🕒 Analysis time: 19:12 on August 11, 2026 (UTC+8)
🔹 BTC
Current price: 64,303.7
The 1-hour trend in the early stage went through a round of sharp selloff and pullback. After touching the 63,788.0 low point, it found support and then launched a strong oversold rebound, forming a repair pattern characterized by consecutive consolidation and upward movement in the short term. The indicator is still in a red, suppressing state, with the overhead resistance line pushed down to around 64,465.4. The MACD double lines form a golden cross in the deep-water area below the zero line and are accelerating upward (DIF: -112.9, DEA: -180.6). The green bullish momentum histogram is significantly enlarged (67.7), indicating that short-term bullish counterattack momentum is abundant and that price is actively testing the resistance of the overhead trendline.
Reference probability:
📈 Bullish bias: 55%
📉 Bearish bias: 45%
Trading idea:
The short-term market is in a strong rebound phase after testing a bottom. The first key resistance overhead is the Supertrend suppression level at 64,465. If a volume-backed break occurs, the rebound potential may further extend to the 64,800 and even 65,200 area. The first support below is the 64,000 round-number level, and strong support is at the prior low of 63,788. In terms of strategy, it is recommended to adopt a “pullback and go long” approach. Watch for opportunities to set long positions after the price pulls back and stabilizes in the 64,000–64,150 range, with a stop-loss below 63,700. If the price rebounds and shows clear hesitation and rejection near 64,465, you can also try a small-sized short position.
🔹 ETH
Current price: 1,891.94
The ETH 1-hour trend follows the broader market as it bottoms and rebounds. After probing down to 1,866.14, it has consecutively closed with bullish candles, lifting the price. The rebound momentum is even slightly stronger than the overall market. The current price is now extremely close to an important overhead resistance level.The Supertrend indicator is still in a red, suppressive configuration, but the defense line at 1,892.49 is being directly tested by the bulls—an upside breakout is imminent. The MACD lines are crossing upward at low levels below the zero axis (DIF: -4.30, DEA: -7.41). The green bullish momentum histogram bars are steadily increasing (3.12), showing very strong bullish counterattack intent. There are signs of a short-term reversal of bearish weakness.
Reference probability:
📈 Bullish bias: 60%
📉 Bearish bias: 40%
Trading idea:
The short-term rebound is fierce and is about to face a major bull-bear battle on the 1-hour trend line. The most critical resistance overhead is the Supertrend at 1,892.5. Once it is broken with effective volume and holds, the upside room will open quickly, with targets at 1,910 and the 24-hour high of 1,922. The first support below is in the 1,875–1,880 range, and strong support lies at the previous low of 1,866. In terms of strategy, it is recommended to focus on whether 1,892.5 breaks. If there is a strong breakout, follow the move to go long. If it fails to break and pulls back, look for buy-the-dip opportunities in the 1,878–1,885 range, with a stop-loss set below 1,860.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The content above is only personal market observations and market analysis, and does not constitute any investment advice. Please make independent decisions based on your own risk tolerance.
