Wall Street investment bank has mobilized capital on a large scale under the banner of a “national strategy.” The two institutions’ alignment in plan size reflects that large financial institutions are actively tying their business to the United States’ national economic and security strategies. Against a backdrop where the policy environment increasingly emphasizes domestic industry competitiveness, they are seeking to seize leadership in financing for strategic sectors.
Morgan Stanley’s plan will be carried out around three core areas: comprehensive coverage from chips to defense.
Pillar One: an innovation platform and strategic industries. Key areas include artificial intelligence, advanced computing and software, quantum technology, semiconductors, data infrastructure, network security, aerospace and defense technologies, pharmaceuticals, critical minerals, and industries that are strategically important for the reindustrialization of the United States. In a statement, Dan Simkowitz, Co-President of Morgan Stanley, said: “The United States is entering a period of major investment and innovation in the fields of technology, infrastructure, and strategic industries.”
JPMUS+0.71%
橙子Joyce
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Trillion-Parameter! NVIDIA Reportedly Developing a New Generation of AI, Aiming Straight at the World’s Top Open-Source Models
NVIDIA is fully committed to developing an open-source model, Nemotron 4, with at least 100 trillion parameters, aiming to reduce reliance on leading customers such as OpenAI and on cloud giants. The company has not only substantially increased its cloud service compute commitments to $28 billion through a server leaseback program, but has also formed the “Nemotron Alliance,” an ecosystem co-building effort that includes Mistral, Cursor, and others. NVIDIA shares rose nearly 2% in premarket trading.
NVIDIA is heavily betting on its own in-house open-source artificial intelligence model, trying to grow demand for its GPUs—even as this strategy places it in a delicate position of directly competing with its own customers and investment targets.
橙子Joyce
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Targeting the “funding gap” in the AI industry chain! Morgan Stanley (MS.US) launches a $1.5 trillion financing initiative to facilitate the plan, covering AI infrastructure and defense technology
This comes after last October, when JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US) launched a plan of a comparable scale. Now, another top-tier Wall Street investment bank has mobilized capital on a large scale under the banner of a “national strategy.” The two institutions’ alignment in plan size reflects that large financial institutions are actively tying their business to the United States’ national economic and security strategies. Against a backdrop where the policy environment increasingly emphasizes domestic industry competitiveness, they are seeking to seize leadership in financing for strategic sectors.
Morgan Stanley’s plan will be carried out around three core areas: comprehensive coverage from chips to defense.
Pillar One: an innovation platform and strategic industries. Key areas include artificial intelligence, advanced computing and software, quantum technology, semiconductors, data infrastructure, network security, aerospace and defense technologies, pharmaceuticals, critical minerals, and industries that are strategically important for the reindustrialization of the United States. In a statement, Dan Simkowitz, Co-President of Morgan Stanley, said: “The United States is entering a period of major investment and innovation in the fields of technology, infrastructure, and strategic industries.”
橙子Joyce
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Bullish
SpaceX(Nasdaq: SPCX) plans to launch 29 Starlink satellites from Cape Canaveral on Monday using a Falcon 9 rocket booster that has previously flown 17 missions.

The launch is scheduled for 10:49 a.m. Eastern Time. If all goes well, the B1085 booster will land about eight minutes later on the company’s unmanned recovery ship in the Atlantic Ocean.

Per SpaceX’s standards, the 18th flight is routine operations. Another booster, B1067, just completed a record 36th flight last month.

This kind of routinization is the foundation of SpaceX’s commercial model. By reusing rockets instead of discarding them after a single use, the company can carry out launches more frequently while reducing the cost of each mission.

NASA proved reuse is feasible, but it did not achieve low cost or rapid turnaround.

Reusable spacecraft are not a new concept.

NASA’s Space Shuttles and their solid rocket boosters repeatedly flew missions over three decades, with the Space Shuttle Endeavour completing 39 missions on its own—more than any Falcon 9 booster has flown so far.

The problem was that shuttle maintenance was always expensive and took a long time.

NASA initially envisioned a turnaround time of two weeks, but it was never achieved in fewer than 55 days, and a later NASA analysis estimated the cost per launch at about $1.5 billion. Today, the cost of a single Falcon 9 launch is about $74 million.

Flight-proven hardware is now the norm.

In recent filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), SpaceX said it has completed about 650 orbital launches, with more than 540 using flight-proven Falcon rockets. For years, building brand-new boosters for each mission has long ceased to be the company’s standard operating model.

The result is a launch cadence unmatched. The Starlink mission launched from California on Saturday was the 92nd flight of the Falcon 9 in 2026, and Monday’s mission will be the 93rd. By comparison, Europe has conducted only 334 space launches in total since 1970.

Kalshi traders predict SpaceX will complete 156 launches this year.

