$BTC Bitcoin Santa Claus Rally Loading? Seasonality Says Even the Weak Years Finish Strong
A decade of Bitcoin seasonality reveals a powerful pattern:
Even the 20th percentile price path — the “weakest” historical years — still rallies into year-end.
That means that whether Bitcoin is having a strong year or a sluggish one, the final weeks of the calendar consistently show renewed upward momentum. The seasonality chart highlights:
📈 Median years: Strong, steady Q4 lift
📉 Softer years (20th percentile): Still manage a meaningful December rebound
🔴 2025 track: Currently hugging the lower band but positioned for a potential seasonal bounce
This recurring trend suggests that Bitcoin’s end-of-year strength isn’t just luck — it’s a structural pattern driven by liquidity cycles, sentiment resets, and fresh capital inflows.
If history has anything to say, the market may be gearing up for a classic Santa Claus Rally… and those who underestimate Bitcoin’s seasonal power often get caught off guard.
Is December about to deliver the next surprise?
#Bitcoin #BTCSeasonality #CryptoMarket
