🧠 Opinion: Calm $BTC = Lower Crash Risk in Q1?
Bitcoin didn’t end the year with a euphoric blow-off top—and that might actually be bullish for stability.
Anthony Pompliano says the absence of a late-year frenzy reduces the odds of a sharp Q1 crash, especially with BTC volatility now heavily compressed. In his view, the chances of a 70–80% drawdown are extremely low under current conditions.
Context matters 👇
BTC is up ~100% in 2 years and ~300% in 3 years
Less volatility = less upside excitement, but more downside protection
Current price: $87,436, down 7.39% YTD
Not everyone agrees long term:
Peter Brandt sees a possible $60K in Q3 2026
Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer points to $65K sometime in 2026
No blow-off. No panic. Just compression.
Is this the calm before continuation—or a slow grind lower? 👇
#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #BTC





