#CrudeOilUpdate

šŸ’„US Senate Weighs Russia Sanctions Bill, India Could Face 100% Tariff

The bill: The Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia Act of 2026 (S.5025) cleared its first Senate hurdle today as Zelenskyy visited Washington. With 60+ cosponsors and Trump's endorsement, it's on track for a floor vote.

The mechanism: Up to 100% secondary tariffs on the top 5 buyers of Russian oil and top 5 buyers of Russian gas — targeting China, India, Turkey, Hungary, Slovakia (oil) and China, Turkey, France, Japan, Belgium (gas).

India's exposure: The country is the #2 buyer of Russian crude oil globally. The US has already proven the leverage works — a previous 25% tariff on India cut their Russian oil purchases by 50% .

The reality: The tariff is a presidential tool, not automatic. The most likely scenario: a gradual reduction-for-waiver model — India cuts Russian oil share vs. targets, uses sanctions-compliant carriers, and secures exemptions citing energy security.

The $BTC read-through: The bill is also pushing the Clarity Act off the Senate calendar before the August 8 recess, making crypto regulation's 2026 odds increasingly slim. Another reason risk assets are on edge.
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