China is now trying to land SpaceX’s rockets, which it has already been reusing.
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Bullish
SpaceX(Nasdaq: SPCX) plans to launch 29 Starlink satellites from Cape Canaveral on Monday using a Falcon 9 rocket booster that has previously flown 17 missions. The launch is scheduled for 10:49 a.m. Eastern Time. If all goes well, the B1085 booster will land about eight minutes later on the company’s unmanned recovery ship in the Atlantic Ocean. Per SpaceX’s standards, the 18th flight is routine operations. Another booster, B1067, just completed a record 36th flight last month. This kind of routinization is the foundation of SpaceX’s commercial model. By reusing rockets instead of discarding them after a single use, the company can carry out launches more frequently while reducing the cost of each mission. NASA proved reuse is feasible, but it did not achieve low cost or rapid turnaround. Reusable spacecraft are not a new concept. NASA’s Space Shuttles and their solid rocket boosters repeatedly flew missions over three decades, with the Space Shuttle Endeavour completing 39 missions on its own—more than any Falcon 9 booster has flown so far. The problem was that shuttle maintenance was always expensive and took a long time. NASA initially envisioned a turnaround time of two weeks, but it was never achieved in fewer than 55 days, and a later NASA analysis estimated the cost per launch at about $1.5 billion. Today, the cost of a single Falcon 9 launch is about $74 million. Flight-proven hardware is now the norm. In recent filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), SpaceX said it has completed about 650 orbital launches, with more than 540 using flight-proven Falcon rockets. For years, building brand-new boosters for each mission has long ceased to be the company’s standard operating model. The result is a launch cadence unmatched. The Starlink mission launched from California on Saturday was the 92nd flight of the Falcon 9 in 2026, and Monday’s mission will be the 93rd. By comparison, Europe has conducted only 334 space launches in total since 1970. Kalshi traders predict SpaceX will complete 156 launches this year. China is now trying to land SpaceX’s rockets, which it has already been reusing.
SpaceX(Nasdaq: SPCX) plans to launch 29 Starlink satellites from Cape Canaveral on Monday using a Falcon 9 rocket booster that has previously flown 17 missions.

The launch is scheduled for 10:49 a.m. Eastern Time. If all goes well, the B1085 booster will land about eight minutes later on the company’s unmanned recovery ship in the Atlantic Ocean.

Per SpaceX’s standards, the 18th flight is routine operations. Another booster, B1067, just completed a record 36th flight last month.

This kind of routinization is the foundation of SpaceX’s commercial model. By reusing rockets instead of discarding them after a single use, the company can carry out launches more frequently while reducing the cost of each mission.

NASA proved reuse is feasible, but it did not achieve low cost or rapid turnaround.

Reusable spacecraft are not a new concept.

NASA’s Space Shuttles and their solid rocket boosters repeatedly flew missions over three decades, with the Space Shuttle Endeavour completing 39 missions on its own—more than any Falcon 9 booster has flown so far.

The problem was that shuttle maintenance was always expensive and took a long time.

NASA initially envisioned a turnaround time of two weeks, but it was never achieved in fewer than 55 days, and a later NASA analysis estimated the cost per launch at about $1.5 billion. Today, the cost of a single Falcon 9 launch is about $74 million.

Flight-proven hardware is now the norm.

In recent filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), SpaceX said it has completed about 650 orbital launches, with more than 540 using flight-proven Falcon rockets. For years, building brand-new boosters for each mission has long ceased to be the company’s standard operating model.

The result is a launch cadence unmatched. The Starlink mission launched from California on Saturday was the 92nd flight of the Falcon 9 in 2026, and Monday’s mission will be the 93rd. By comparison, Europe has conducted only 334 space launches in total since 1970.

Kalshi traders predict SpaceX will complete 156 launches this year.

China is now trying to land SpaceX’s rockets, which it has already been reusing.
Verified
Article
Deutsche Bank Q2 increased its stake in Micron Technology; Nvidia ranks first among top holdings—initiates $200 million in SpaceXDeutsche Bank’s total market value of holdings in Q2 was $344 billion, compared with $303 billion in the previous quarter, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13.5%. According to disclosures by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), $Deutsche Bank (DB.US)$ submitted its Q2 holdings report (13F) for the period ending June 30, 2026. According to statistics, Deutsche Bank’s total market value of holdings in Q2 was $344 billion, compared with $303 billion in the previous quarter, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13.5%. In Q2, Deutsche Bank added positions in 285 stocks to its holdings portfolio and increased positions in 2,238 stocks. Meanwhile, it reduced positions in 1,016 stocks and fully exited 203 stocks. Of these, the top ten holdings accounted for 26.34% of the total market value.

