花涧空
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花涧空
Square Verified+Crypto observer｜Market & on‑chain updates｜Not investment advice
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📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
PINNED
In a bear market, everyone likes to predict the lowest price for this round, $BTC . Let me take a shot at it too!
What do you think the bottom will be? Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments!
Personally, I predict the extreme bottom for this round at 44000U📉
Three core points:
1. Technical Cycle: The high was 126,000, and a 65% golden retracement perfectly corresponds to the 44,000 range;
2. Miner Cost Hard Support⛏️: The shutdown price for mainstream S23 water-cooled miners is 44,000. This is the new generation computing power's bottom line; if it drops below this, many will shut down, leading to massive selling pressure; the older S21 miners at 69,000-74,000 will reduce output in advance to cushion the drop;
3. Capital Flow: The spot ETF continues to provide a floor, making it hard to replicate the deep crashes of previous years. After the panic selling clears in Q4, we may see a bottom⏳
This prediction is based solely on cycles and mining costs, and there could be black swan events in the market. This does not constitute investment advice; invest your spare change to maintain a calm mindset✨
Once we hit a price you consider suitable, you can start to accumulate! Gradually increase your position; if you keep waiting for the absolute lowest price, you might miss out on this round of opportunities!
⚠️ Crypto investments carry extremely high risks, so enter the market with caution.
What do you think the bottom will be? Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments!
Personally, I predict the extreme bottom for this round at 44000U📉
Three core points:
1. Technical Cycle: The high was 126,000, and a 65% golden retracement perfectly corresponds to the 44,000 range;
2. Miner Cost Hard Support⛏️: The shutdown price for mainstream S23 water-cooled miners is 44,000. This is the new generation computing power's bottom line; if it drops below this, many will shut down, leading to massive selling pressure; the older S21 miners at 69,000-74,000 will reduce output in advance to cushion the drop;
3. Capital Flow: The spot ETF continues to provide a floor, making it hard to replicate the deep crashes of previous years. After the panic selling clears in Q4, we may see a bottom⏳
This prediction is based solely on cycles and mining costs, and there could be black swan events in the market. This does not constitute investment advice; invest your spare change to maintain a calm mindset✨
Once we hit a price you consider suitable, you can start to accumulate! Gradually increase your position; if you keep waiting for the absolute lowest price, you might miss out on this round of opportunities!
⚠️ Crypto investments carry extremely high risks, so enter the market with caution.
Partly True
花涧空
·
--
📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
@花涧空 9月有奇迹
花涧空
·
--
✨September Outlook Is Here
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
Verified
花涧空
·
--
📢 Gold and silver fall to two-week lows; global bond yields surge, weighing on precious metals
On September 1, according to Binance market data, gold and silver prices continued their recent downtrend. Amid widespread selloffs in major global bond markets and a rapid rise in long-term yields, safe-haven demand for precious metals was temporarily suppressed by the pressure of high interest rates. Spot gold fell intraday by nearly 1.8% at one point to around $4,370 per ounce, marking a new low since August 19; spot silver dropped by nearly 3% to around $64.5 per ounce.
That day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.75%, Germany’s 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 15-year high, and Japan’s 10-year Treasury yield broke above 3% for the first time since 1996. With market worries over an escalation in the situation in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher and stoking inflation, major central banks may be forced to maintain tightening policies—or even raise rates further—thereby continuously increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold.
The market will next focus on the ADP employment data on September 2 and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on September 4 to gauge the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike expectations and the subsequent trend in bond yields.
$XAUT
$XAG
On September 1, according to Binance market data, gold and silver prices continued their recent downtrend. Amid widespread selloffs in major global bond markets and a rapid rise in long-term yields, safe-haven demand for precious metals was temporarily suppressed by the pressure of high interest rates. Spot gold fell intraday by nearly 1.8% at one point to around $4,370 per ounce, marking a new low since August 19; spot silver dropped by nearly 3% to around $64.5 per ounce.
That day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.75%, Germany’s 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 15-year high, and Japan’s 10-year Treasury yield broke above 3% for the first time since 1996. With market worries over an escalation in the situation in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher and stoking inflation, major central banks may be forced to maintain tightening policies—or even raise rates further—thereby continuously increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold.
The market will next focus on the ADP employment data on September 2 and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on September 4 to gauge the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike expectations and the subsequent trend in bond yields.
