Options Market Signals: Traders Are Betting Bitcoin Reaches $100,000 by Month-End
After a deep correction at the end of 2025, early this year, bitcoin options traders are once again focusing on the key target of $100,000. Market sentiment has recovered from panic, and bullish signals are emerging in the derivatives market.
According to Bloomberg, the most compelling evidence for this shift comes from options position data on the Deribit exchange.
Data shows that the open interest for bitcoin call options with a strike price of $100,000 expiring on January 30 is more than double that of the most popular put options with a strike price of $80,000 during the same period, indicating significant capital betting on bitcoin returning to this psychological level in the near term.
Traders note that although the market panicked last October and saw a surge in demand for high-strike put options for asset protection, this 'panic premium' has now significantly diminished, signaling that the worst-case scenarios are no longer expected.
Meanwhile, ETF market flows are beginning to rebound. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs attracted $697 million in net inflows on Monday, marking the highest level since October 7 of last year, indicating a return of institutional buying.
Analysts point out that this rebound is supported by broader market trends. First, traditional safe-haven assets like gold and tech stocks are rising in tandem. In contrast, bitcoin, after a sharp decline, appears to be 'price-lagged,' which paradoxically increases the appeal of its call options.
However, whether this trend will hold remains uncertain. Over the past few months, bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break through key resistance levels before quickly reversing, underscoring strong selling pressure above.
Some market views suggest that bitcoin must sustainably hold above $106,000 on a weekly chart to regain momentum for a new all-time high.
From the current options positioning, if bitcoin can successfully hold above the $90,000 level on a weekly basis, the next key target could be around $105,000.
In summary, data from the options market and the trend of spot ETF inflows indicate that traders are placing real money on bitcoin returning to $100,000. However, whether this can be achieved smoothly still depends on overcoming the persistent resistance zones that have previously hindered price appreciation.
#期权市场 #市场情绪
After a deep correction at the end of 2025, early this year, bitcoin options traders are once again focusing on the key target of $100,000. Market sentiment has recovered from panic, and bullish signals are emerging in the derivatives market.
According to Bloomberg, the most compelling evidence for this shift comes from options position data on the Deribit exchange.
Data shows that the open interest for bitcoin call options with a strike price of $100,000 expiring on January 30 is more than double that of the most popular put options with a strike price of $80,000 during the same period, indicating significant capital betting on bitcoin returning to this psychological level in the near term.
Traders note that although the market panicked last October and saw a surge in demand for high-strike put options for asset protection, this 'panic premium' has now significantly diminished, signaling that the worst-case scenarios are no longer expected.
Meanwhile, ETF market flows are beginning to rebound. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs attracted $697 million in net inflows on Monday, marking the highest level since October 7 of last year, indicating a return of institutional buying.
Analysts point out that this rebound is supported by broader market trends. First, traditional safe-haven assets like gold and tech stocks are rising in tandem. In contrast, bitcoin, after a sharp decline, appears to be 'price-lagged,' which paradoxically increases the appeal of its call options.
However, whether this trend will hold remains uncertain. Over the past few months, bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break through key resistance levels before quickly reversing, underscoring strong selling pressure above.
Some market views suggest that bitcoin must sustainably hold above $106,000 on a weekly chart to regain momentum for a new all-time high.
From the current options positioning, if bitcoin can successfully hold above the $90,000 level on a weekly basis, the next key target could be around $105,000.
In summary, data from the options market and the trend of spot ETF inflows indicate that traders are placing real money on bitcoin returning to $100,000. However, whether this can be achieved smoothly still depends on overcoming the persistent resistance zones that have previously hindered price appreciation.
#期权市场 #市场情绪