Deutsche Bank Q2 increased its stake in Micron Technology; Nvidia ranks first among top holdings—initiates $200 million in SpaceX

Deutsche Bank’s total market value of holdings in Q2 was $344 billion, compared with $303 billion in the previous quarter, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13.5%.
According to disclosures by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), $Deutsche Bank (DB.US)$ submitted its Q2 holdings report (13F) for the period ending June 30, 2026.
According to statistics, Deutsche Bank’s total market value of holdings in Q2 was $344 billion, compared with $303 billion in the previous quarter, a quarter-over-quarter increase of 13.5%. In Q2, Deutsche Bank added positions in 285 stocks to its holdings portfolio and increased positions in 2,238 stocks. Meanwhile, it reduced positions in 1,016 stocks and fully exited 203 stocks. Of these, the top ten holdings accounted for 26.34% of the total market value.
AAPLUS-1.16%
MSFTUS-0.55%
NVDAUS-0.05%
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Bullish
August 9, Cathie Wood: Bitcoin and stablecoins are likely to be the two biggest beneficiaries of the smart-agent business transformation. “Wood Lady” Cathie Wood believes that the latest employment report may look concerning on the surface, but the reality is not as bad as it seems. What truly matters is the economic shift behind the employment data. Currently, the U.S. federal budget deficit as a share of GDP is 5.6%. She believes this level is similar to the early 1980s under Reaganomics; if productivity and technology adoption continue to accelerate in line with ARK’s expectations, the ratio could come close to 5% by year-end. The bigger risk in the future may not be inflation, but deflation—especially for companies that fail to adopt AI and productivity tools. In oil, an oversupply is taking shape. After the UAE exited OPEC in May, its production rose to a historical high. Cathie Wood believes oil prices could fall significantly and views this as a deflationary driver for most regions of the world. At the same time, capital expenditures have already broken out of the range seen over the past 30 years. She believes market concerns about an AI bubble are exaggerated, and that the market is still in the early stage of a technological revolution. In crypto assets, Cathie Wood says that Bitcoin’s performance relative to gold is stabilizing again, and she believes that both Bitcoin and stablecoins could be the two primary beneficiaries of the smart-agent business transformation.
August 9, Cathie Wood: Bitcoin and stablecoins are likely to be the two biggest beneficiaries of the smart-agent business transformation. “Wood Lady” Cathie Wood believes that the latest employment report may look concerning on the surface, but the reality is not as bad as it seems. What truly matters is the economic shift behind the employment data. Currently, the U.S. federal budget deficit as a share of GDP is 5.6%. She believes this level is similar to the early 1980s under Reaganomics; if productivity and technology adoption continue to accelerate in line with ARK’s expectations, the ratio could come close to 5% by year-end. The bigger risk in the future may not be inflation, but deflation—especially for companies that fail to adopt AI and productivity tools.

In oil, an oversupply is taking shape. After the UAE exited OPEC in May, its production rose to a historical high. Cathie Wood believes oil prices could fall significantly and views this as a deflationary driver for most regions of the world. At the same time, capital expenditures have already broken out of the range seen over the past 30 years. She believes market concerns about an AI bubble are exaggerated, and that the market is still in the early stage of a technological revolution.

In crypto assets, Cathie Wood says that Bitcoin’s performance relative to gold is stabilizing again, and she believes that both Bitcoin and stablecoins could be the two primary beneficiaries of the smart-agent business transformation.
Verified
On August 9, according to CME’s “Fed Watch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in September is currently 55.6%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 44.4%. Institutional analysis points out that, after the U.S. CPI is expected to decline 0.4% month-over-month in June, markets generally expect it to rise 0.1% month-over-month in July. Excluding fuel and food, the core CPI is expected to be 0.2% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, the smallest year-over-year increase since February. After the release of a weak July nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, slower inflation growth may help ease the Federal Reserve’s internal inflation concerns. Previously, at the July 29 meeting, three officials voted in favor of a rate hike. The CPI report may show that pressure from energy-related prices has eased. This pressure had surged sharply in the months following the end of February, when the U.S. went to war with Iran. In early July, retail gasoline prices fell to their lowest level in nearly four months, then rebounded by the end of the month to above $4 per gallon. The report may also show that airfares have declined as jet fuel costs move toward stabilization.
On August 9, according to CME’s “Fed Watch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in September is currently 55.6%, while the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 44.4%.

Institutional analysis points out that, after the U.S. CPI is expected to decline 0.4% month-over-month in June, markets generally expect it to rise 0.1% month-over-month in July. Excluding fuel and food, the core CPI is expected to be 0.2% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, the smallest year-over-year increase since February. After the release of a weak July nonfarm payrolls report on Friday, slower inflation growth may help ease the Federal Reserve’s internal inflation concerns. Previously, at the July 29 meeting, three officials voted in favor of a rate hike.

The CPI report may show that pressure from energy-related prices has eased. This pressure had surged sharply in the months following the end of February, when the U.S. went to war with Iran. In early July, retail gasoline prices fell to their lowest level in nearly four months, then rebounded by the end of the month to above $4 per gallon. The report may also show that airfares have declined as jet fuel costs move toward stabilization.
橙子Joyce
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On August 8, according to Bloomberg citing people familiar with the matter, Leopold Aschenbrenner, the 25-year-old Wall Street rising AI “stock god” and a former OpenAI researcher, returned to the investment stage just days after his hedge fund was on the verge of collapse. He splashed out $400 million to back a privately held company supported by Sequoia Capital. The latest disclosure today is that the private company is Source Foundry, a chip-manufacturing startup. The fund previously invested $100 million in Source Foundry; after adding another $400 million, its total investment in Source Foundry reaches $500 million.