$XAUT
$XAG
花涧空
·
--
📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
@花涧空 9 Miracle in May
花涧空
·
--
✨September Outlook Is Here
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
花涧空
·
--
📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
Verified
花涧空
·
--
📢 Gold and silver fall to two-week lows; global bond yields surge, weighing on precious metals
On September 1, according to Binance market data, gold and silver prices continued their recent downtrend. Amid widespread selloffs in major global bond markets and a rapid rise in long-term yields, safe-haven demand for precious metals was temporarily suppressed by the pressure of high interest rates. Spot gold fell intraday by nearly 1.8% at one point to around $4,370 per ounce, marking a new low since August 19; spot silver dropped by nearly 3% to around $64.5 per ounce.
That day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.75%, Germany’s 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 15-year high, and Japan’s 10-year Treasury yield broke above 3% for the first time since 1996. With market worries over an escalation in the situation in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher and stoking inflation, major central banks may be forced to maintain tightening policies—or even raise rates further—thereby continuously increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold.
The market will next focus on the ADP employment data on September 2 and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on September 4 to gauge the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike expectations and the subsequent trend in bond yields.
$XAUT
$XAG
On September 1, according to Binance market data, gold and silver prices continued their recent downtrend. Amid widespread selloffs in major global bond markets and a rapid rise in long-term yields, safe-haven demand for precious metals was temporarily suppressed by the pressure of high interest rates. Spot gold fell intraday by nearly 1.8% at one point to around $4,370 per ounce, marking a new low since August 19; spot silver dropped by nearly 3% to around $64.5 per ounce.
That day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.75%, Germany’s 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 15-year high, and Japan’s 10-year Treasury yield broke above 3% for the first time since 1996. With market worries over an escalation in the situation in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher and stoking inflation, major central banks may be forced to maintain tightening policies—or even raise rates further—thereby continuously increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold.
The market will next focus on the ADP employment data on September 2 and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on September 4 to gauge the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike expectations and the subsequent trend in bond yields.
$XAUT
$XAG
花涧空
·
--
📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
@花涧空 September
花涧空
·
--
✨September Outlook Is Here
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
@花涧空 9 August Has Miracles
花涧空
·
--
📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
花涧空
·
--
✨September Outlook Is Here
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
花涧空
·
--
📢 US stocks see a “black opening” in September: oil prices and US Treasury yields rise together, putting pressure on high-risk assets
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
On September 1, the first trading day of the month, all three major US stock indexes opened lower. The Dow fell 0.64%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.71%, and the Nasdaq fell 1.31%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index once fell by more than 3%. Intel and Qualcomm both slid nearly 3%, while AMD and Meta fell more than 2%. Tesla, Alibaba, and Nvidia fell nearly 2%. $NVDAB $TSLAB
The core factor weighing on the market is that oil prices and global bond yields are moving higher in tandem. Brent crude broke through $92 per barrel during the session. With growing concerns about the situation in the Middle East and disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the market worries that energy prices and inflation will rise further, strengthening expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Currently, CME “FedWatch” shows the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September to 3.75%-4.00% has risen to 66%.
Paul Ciana, a technical strategist at Bank of America, said that the upward breakout in the S&P 500 that began in August remains intact, but only if it holds above 7,500. Meanwhile, neither the RSI nor the MACD has confirmed the recent price highs, indicating that upside momentum is weakening. Ciana added that seasonal headwinds, election uncertainty, and rising front-end Treasury yields are presenting greater challenges to the market. Higher yields increase the risk that the stock market enters consolidation rather than accelerating higher.
Miller Tabak strategist Matt Maley also warned that the stock market had previously been able to ignore rising yields, but that doesn’t mean the pressure from high yields won’t eventually show up. JPMorgan believes that rising yields don’t necessarily become an insurmountable obstacle for a bull market, as they may reflect stronger momentum in economic activity.
花涧空
·
--
✨September Outlook Is Here
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
📢 Gold and silver fall to two-week lows; global bond yields surge, weighing on precious metals
On September 1, according to Binance market data, gold and silver prices continued their recent downtrend. Amid widespread selloffs in major global bond markets and a rapid rise in long-term yields, safe-haven demand for precious metals was temporarily suppressed by the pressure of high interest rates. Spot gold fell intraday by nearly 1.8% at one point to around $4,370 per ounce, marking a new low since August 19; spot silver dropped by nearly 3% to around $64.5 per ounce.
