币圈科长

Recently, while reviewing the market trends of this year, I found that the department head's grasp of trends has been quite accurate: from the early March reminder that the sharp decline was not over, to the early May reminder of the last opportunity to ride the weekly bull market, and then to the reminders of a significant crash at the end of October and the beginning of November.
For several major weekly trends, we have not made incorrect judgments, so this year, as long as the followers of the department head truly trust me, they will not suffer too much in the big direction. This also proves once again the value of technical analysis, which is something other bloggers dare not review for you.

Dare to review oneself, keep learning continuously, and remain clear-headed and independent. In the cryptocurrency world, without genuine insights, one can truly get lost, so friends in the community, continue to work hard in the new year and keep learning! Let’s encourage each other! #美联储回购协议计划

$MU changed to 960 then go look for shorts; $SNDK is still at 1580, and 1615
The strategy is all shown in the images. If you don’t come, then so be it.
Chief, go wash up and sleep 🤡

8/25 Live Summary: Making money with contracts in crypto has no future. If you really want to survive, do more contract trades in US stocks.

Today, $SNDK gave a frontrun short entry around 1550—it came down. We held at 1580, but it didn’t come. So we ended up a little annoyed. The good news is that in the afternoon I chased a big BTC short and was able to save some face.

For BTC $BTC ’s price action here: watch the hourly chart’s trendline—when it breaks down again. There’s only about 10% of “valid”行情; the other 90% is range-bound chop and repairs. And we’re right in that remaining 90% right now.

The bull market is truly here. Honestly, Section Chief really advises everyone: in crypto, buy spot as much as possible. Don’t go crazy opening crypto positions on futures contracts. It’s better to use contracts for US stock trades. You may make less, but the wins are more stable—and losses are also smaller.

How many B-friends are losing so badly on crypto futures that it’s loud and clear? You slowly build your recovery doing US stocks with us, right?
So, if you’re given the chance to hang out with the proper pros, cherish it. If there’s an opportunity to get into 985 or 211, why do you still flirt with a bunch of non-bachelor (technical college) folks? Isn’t that just inviting trouble for yourself??

It’s still about jumping the gun. The $SNDK 1550 mentioned at noon may retrace. It hasn’t dropped another 50 points yet. It didn’t reach the 1580 level we most wanted to short. If we’re going to act now, we can only decide after the 4-hour close...

The $AAOI 107.5 logic that was mentioned at the end of the live stream last night—going long, is actually very simple.
The current price is 114, and the first take-profit after a 7% rise is basically already hit.

Maybe some B friends have just been trading crypto and going long too much, so they feel that trading is too hard. But once you meet the real “official” team, don’t you think they wouldn’t really follow such strict standards, right??? 🤡

$BTC Today, even the short positions have been taken out by us. The B friends should have entered around 802. If it continues to move downward at night, check whether there’s a rebound around 784. If there is a rebound, close the short positions.

Otherwise, keep the bigger picture: hold for a move down to 748, and only then consider going long!

Why shouldn’t you share or talk about making money in the crypto world?

There are two layers to consider. First, there are feng shui/mystical factors: if you say it out loud, it’s like leaking your “luck” and “energy,” and then you may not make money anymore. Others also won’t genuinely be happy for you; if they’re secretly cursing you, it can affect your luck as well.

Second, there are psychological factors. When you post your gains, it gives you an illusion that you are always right. The next time you open a position and get trapped, you may hesitate to cut losses, still thinking that you need to make money to prove your correctness. Then you become unwilling to admit mistakes—often leading to losses in the end.

So for these two reasons, I don’t recommend that you, once you’ve made money by trading, go around telling people everywhere, especially bragging to people in your everyday life. People won’t bless you; instead, they’ll think of ways to annoy or make you miserable.

In summary: when you feel like posting your gains, it’s often the time you should stop and take profit!

About crypto—wait a bit for the market to move. Chief is kind of timid. Anyone can shout long at the current price or short at the current price, but not everyone can hold their nerve and wait patiently🤡

8.25日$SNDK 行情分析（附多空点位）：摇摇欲坠了，空里头为最佳选择。

On the Shandi chart, the daily line is currently just reaching the mid-band, and the 4-hour timeframe has touched the trendline and paused briefly. There is a very clear resistance level around 1580. If you want to short, the most reliable choice is 1580, and enter in batches at 1605. Set the stop loss above 1630; ideally, use the hourly closing price as the reference.

The early-entry approach is to go in at 1550, with the same stop loss as above. Early-entry means the stop loss is too large. Many B friends have a habit of early-entry, so Chief Ke is also providing this as a reference here.

Returning to the daily chart: the close was a large bearish candle that broke through the previous 1570–1580 support. The outlook for subsequent shorts is that the price breaks the daily mid-band. First look for around 1390; then further down, around 1300 and even 1150 is where considering longs may come into play. For reference only—Shandi’s price levels are difficult to judge. Remember to keep your position size light!