The investment, completed on Tuesday, is the first sign of how Leopold is putting the pieces back together after his Situational Awareness fund nearly fell apart last week when many Wall Street lenders issued intensive margin calls.

Source Foundry is a stealthy chip-manufacturing startup founded in 2025 in San Francisco by Stanford materials scientists Abdulmalik Obaid (CEO) and Joe Burg. Focusing on developing simpler, lower-cost, and faster semiconductor lithography, manufacturing processes, and tools, it aims to challenge ASML’s extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines—addressing the enormous gap between the exponential growth in AI computing demand and the linear expansion of traditional chip production capacity—thereby reshaping how advanced AI chips are produced.
On August 8, according to monitoring by TheDataNerd, a whale that used 40x leverage to short $102 million worth of Bitcoin recently faced partial liquidations. Over the past week, it has incurred losses of $1.46 million. At present, the additional margin will reduce the short position to about $60 million. The opening price was $64,212.5, and the liquidation price is $65,310.2.
On August 8, according to monitoring by TheDataNerd, a whale that used 40x leverage to short $102 million worth of Bitcoin recently faced partial liquidations. Over the past week, it has incurred losses of $1.46 million. At present, the additional margin will reduce the short position to about $60 million. The opening price was $64,212.5, and the liquidation price is $65,310.2.
On August 8, according to Bloomberg citing people familiar with the matter, Leopold Aschenbrenner, the 25-year-old Wall Street rising AI “stock god” and a former OpenAI researcher, returned to the investment stage just days after his hedge fund was on the verge of collapse. He splashed out $400 million to back a privately held company supported by Sequoia Capital. The latest disclosure today is that the private company is Source Foundry, a chip-manufacturing startup. The fund previously invested $100 million in Source Foundry; after adding another $400 million, its total investment in Source Foundry reaches $500 million. The investment, completed on Tuesday, is the first sign of how Leopold is putting the pieces back together after his Situational Awareness fund nearly fell apart last week when many Wall Street lenders issued intensive margin calls. Source Foundry is a stealthy chip-manufacturing startup founded in 2025 in San Francisco by Stanford materials scientists Abdulmalik Obaid (CEO) and Joe Burg. Focusing on developing simpler, lower-cost, and faster semiconductor lithography, manufacturing processes, and tools, it aims to challenge ASML’s extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines—addressing the enormous gap between the exponential growth in AI computing demand and the linear expansion of traditional chip production capacity—thereby reshaping how advanced AI chips are produced.
On August 8, according to Bloomberg citing people familiar with the matter, Leopold Aschenbrenner, the 25-year-old Wall Street rising AI “stock god” and a former OpenAI researcher, returned to the investment stage just days after his hedge fund was on the verge of collapse. He splashed out $400 million to back a privately held company supported by Sequoia Capital. The latest disclosure today is that the private company is Source Foundry, a chip-manufacturing startup. The fund previously invested $100 million in Source Foundry; after adding another $400 million, its total investment in Source Foundry reaches $500 million.

The investment, completed on Tuesday, is the first sign of how Leopold is putting the pieces back together after his Situational Awareness fund nearly fell apart last week when many Wall Street lenders issued intensive margin calls.