That day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.75%, Germany’s 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 15-year high, and Japan’s 10-year Treasury yield broke above 3% for the first time since 1996. With market worries over an escalation in the situation in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher and stoking inflation, major central banks may be forced to maintain tightening policies—or even raise rates further—thereby continuously increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold.
The market will next focus on the ADP employment data on September 2 and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on September 4 to gauge the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike expectations and the subsequent trend in bond yields.
$XAUT
$XAG
On September 1, according to Binance market data, gold and silver prices continued their recent downtrend. Amid widespread selloffs in major global bond markets and a rapid rise in long-term yields, safe-haven demand for precious metals was temporarily suppressed by the pressure of high interest rates. Spot gold fell intraday by nearly 1.8% at one point to around $4,370 per ounce, marking a new low since August 19; spot silver dropped by nearly 3% to around $64.5 per ounce.
That day, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose above 4.75%, Germany’s 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a 15-year high, and Japan’s 10-year Treasury yield broke above 3% for the first time since 1996. With market worries over an escalation in the situation in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher and stoking inflation, major central banks may be forced to maintain tightening policies—or even raise rates further—thereby continuously increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold.
The market will next focus on the ADP employment data on September 2 and the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report on September 4 to gauge the Federal Reserve’s rate-hike expectations and the subsequent trend in bond yields.
$XAUT
$XAG
✨September Outlook Is Here
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
【Current Market Snapshot】
Total market cap is about $2.66 trillion, down 2.16% over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is 59.2%, ETH is 11.2%. Overall, it’s a typical weak range-bound market, with capital clumping around BTC.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Key Scenarios for September】
1️⃣ The Fed is the biggest variable. Current federal funds rate is 3.75%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.65%—liquidity is still relatively tight. The good news: September rate-hike expectations are cooling down. Goldman Sachs even said the market is too hawkish, giving risk assets some breathing room.
2️⃣ BTC just violently rebounded from around $63,586 to near $80,000—up more than 20% in a week. But note: it hasn’t reclaimed this year’s losses yet. $97,900 (the year-to-date high) is the true bull vs. bear line.
3️⃣ Institutional script: 60% probability it holds above $58k–$60k, and 40% probability it retests $50k–$58k. A rebound doesn’t equal a reversal—trade the “market repair” first.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Sector Opportunities】
🔥 RWA surged +47% in 24h, and tokenized assets are up an eye-watering +97%! Capital is moving toward “on-chain compliant assets”—this is the brightest narrative for September.
❄️ Meme sector -4.2%, AI sector -3.3%. The hype is cooling off—don’t rush to chase big buys; let the bullets fly for a bit.
🔍 On the hot search list, new faces like Pons, Seeker, and Cash Cat have strong trading volumes. In short-term sentiment trades, everyone is crowding into DEXs to fight it out.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Trading Approach】
Spot crowd: If BTC dips back to $75k–$80k, scale in. Stop strictly if it breaks below $70k. Don’t increase position size before it stands firm above $97,900.
De-gens crowd: On BSC, be patient and wait for the new narrative to ignite—don’t catch the knife at the emotional low point. Money won’t disappoint smart babies, but de-gens will~
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
Crypto assets are not legally protected on the Chinese mainland and do not constitute investment advice.
✨ This is the strongest August for BTC in the past 10 years—the comeback battle was fought beautifully~
【Market Overview】
🟢 BTC’s August cumulative gain is +25.58%, the strongest August since 2017. It briefly touched an $81k high intraday, then pulled back, and is now consolidating around $78,325.
🟢 ETH is “getting its share” too, around $2,450—its weekly chart was once up about +30%. Institutional capital has clearly started rotating from BTC into ETH.
📊 Total global market cap is $2.63T. BTC dominance is 59.7%. The past 24h saw a small pullback of 2.6%, but overall it’s still a bull-market structure.$BTC
$ETH
✨✨✨✨✨
【Flows: Institutions are scrambling to accumulate】
💰 Net inflows into BTC spot ETFs are as high as $2.6 billion for the week. BlackRock’s IBIT alone pulled in $503 million in a single day—this kind of force can only come from large institutions.
