In fact, most short-term long and short predictions are of little significance to long-term coin hoarders. But they are indeed meaningful to end-of-day options traders like me.
A few mid-term forecasts:
1-Everyone likes to hear bullish comments, and likes to hear others say that the price will rise to 40,000+ this year, but the probability is very small
2- The interest rate hike will exceed expectations. An article at the end of February has been written. We have seen that many Twitter influencers still think that the rate will be 5.25%. I think there is a high probability that the rate will remain unchanged and exceed 5.5%. We must be prepared for a protracted war and not be blindly optimistic.
3-The market will always move in the opposite direction to the direction you bet on; the market will most likely start 1-3 months before the rate hike, so be prepared in advance.
Conclusion
Sober will still throw the cup at critical points.
Tip: This market is very brutal, the best strategy is to defend yourself, and then talk about profits.