Source Foundry is a stealthy chip-manufacturing startup founded in 2025 in San Francisco by Stanford materials scientists Abdulmalik Obaid (CEO) and Joe Burg. Focusing on developing simpler, lower-cost, and faster semiconductor lithography, manufacturing processes, and tools, it aims to challenge ASML’s extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines—addressing the enormous gap between the exponential growth in AI computing demand and the linear expansion of traditional chip production capacity—thereby reshaping how advanced AI chips are produced.
On August 7 in the U.S. East, SpaceX’s stock surged 15.83% to $133.11 per share, with a total market value of $1.75 trillion. Elon Musk’s Terafab AI chip superfactory project has been launched. SpaceX and Tesla will make an initial investment of $16.8 billion to build Terafab in Grimes County, Texas. The plant is intended to narrow the gap between global chip supply and the more than 1 terawatt of computing capacity that SpaceX and Tesla are expected to need over the coming years.
On August 7 in the U.S. East, SpaceX’s stock surged 15.83% to $133.11 per share, with a total market value of $1.75 trillion.
Elon Musk’s Terafab AI chip superfactory project has been launched. SpaceX and Tesla will make an initial investment of $16.8 billion to build Terafab in Grimes County, Texas. The plant is intended to narrow the gap between global chip supply and the more than 1 terawatt of computing capacity that SpaceX and Tesla are expected to need over the coming years.
Verified
August 7, the United States saw an unexpected decrease of 23,000 jobs in July, far below the expected increase of 80,000. The June gain was also revised downward to just 20,000. Despite weakness in the labor market, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell from 4.2% to 4.1%. “The Fed’s Cornershop” Nick Timiraos commented that in July, the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to 4.09% because both the number of people seeking jobs and the number of people counted as unemployed declined; this data has pushed the unemployment rate to the lowest level in two years. Analysts said this disappointing report has again raised concerns about the labor market and may complicate the Fed’s interest-rate decisions, as policymakers need to strike a balance between weak employment and persistent inflation. As a result, market expectations for rate hikes have quickly eased. Influenced by this, all three major U.S. stock index futures jumped rapidly higher, while the U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell by nearly 30 points in the short term to 99.67. Spot gold rose by about $40 in the short term to $4,351.43 per ounce. On August 7, crypto analyst Alicharts published a long article stating that a macro bottom for Bitcoin may already have been formed. The reasons include the following three points: 1. A TD Sequential buy signal appeared on Bitcoin’s monthly chart. The signal is relatively rare; it previously successfully marked the 2022 market bottom, and may now again point to a similar bottom. 2. Bitcoin is hovering near the 50-month simple moving average. Since 2014, this long-term support level has repeatedly coincided with major market bottoms. 3. The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen to -71. The last time it reached this level was in June (when Bitcoin fell toward around $57,000). Historically, such low readings often coincide with major bottoms. Note: The Chande Momentum Oscillator is used to measure the relative strength between upward and downward momentum over a period of time, helping to judge whether the market is in an overbought or oversold condition and how strong the trend is. On August 7, Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of crypto asset management firm Bitwise, said that if the Clarity Act fails to pass this week, the market may see temporary volatility, but it will be prepared for a rebound in the fall.
August 7, the United States saw an unexpected decrease of 23,000 jobs in July, far below the expected increase of 80,000. The June gain was also revised downward to just 20,000. Despite weakness in the labor market, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell from 4.2% to 4.1%. “The Fed’s Cornershop” Nick Timiraos commented that in July, the U.S. unemployment rate dropped to 4.09% because both the number of people seeking jobs and the number of people counted as unemployed declined; this data has pushed the unemployment rate to the lowest level in two years.

Analysts said this disappointing report has again raised concerns about the labor market and may complicate the Fed’s interest-rate decisions, as policymakers need to strike a balance between weak employment and persistent inflation. As a result, market expectations for rate hikes have quickly eased.

Influenced by this, all three major U.S. stock index futures jumped rapidly higher, while the U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell by nearly 30 points in the short term to 99.67. Spot gold rose by about $40 in the short term to $4,351.43 per ounce.

On August 7, crypto analyst Alicharts published a long article stating that a macro bottom for Bitcoin may already have been formed. The reasons include the following three points:

1. A TD Sequential buy signal appeared on Bitcoin’s monthly chart. The signal is relatively rare; it previously successfully marked the 2022 market bottom, and may now again point to a similar bottom.

2. Bitcoin is hovering near the 50-month simple moving average. Since 2014, this long-term support level has repeatedly coincided with major market bottoms.

3. The Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) has fallen to -71. The last time it reached this level was in June (when Bitcoin fell toward around $57,000). Historically, such low readings often coincide with major bottoms.

Note: The Chande Momentum Oscillator is used to measure the relative strength between upward and downward momentum over a period of time, helping to judge whether the market is in an overbought or oversold condition and how strong the trend is.

On August 7, Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of crypto asset management firm Bitwise, said that if the Clarity Act fails to pass this week, the market may see temporary volatility, but it will be prepared for a rebound in the fall.
On August 7, crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted that although the White House has started reaching out regarding a counterproposal to the bipartisan ethics agreement put forward by Tillis-Gallego, people involved in crypto policy are still in what an industry source called a “strange state of limbo.” Terrett cited a source saying that some of the president’s closest supporters have been working behind the scenes this week to try to bring the ethics agreement to fruition. Meanwhile, negotiations surrounding other unresolved issues are still ongoing. The White House is taking the lead in pushing forward discussions related to BRCA (the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act), in an effort to persuade enforcement agencies that still have reservations to change their stance.
On August 7, crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted that although the White House has started reaching out regarding a counterproposal to the bipartisan ethics agreement put forward by Tillis-Gallego, people involved in crypto policy are still in what an industry source called a “strange state of limbo.”