💰 ETH ETF inflows are also strong. Coupled with the rotation in market share, the powder keg of alt-season has already been set.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Macro & Policy】
🏛️ At the Jackson Hole annual conference on August 28, Fed Chair Warsh talked about inflation and innovation. PCE is still stuck at 3.7%, so rate cuts aren’t coming that fast—but the market is still rallying.
📜 The momentum for the U.S. CLARITY Act is heating up. September is a key milestone. Policy-wise, sentiment is shifting from being suppressed by negative factors to a compliant narrative—this reversal in market mood is crucial.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Hot Sectors】
🔥 Top trending across the network: PONS, Seeker(SKR), Pump.fun(PUMP), HYPE, XMR are all blowing up.
🔥 The capital narrative is clearly shifting toward AI / RWA / DePIN. Alt rotations are accelerating—choosing the right sector matters more than stubbornly holding.
🐮 The BSC chain you often watch isn’t the main battleground this time. Mainstream capital is focused on the BTC/ETH camp and the AI narrative.
【Trading Suggestions】
🎯 August ran up too hard—be prepared for high-level consolidation and pullbacks in September. $75k is BTC’s first support; if it breaks, watch $72k.
🎯 Don’t chase. Wait for the pullback and then get in; ETH is relatively strong, so it’s worth focusing on.
🎯 Don’t blindly chase big money. The main storyline here is institutional narrative, not a “shitcoin” market. First secure your mainstream positioning.
⚠️The above is only a market recap and does not constitute investment advice
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
【Market Overview】
🟢 BTC’s August cumulative gain is +25.58%, the strongest August since 2017. It briefly touched an $81k high intraday, then pulled back, and is now consolidating around $78,325.
🟢 ETH is “getting its share” too, around $2,450—its weekly chart was once up about +30%. Institutional capital has clearly started rotating from BTC into ETH.
📊 Total global market cap is $2.63T. BTC dominance is 59.7%. The past 24h saw a small pullback of 2.6%, but overall it’s still a bull-market structure.$BTC
$ETH
✨✨✨✨✨
【Flows: Institutions are scrambling to accumulate】
💰 Net inflows into BTC spot ETFs are as high as $2.6 billion for the week. BlackRock’s IBIT alone pulled in $503 million in a single day—this kind of force can only come from large institutions.
💰 ETH ETF inflows are also strong. Coupled with the rotation in market share, the powder keg of alt-season has already been set.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Macro & Policy】
🏛️ At the Jackson Hole annual conference on August 28, Fed Chair Warsh talked about inflation and innovation. PCE is still stuck at 3.7%, so rate cuts aren’t coming that fast—but the market is still rallying.
📜 The momentum for the U.S. CLARITY Act is heating up. September is a key milestone. Policy-wise, sentiment is shifting from being suppressed by negative factors to a compliant narrative—this reversal in market mood is crucial.
✨✨✨✨✨
【Hot Sectors】
🔥 Top trending across the network: PONS, Seeker(SKR), Pump.fun(PUMP), HYPE, XMR are all blowing up.
🔥 The capital narrative is clearly shifting toward AI / RWA / DePIN. Alt rotations are accelerating—choosing the right sector matters more than stubbornly holding.
🐮 The BSC chain you often watch isn’t the main battleground this time. Mainstream capital is focused on the BTC/ETH camp and the AI narrative.
【Trading Suggestions】
🎯 August ran up too hard—be prepared for high-level consolidation and pullbacks in September. $75k is BTC’s first support; if it breaks, watch $72k.
🎯 Don’t chase. Wait for the pullback and then get in; ETH is relatively strong, so it’s worth focusing on.
🎯 Don’t blindly chase big money. The main storyline here is institutional narrative, not a “shitcoin” market. First secure your mainstream positioning.
⚠️The above is only a market recap and does not constitute investment advice
#比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市
📢 Before the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data, the probability of the Fed cutting rates twice by year-end exceeds 50%
This Friday, the U.S. Non-Farm Employment data is about to be released and will become a key indicator shaping the core direction of the September rate decision. According to CME data, the market’s odds of two cumulative rate cuts by year-end have already surpassed 50%, and expectations for rate cuts are heating up significantly. (😏 modest positive)
Impact analysis: If employment weakens, it will pressure the Federal Reserve to accelerate rate cuts, improving macro liquidity and lifting risk-asset pricing. As rate-cut expectations rise, the stronger outlook will weigh on the U.S. dollar, and funds are likely to flow toward high-volatility risk markets.
