【Long-term Signal · Weekly/Monthly Direction Layer】 2026-08-05
Current Price 64,480
MA50 63,294 Above ✓
MA150 69,530 Below ✗
MA200 70,697 Below ✗
── Market Structure Bearish tail rebound (after a deep pullback, price returned to MA50 but has not reversed)
【Volatility Regime Layer · Leverage Upper Limit】
ATR percentile 0.11 (low volatility)
Leverage Upper Limit 3.0x Normal positions / can open grids
【Short-term Signal · 4h/Daily Execution Layer】
Entry Price 63,569 (lower bound of the VPVR value area)
Stop Loss (2×ATR) 60,447 -6.3% from the current price
Near-term Target 66,163 (upper bound of the VPVR value area)
Far-term Target 69,530 (MA150 reversal confirmation level)
【Overall Trading Recommendations】
Bearish tail rebound (after a deep pullback, price returned to MA50 but has not reversed)
· Rebound, not a reversal: consider a small long position (trend has returned to MA50), stop loss 60,447
· Near-term target 66,163, far-term 69,530 (add to the long-term position only after MA150 confirms the reversal)
· Keep position size light; price may be pushed back down by MA150 at any time.
Current Price 64,480
MA50 63,294 Above ✓
MA150 69,530 Below ✗
MA200 70,697 Below ✗
── Market Structure Bearish tail rebound (after a deep pullback, price returned to MA50 but has not reversed)
【Volatility Regime Layer · Leverage Upper Limit】
ATR percentile 0.11 (low volatility)
Leverage Upper Limit 3.0x Normal positions / can open grids
【Short-term Signal · 4h/Daily Execution Layer】
Entry Price 63,569 (lower bound of the VPVR value area)
Stop Loss (2×ATR) 60,447 -6.3% from the current price
Near-term Target 66,163 (upper bound of the VPVR value area)
Far-term Target 69,530 (MA150 reversal confirmation level)
【Overall Trading Recommendations】
Bearish tail rebound (after a deep pullback, price returned to MA50 but has not reversed)
· Rebound, not a reversal: consider a small long position (trend has returned to MA50), stop loss 60,447
· Near-term target 66,163, far-term 69,530 (add to the long-term position only after MA150 confirms the reversal)
· Keep position size light; price may be pushed back down by MA150 at any time.