Terrett cited a source saying that some of the president’s closest supporters have been working behind the scenes this week to try to bring the ethics agreement to fruition. Meanwhile, negotiations surrounding other unresolved issues are still ongoing. The White House is taking the lead in pushing forward discussions related to BRCA (the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act), in an effort to persuade enforcement agencies that still have reservations to change their stance.
Verified
Article
Is the bad news finally out? SpaceX rallies hard as a $100 billion unlock wave hits tonight, Trading below the issue price could extend the lockup for 450 million shares of SpaceX (SPCX.US)Today’s start of the largest insider unlock since SpaceX’s IPO saw about $100 billion worth of shares enter the first selling window. However, because the share price has fallen below the $135 issue price, about 456 million shares subject to the price-trigger provisions remain locked. While expanding the float could create short-term selling pressure, it may also increase index weighting and attract long-term inflows of passive capital. $SpaceX (SPCX.US)$ The largest insider selling window since the company’s IPO opened on Thursday. After a brief dip at the opening of trading today, the stock surged strongly, rising more than 6% at one point. SPCX SpaceX 114.345 According to Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who said in a client report on Wednesday, the current unlock involves SpaceX shares worth about $100 billion and he characterized it as an opportunity to enter this “potential intergenerational compounding asset.” However, since SpaceX’s share price has already fallen below the $135 IPO offering price, another batch of as many as 455.8 million shares will remain locked due to price-related provisions and therefore cannot be sold in this window.

Is the bad news finally out? SpaceX rallies hard as a $100 billion unlock wave hits tonight, Trading below the issue price could extend the lockup for 450 million shares of SpaceX (SPCX.US)

Today’s start of the largest insider unlock since SpaceX’s IPO saw about $100 billion worth of shares enter the first selling window. However, because the share price has fallen below the $135 issue price, about 456 million shares subject to the price-trigger provisions remain locked. While expanding the float could create short-term selling pressure, it may also increase index weighting and attract long-term inflows of passive capital.
$SpaceX (SPCX.US)$ The largest insider selling window since the company’s IPO opened on Thursday. After a brief dip at the opening of trading today, the stock surged strongly, rising more than 6% at one point.
SPCX SpaceX
114.345
According to Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, who said in a client report on Wednesday, the current unlock involves SpaceX shares worth about $100 billion and he characterized it as an opportunity to enter this “potential intergenerational compounding asset.” However, since SpaceX’s share price has already fallen below the $135 IPO offering price, another batch of as many as 455.8 million shares will remain locked due to price-related provisions and therefore cannot be sold in this window.
SPCXUS-4.83%
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Full FOMO! Goldman Funds Flow Expert: Options Trading Volume Hits a Record High as U.S. Stocks Roll Out a “Crazy Rally-Chase”Large-scale deleveraging and the selloff in tech stocks in July have just wrapped up, and market sentiment flipped rapidly at the beginning of August. Goldman Sachs’ latest report shows that investors are quickly rebuilding risk exposure, with demand for call options surging to a historical high. The market has started to enter a “buy the rally” positive feedback loop driven by position unwinds—“the more it rises, the more you buy.” Goldman Sachs liquidity strategist Lee Coppersmith said plainly: “July completed the position reset, and now investors are scrambling to catch up with the action throughout August.” Data shows that on Tuesday, trading volume for S&P 500 index (SPX) call options surpassed 4 million contracts, setting a record for the highest-ever single-day figure. At the same time, the SPX put/call options skew recorded its largest two-day decline in nearly a decade, reflecting a sharp surge in investors’ demand for upside risk exposure.

Full FOMO! Goldman Funds Flow Expert: Options Trading Volume Hits a Record High as U.S. Stocks Roll Out a “Crazy Rally-Chase”

