This peak at 64,940 might be the only thing to hold onto for tonight.
As soon as BTC touched 64,940, it was pushed back to 64,200. The intraday high and low are only about $1,100 apart. Price is still above MA5=64,292 and MA20=64,101, so the moving averages haven’t been broken, but the bulls clearly don’t have enough strength anymore.
MACD is still in the bullish territory, but DIF is only -81.8 and it’s sliding down close to the zero line. RSI is 60.3—neither strong nor weak. It’s neither overbought nor fearful. Basically, it’s just grinding.
Spot volume is 906 million USDT, only 0.7x of the average volume—so volume is contracting. An up move on light volume at this level suggests not many new buyers are coming in; it’s mainly old longs propping it up.
The key support below is 63,806, today’s low, and S2 is hovering around 63,830. With these two supports stacked together, it’s temporarily safe. Above that, 64,950 and 65,474 are the dense zone of last week’s trapped longs. Without a breakout on volume, it likely can’t get through.
My idea: pull back to around 63,900 to pick up some, set a stop-loss at 63,600. If it breaks, then look for a short. First target: 64,950—trim there. The remainder can be watched toward 65,400.
If tomorrow continues with the same amount of volume, a push toward 65,000 is probably fake. Be careful of a slow grind lower on shrinking volume—dropping $200–$300 every day feels ten times worse than a single big bearish candle.
What’s your entry price? Are you daring enough to use the same stop-loss as me?
#BTC #行情复盘 #币圈 #加密货币 #ETH
As soon as BTC touched 64,940, it was pushed back to 64,200. The intraday high and low are only about $1,100 apart. Price is still above MA5=64,292 and MA20=64,101, so the moving averages haven’t been broken, but the bulls clearly don’t have enough strength anymore.
MACD is still in the bullish territory, but DIF is only -81.8 and it’s sliding down close to the zero line. RSI is 60.3—neither strong nor weak. It’s neither overbought nor fearful. Basically, it’s just grinding.
Spot volume is 906 million USDT, only 0.7x of the average volume—so volume is contracting. An up move on light volume at this level suggests not many new buyers are coming in; it’s mainly old longs propping it up.
The key support below is 63,806, today’s low, and S2 is hovering around 63,830. With these two supports stacked together, it’s temporarily safe. Above that, 64,950 and 65,474 are the dense zone of last week’s trapped longs. Without a breakout on volume, it likely can’t get through.
My idea: pull back to around 63,900 to pick up some, set a stop-loss at 63,600. If it breaks, then look for a short. First target: 64,950—trim there. The remainder can be watched toward 65,400.
If tomorrow continues with the same amount of volume, a push toward 65,000 is probably fake. Be careful of a slow grind lower on shrinking volume—dropping $200–$300 every day feels ten times worse than a single big bearish candle.
What’s your entry price? Are you daring enough to use the same stop-loss as me?
#BTC #行情复盘 #币圈 #加密货币 #ETH