🕒 Analysis time: 2026-08-07 21:23 (UTC+8)
🔹 BTC
Current price: 65,244.8
1-hour timeframe trend is strong with a sharp rally, breaking above the previous high on increased volume and refreshing the 24-hour high to 65,358.0. Currently, it has pulled back from the high and is consolidating. The indicator shows a green bullish structure, with the support line having moved up to around 64,504.0. The MACD accelerates upward above the zero line, forming a golden cross (DIF: 149.7, DEA: 41.8), and the green bullish momentum histogram is significantly enlarged (107.9), indicating that the bulls are firmly in control of the market. The upward channel has been opened.
Reference probability:
📈 Bullish: 65%
📉 Bearish Bias: 35%
Trading Plan:
The overall market breaks through in line with expectations, and the bullish structure is very strong. The key support below, where the breakout point and the Supertrend overlap, is 64,500 - 64,800. Resistance above is first seen at the previous high of 65,358. After a breakout, there is potential to open up room and run toward the 66,000 level. In terms of strategy, it is recommended to maintain a “buy-the-dip” mindset: if the price consolidates and stabilizes in the 64,600 - 64,900 range, consider placing long orders in batches with light position sizing. Set the stop-loss below 64,400.
🔹 ETH
Current Price: 1,930.33
ETH 1-hour timeframe follows the overall market and pushes upward with strength, breaking above the previous high to rally to 1,943.00, and is currently holding high levels with strong consolidation. The Supertrend indicator remains in a green bullish state, with the support line raised to around 1,901.37. The MACD’s two lines have formed another bullish crossover and diverge above the zero line (DIF: 5.14, DEA: 2.37), and the green bullish histogram expands (2.76), indicating that the short-term pullback has ended and the market has returned to a long-dominant structure.
Reference Probability:
📈 Bullish Bias: 65%
📉 Bearish Bias: 35%
Trading Plan:
Price holds above the 1,900 key level and refreshes the current phase high, further expanding upside potential. For support below, the first area to watch is the 1,900 - 1,910 whole-number overlap zone; strong support is around 1,901 (Supertrend support). Strategically, it is recommended to follow the trend and “buy on dips.” Watch for opportunities to test longs after pullbacks and stabilization in the 1,910 - 1,920 area. Set the stop-loss below 1,895. For upside targets, the first target is the 1,943 high; after a breakout, look toward the 1,960 - 1,980 range.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The above is only my personal market observations and analysis of market conditions, and does not constitute any investment advice. Please make independent judgments based on your own risk tolerance.
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