Large-scale deleveraging and the selloff in tech stocks in July have just wrapped up, and market sentiment flipped rapidly at the beginning of August.
Goldman Sachs’ latest report shows that investors are quickly rebuilding risk exposure, with demand for call options surging to a historical high. The market has started to enter a “buy the rally” positive feedback loop driven by position unwinds—“the more it rises, the more you buy.” Goldman Sachs liquidity strategist Lee Coppersmith said plainly: “July completed the position reset, and now investors are scrambling to catch up with the action throughout August.”
Data shows that on Tuesday, trading volume for S&P 500 index (SPX) call options surpassed 4 million contracts, setting a record for the highest-ever single-day figure. At the same time, the SPX put/call options skew recorded its largest two-day decline in nearly a decade, reflecting a sharp surge in investors’ demand for upside risk exposure.
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This year’s Fed voting member: it’s time to “hike gradually”—don’t wait until inflation gets out of control to “slam on the brakes”Kashkari believes the U.S. economy and job market remain strong. He says current interest rates are not restrictive enough, and inflation is still far from the 2% target; therefore, the Fed should begin rate hikes as soon as possible in a gradual manner rather than waiting until inflation has become entrenched and then being forced to tighten aggressively. He emphasized support for gradual rate hikes but did not commit to taking action as early as September. When asked whether the Fed would raise rates three times this year, Kashkari responded that it is not impossible. Differences within the Fed regarding the rate path are beginning to come into view. On Wednesday, the Minneapolis Fed president Kashkari publicly stated that now is the time to start slow rate hikes to curb inflation and avoid being forced to tighten sharply later. According to CNBC, Kashkari, who has a voting role on the Fed’s monetary policy committee (FOMC) this year, said in an on-site interview that he leans toward beginning gradual rate hikes as early as September, but he made no clear commitment on a timetable. He stressed that he does not advocate large rate hikes; instead, he wants to act sooner by moving forward in small steps. This statement sharply contrasts with the position of most FOMC voters last week, and it has made market expectations for policy direction in September and October even more complicated. Kashkari is one of three dissenting members at last week’s FOMC meeting, along with him. The three regional Fed presidents at the time—including Kashkari—each argued for a 25-basis-point hike, while the other nine members voted to keep the policy rate unchanged. This was the first time since Fed Chair Waller took office in May that the FOMC meeting saw a dissenting vote. On Wednesday, Kashkari said he is not yet sure what policy action the Fed should take at its next FOMC meeting in September, adding that he wants to observe how subsequent economic data unfold. Asked whether the Fed could raise rates three times before year-end, he replied, “That is not impossible.” “If inflation continues to level off, or even worsens further, then I think we will have to start gradually adjusting interest rates in order to bring inflation down,” he added. Economic resilience leads Kashkari to question the basis for the current policy being restrictive enough to warrant hikes. He noted that corporate profits are strong, and both consumers and the labor market remain solid. Against that backdrop, he sees no evidence that monetary policy currently has a clearly restrictive effect. “Corporate earnings are very impressive, consumers can hold up, and the labor market can hold up. Looking at these developments, I can’t help but ask: what evidence is there that monetary policy is now especially restrictive?” he said. He also said the U.S. economy faces a series of supply shocks that continue to weigh on consumers, and inflation is still some distance away from the Fed’s 2% goal. In his view, rather than waiting until inflation is deeply entrenched and then being forced to hike aggressively, the better approach is to respond earlier with small steps. Internal divisions in the committee are clear. On the day before Kashkari made the remarks above, Anna Paulson, president of the Philadelphia Fed and another FOMC voter this year, expressed a markedly different view. According to CNBC, Paulson believes that existing evidence shows that the current level of interest rates has already created “moderate restriction” on economic conditions, and she supports keeping rates unchanged while continuing to assess incoming data. She also said that voting to keep rates unchanged at last week’s meeting was “not a difficult decision” for her. The public disagreement between the two officials reflects the Fed’s internal tension regarding inflation prospects and the pace of policy. Kashkari said he is still not sure what decision the committee will make at the meeting scheduled for September 15 to 16, and he believes the data at that time will be key. The market currently prices in a slight tilt toward a September hike, while the probability of an October hike is higher. With no pressure applied, communication strategy still needs clarification Although Powell previously expressed a preference for lower rates, Kashkari said this Fed chair did not put any pressure on him. “He told me, ‘Do what you think is right for the economy.’ I said, ‘I really appreciate that,’” Kashkari recounted. The three dissenting votes were the first instances of opposition during Waller’s tenure, drawing significant attention from the public. Kashkari also pointed out that the FOMC ultimately must decide on an appropriate communication strategy, but he did not disclose specific details. This suggests that internal discussion at the Fed is still ongoing about how to convey policy signals to the market.

This year’s Fed voting member: it’s time to “hike gradually”—don’t wait until inflation gets out of control to “slam on the brakes”