If the Non-Farm data comes in worse than expected, impact on the crypto market:
A significant miss versus expectations would further reinforce the market’s “rate-cut trade.” U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar would fall, while interest-rate-sensitive crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum could easily see a short-term spike higher. Major coins may benefit from a liquidity premium, lifting overall market risk appetite. However, it’s important to note that if the data is so weak that it reflects a serious risk of a hard economic downturn, risk-off sentiment may take the upper hand—causing crypto assets to pull back alongside U.S. stocks, resulting in the “good news turns into bad news” scenario. At the moment of the Non-Farm release, trading volatility will also surge sharply, making wick spiking and rapid back-and-forth scanning of positions relatively common.
$BTC
Potential investment opportunities: If the Non-Farm data is worse than expected, you could consider short-term trading opportunities in interest-rate-sensitive projects, and be sure to manage position sizing and stop-loss controls.
⚠️ Macroeconomic data is for reference only. Crypto assets are extremely volatile and this does not constitute investment advice.
#BTC #非农就业数据
This Friday, the U.S. Non-Farm Employment data is about to be released and will become a key indicator shaping the core direction of the September rate decision. According to CME data, the market’s odds of two cumulative rate cuts by year-end have already surpassed 50%, and expectations for rate cuts are heating up significantly. (😏 modest positive)
Impact analysis: If employment weakens, it will pressure the Federal Reserve to accelerate rate cuts, improving macro liquidity and lifting risk-asset pricing. As rate-cut expectations rise, the stronger outlook will weigh on the U.S. dollar, and funds are likely to flow toward high-volatility risk markets.
If the Non-Farm data comes in worse than expected, impact on the crypto market:
A significant miss versus expectations would further reinforce the market’s “rate-cut trade.” U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar would fall, while interest-rate-sensitive crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum could easily see a short-term spike higher. Major coins may benefit from a liquidity premium, lifting overall market risk appetite. However, it’s important to note that if the data is so weak that it reflects a serious risk of a hard economic downturn, risk-off sentiment may take the upper hand—causing crypto assets to pull back alongside U.S. stocks, resulting in the “good news turns into bad news” scenario. At the moment of the Non-Farm release, trading volatility will also surge sharply, making wick spiking and rapid back-and-forth scanning of positions relatively common.
$BTC
Potential investment opportunities: If the Non-Farm data is worse than expected, you could consider short-term trading opportunities in interest-rate-sensitive projects, and be sure to manage position sizing and stop-loss controls.
⚠️ Macroeconomic data is for reference only. Crypto assets are extremely volatile and this does not constitute investment advice.
#BTC #非农就业数据
📢 Opinion｜$BTC Again Significantly Underperforms the Nasdaq—Will History Recreate an Independent Major Bull Run for the Third Time?
On August 30, analyst Rekt Fencer shared a BTC/Nasdaq 3-day ratio chart. Data shows that this ratio has experienced three deep drawdowns: ‑84.9% in 2018, ‑80.7% in 2022, and ‑54.3% in 2026 during this latest drawdown.
Looking back at history, after the first two instances in which Bitcoin fell behind the Nasdaq by such a large margin, BTC went on to deliver an independent strong uptrend that broke away from tech stocks, followed by a wave of intense upside momentum.
Now, as the ratio falls again into historically extreme ranges, many market observers believe that a bottoming area is drawing near. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin could shake off U.S. stocks and restart its own行情.
#比特币现货ETF结束9日净流入
#首笔抗量子比特币交易主网完成
⚠️For historical data review only; history does not indicate the future and does not constitute investment advice.
On August 30, analyst Rekt Fencer shared a BTC/Nasdaq 3-day ratio chart. Data shows that this ratio has experienced three deep drawdowns: ‑84.9% in 2018, ‑80.7% in 2022, and ‑54.3% in 2026 during this latest drawdown.
Looking back at history, after the first two instances in which Bitcoin fell behind the Nasdaq by such a large margin, BTC went on to deliver an independent strong uptrend that broke away from tech stocks, followed by a wave of intense upside momentum.
Now, as the ratio falls again into historically extreme ranges, many market observers believe that a bottoming area is drawing near. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin could shake off U.S. stocks and restart its own行情.
#比特币现货ETF结束9日净流入
#首笔抗量子比特币交易主网完成
⚠️For historical data review only; history does not indicate the future and does not constitute investment advice.
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