The night before the big release: rockets blasting off—SpaceX’s “liquidity-seeking” playbook or the prelude to a meat grinder?
Brothers, watching the SPCX price action—does it feel like you’re watching a spy thriller? The trillion-dollar lock-up release on August 6, that Damocles sword, hasn’t even fallen yet, and on July 23 Starship is already set to force its way through the gates of the underworld.
Short positions have surged to nearly 30%, with paper gains of $4 billion. This isn’t the market—this is the “Stalingrad” battlefield between bulls and bears.
If the current rally has three hard-core reasons:
1) The “short-squeeze” script is already written: nearly 30% of the float has been borrowed for shorting—this powder keg only needs a spark. Any improvement from a Starship test flight—just getting the satellite into orbit, or even letting slip some signs of Starlink’s earnings breakthrough—these shorts will panic and scramble to cover. In a “short-squeeze” scenario, the speed is comparable to Starship’s ignition—this really can punch a hole through the sky.
2) Institutions are picking up bargains in the “junk pile”: the stock price fell from 225 to 119—almost cut in half, and the market cap has evaporated by over $1 trillion. But look at it—Cathie Wood’s ARKK has been buying nonstop as if money were free, and bigwigs like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are even issuing “buy” ratings. Are these old foxes really dumber than retail investors? They’re betting on the “golden pit” right before the lock-up release—using panic sentiment to scoop up cheap shares.
3) Catalysts are right on the verge: the Starship test flight on July 23—win or lose, as long as it doesn’t explode on the spot, the market can always spin it as good news. If it succeeds, that’s a technical breakthrough; if it fails, then it’s a setback “within expectations.” Add the earnings report on August 4—what the market trades is always expectations. Pushing the stock higher before the lock-up release to sell into the hype is a capital-market perennial grand scheme.
$SPCX $SPCXB $SPCX.US #SpaceX首次大规模股份8月6日解锁
Brothers, watching the SPCX price action—does it feel like you’re watching a spy thriller? The trillion-dollar lock-up release on August 6, that Damocles sword, hasn’t even fallen yet, and on July 23 Starship is already set to force its way through the gates of the underworld.
Short positions have surged to nearly 30%, with paper gains of $4 billion. This isn’t the market—this is the “Stalingrad” battlefield between bulls and bears.
If the current rally has three hard-core reasons:
1) The “short-squeeze” script is already written: nearly 30% of the float has been borrowed for shorting—this powder keg only needs a spark. Any improvement from a Starship test flight—just getting the satellite into orbit, or even letting slip some signs of Starlink’s earnings breakthrough—these shorts will panic and scramble to cover. In a “short-squeeze” scenario, the speed is comparable to Starship’s ignition—this really can punch a hole through the sky.
2) Institutions are picking up bargains in the “junk pile”: the stock price fell from 225 to 119—almost cut in half, and the market cap has evaporated by over $1 trillion. But look at it—Cathie Wood’s ARKK has been buying nonstop as if money were free, and bigwigs like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are even issuing “buy” ratings. Are these old foxes really dumber than retail investors? They’re betting on the “golden pit” right before the lock-up release—using panic sentiment to scoop up cheap shares.
3) Catalysts are right on the verge: the Starship test flight on July 23—win or lose, as long as it doesn’t explode on the spot, the market can always spin it as good news. If it succeeds, that’s a technical breakthrough; if it fails, then it’s a setback “within expectations.” Add the earnings report on August 4—what the market trades is always expectations. Pushing the stock higher before the lock-up release to sell into the hype is a capital-market perennial grand scheme.
$SPCX $SPCXB $SPCX.US #SpaceX首次大规模股份8月6日解锁