BTC is still hovering around $81,000, and on the surface, it seems like 'no drop, no breakout', but what really matters at this level goes beyond just the sentiment in the crypto sphere.

The upcoming macro variables will be crucial:
Non-farm payroll data will impact the market's assessment of the resilience of the US economy; expectations for Fed rate cuts will affect the valuation of risk assets; if the dollar continues to strengthen, the overhead pressure on BTC will increase; if oil prices are pushed up due to disturbances in the Middle East or the Strait of Hormuz, it will again influence inflation expectations.
So, right now, BTC can't just be summed up as 'strong' or 'weak'.
The price holding steady indicates the market hasn't clearly lost momentum yet; however, ETH is weaker than BTC, and the upward fuel is thinning out, which suggests that funds aren't just mindlessly spreading around.
The Hang Seng Index is still in the hot zone today, with the altcoin_index hitting 0.93, showing that market heat is indeed quite strong. But heat isn't a buy or sell signal; it's more like a reminder: the hotter it gets, the more you need to calculate your positions, leverage, and potential fluctuations.
My view is pretty straightforward:
Just because BTC hasn't dropped doesn't mean you can blindly chase; just because the macro hasn't loosened doesn't mean you need to go bearish.
During a high-level consolidation phase, the most important thing isn't guessing the next target price, but understanding under what conditions you'll add to your position, under what conditions you'll cut your position, and in what scenarios you'll need to take profits or cut losses.