Kashkari believes the U.S. economy and job market remain strong. He says current interest rates are not restrictive enough, and inflation is still far from the 2% target; therefore, the Fed should begin rate hikes as soon as possible in a gradual manner rather than waiting until inflation has become entrenched and then being forced to tighten aggressively. He emphasized support for gradual rate hikes but did not commit to taking action as early as September. When asked whether the Fed would raise rates three times this year, Kashkari responded that it is not impossible. Differences within the Fed regarding the rate path are beginning to come into view.
On Wednesday, the Minneapolis Fed president Kashkari publicly stated that now is the time to start slow rate hikes to curb inflation and avoid being forced to tighten sharply later. According to CNBC, Kashkari, who has a voting role on the Fed’s monetary policy committee (FOMC) this year, said in an on-site interview that he leans toward beginning gradual rate hikes as early as September, but he made no clear commitment on a timetable. He stressed that he does not advocate large rate hikes; instead, he wants to act sooner by moving forward in small steps.
This statement sharply contrasts with the position of most FOMC voters last week, and it has made market expectations for policy direction in September and October even more complicated.
Kashkari is one of three dissenting members at last week’s FOMC meeting, along with him. The three regional Fed presidents at the time—including Kashkari—each argued for a 25-basis-point hike, while the other nine members voted to keep the policy rate unchanged. This was the first time since Fed Chair Waller took office in May that the FOMC meeting saw a dissenting vote.
On Wednesday, Kashkari said he is not yet sure what policy action the Fed should take at its next FOMC meeting in September, adding that he wants to observe how subsequent economic data unfold. Asked whether the Fed could raise rates three times before year-end, he replied, “That is not impossible.”
“If inflation continues to level off, or even worsens further, then I think we will have to start gradually adjusting interest rates in order to bring inflation down,” he added.
Economic resilience leads Kashkari to question the basis for the current policy being restrictive enough to warrant hikes. He noted that corporate profits are strong, and both consumers and the labor market remain solid. Against that backdrop, he sees no evidence that monetary policy currently has a clearly restrictive effect.
“Corporate earnings are very impressive, consumers can hold up, and the labor market can hold up. Looking at these developments, I can’t help but ask: what evidence is there that monetary policy is now especially restrictive?” he said. He also said the U.S. economy faces a series of supply shocks that continue to weigh on consumers, and inflation is still some distance away from the Fed’s 2% goal. In his view, rather than waiting until inflation is deeply entrenched and then being forced to hike aggressively, the better approach is to respond earlier with small steps.
Internal divisions in the committee are clear. On the day before Kashkari made the remarks above, Anna Paulson, president of the Philadelphia Fed and another FOMC voter this year, expressed a markedly different view. According to CNBC, Paulson believes that existing evidence shows that the current level of interest rates has already created “moderate restriction” on economic conditions, and she supports keeping rates unchanged while continuing to assess incoming data. She also said that voting to keep rates unchanged at last week’s meeting was “not a difficult decision” for her.
The public disagreement between the two officials reflects the Fed’s internal tension regarding inflation prospects and the pace of policy.
Kashkari said he is still not sure what decision the committee will make at the meeting scheduled for September 15 to 16, and he believes the data at that time will be key. The market currently prices in a slight tilt toward a September hike, while the probability of an October hike is higher.
With no pressure applied, communication strategy still needs clarification
Although Powell previously expressed a preference for lower rates, Kashkari said this Fed chair did not put any pressure on him.
“He told me, ‘Do what you think is right for the economy.’ I said, ‘I really appreciate that,’” Kashkari recounted.
The three dissenting votes were the first instances of opposition during Waller’s tenure, drawing significant attention from the public. Kashkari also pointed out that the FOMC ultimately must decide on an appropriate communication strategy, but he did not disclose specific details. This suggests that internal discussion at the Fed is still ongoing about how to convey policy signals to the market.
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SpaceX, the U.S. space exploration technology company, 2026 Q2 performance: Spacex expects about 56% of backlog orders to recognize revenue within 1 year, and about 34% to recognize revenue within 1 to 3 years—U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing!Revenue of $7.8 billion, up 92% year over year; diluted loss per share of $0.09. Net loss of $541 million, an improvement of $467 million compared with a net loss of $1.0 billion in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $3.5 billion, up 191% year over year, increasing from $1.2 billion to $3.5 billion. Business highlights Backed by an extreme vertical integration model to achieve strong growth; overall revenue from its aerospace business, Starlink communications business, and artificial intelligence business surged 92% year over year. Within the past 90 days, completed two successful test flights of Starship V3 prototype units, continuously advancing the rapid implementation of rocket full-arc fast reuse technology.

SpaceX, the U.S. space exploration technology company, 2026 Q2 performance: Spacex expects about 56% of backlog orders to recognize revenue within 1 year, and about 34% to recognize revenue within 1 to 3 years—U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing!

Revenue of $7.8 billion, up 92% year over year; diluted loss per share of $0.09.
Net loss of $541 million, an improvement of $467 million compared with a net loss of $1.0 billion in the same period last year.
Adjusted EBITDA was $3.5 billion, up 191% year over year, increasing from $1.2 billion to $3.5 billion.
Business highlights
Backed by an extreme vertical integration model to achieve strong growth; overall revenue from its aerospace business, Starlink communications business, and artificial intelligence business surged 92% year over year.
Within the past 90 days, completed two successful test flights of Starship V3 prototype units, continuously advancing the rapid implementation of rocket full-arc fast reuse technology.
SPACEX said it is working with Nvidia to jointly develop the “Starmind AI1” satellite computing payload. Each Starmind satellite will be equipped with an Nvidia Rubin GPU and a Vera CPU to deliver data-center-class space computing capability. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang publicly called out who the winner of the AI race is. Not OpenAI, not Anthropic, and not Google—but Elon Musk. His rationale has nothing to do with personal character; it is based on the “compute-power math” of infrastructure: Tesla’s AI factories are equipped with a large amount of Nvidia hardware, and Tesla’s fleet is the largest real-world data collection system on Earth. Musk controls what Huang calls the three most important domains in AI: xAI (foundational cognitive intelligence), Tesla (autonomous driving vehicles), and Optimus humanoid robots.
SPACEX said it is working with Nvidia to jointly develop the “Starmind AI1” satellite computing payload. Each Starmind satellite will be equipped with an Nvidia Rubin GPU and a Vera CPU to deliver data-center-class space computing capability.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang publicly called out who the winner of the AI race is. Not OpenAI, not Anthropic, and not Google—but Elon Musk.

His rationale has nothing to do with personal character; it is based on the “compute-power math” of infrastructure: Tesla’s AI factories are equipped with a large amount of Nvidia hardware, and Tesla’s fleet is the largest real-world data collection system on Earth.

Musk controls what Huang calls the three most important domains in AI: xAI (foundational cognitive intelligence), Tesla (autonomous driving vehicles), and Optimus humanoid robots.
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