August 25, $MU Market Analysis (With Long/Short Levels): The daily chart’s weakness is starting to show; wait for a good short opportunity.

In last night’s live stream, Director Ke mentioned the short position at 925–930. Last night’s high reached 923—only 2 points away from 925. So if we come again to 920, we need to watch whether price can push up directly. Therefore, that short from last night will not be placed again.

920 acts as the long/short pivot. If price goes back up again to at least 950, then it would be appropriate to look for short entries at the 950 and 960 zones. If we rush the move and enter at 935, our estimated stop loss is set above 975. If we rush the entry, we need to be prepared to accept a wider stop loss.

Coming back to the daily chart: it has broken below the mid-band again, so the overall daily outlook is bearish. What we’re watching now is whether 920 can still move upward, and then open shorts at the 4-hour resistance zone of 950–960. The overall structure of MU has been extremely clear—Director Ke really likes this kind of clean, straightforward price action. Do you like it too?

8.24 Live Stream Recap: B friends, you get it now, right? Profitable market conditions only exist about 10% of the time; the rest is just rough, choppy action that really isn’t easy to handle.

For BTC ("Big Pie"): take a look at this idea—would it drop back to around 805? At that level, I don’t suggest placing a limit order directly to open. Better to watch how the price reacts; observing the market and the model is better than just hanging an order.

ETH is similar too. If you get a wick down to 2585–2620, the thinking is about the same as for BTC.

When there’s a pullback: first look to go long in the 1-hour Vegas channel. If there’s a pullback that reaches the 4-hour Vegas channel, that’s even more of an opportunity to buy spot. Of course, that level is quite far—so we’ll have to wait for the opportunity!

As for US stocks: <$MU > went straight down. Tonight, first watch the 4-hour support/resistance zone at 925–930 and consider shorting there. On the downside, only after it reaches at least 820 should you consider going long. As for SanDisk, I haven’t spotted a good entry yet—so let’s pause for now, Director!

8.24 Daily $BTC $ETH Market Analysis: Perfect Prediction of the Mid-Month Turning Point—What’s the Best Move When the Bull Is Here?

On 8.10, when KeZhang wrote this analysis, he mentioned that the period of the 17th to the 20th would see a turning point to the upside, and most people didn’t pay much attention to it. Now that the market has moved accordingly, on the larger timeframe, we really should change the habitual thinking of going “blindly short.” Of course, shorting isn’t impossible—but at certain support levels, you should shift your mindset to go long or buy spot, rather than relentlessly chasing shorts while still hoping for a further crash to even lower levels.

In the current market for the big BTC, pay attention to the direction choice after it enters a narrow range on the 4-hour chart again: will it continue pushing up and drive spikes above 80K, then pull back? Or will it just remain sideways and “draw the door” (a sideways consolidation)? Both scenarios are possible—the key is what the 4-hour narrow-range movement indicates afterward.

On key levels: for short-term support, look around 73,600. This could be a spot (for contracts) where you can do some rebound plays. For lower levels, watch whether there will be an opportunity to buy spot around 70,500, plus or minus.

For ETH: for short-term longs, around 2,275 could be considered. For buying spot on a larger scale, watch whether there’s an opportunity for spikes to approach around 2,145.

In a bull market, the price doesn’t just keep rising endlessly. Instead, it will be accompanied by repeated shakeouts—up-and-down spike movements. So during this phase, trying to achieve big profits solely through contracts is very difficult. Real breakthroughs only happen in about 10% of the market moves, while the other 90% will wear down your patience and principal—and even black swan events can wipe out all your capital. Without good luck and opportunities, it’s hard to truly make big money with contracts.

The best move is to lie in wait and buy spot during spike opportunities, and then use spot to capture the larger profits. Therefore, it’s recommended to participate in contracts with smaller capital as much as possible. Contracts are just a tool to stay focused on the market; spot is where you truly make money. In times like this, don’t put the cart before the horse.

Spot levels may also update in real time. All B-friends remember to follow KeZhang. Also, keep contract plays as small as possible—the focus is on how to find those annoying spike positions to buy spot and profit! That’s the small piece of advice KeZhang wanted to emphasize today!

Good morning, friends of B! I took a look at the current spot-purchase price levels today, and it looks like I may need to do a bit more research, so I’ll update a bit later!
From what I’ve seen, for Ethereum and Bitcoin, there are still a few key levels you can pay attention to as it moves down. Chief, please research it a bit more—remember to watch for updates 😘

What we talked about on the live stream last night—$MU 950 going to rebound—we also saw it come through today, slightly in profit.

This month, with the US stocks we’ve been trading together, it seems like the only time we got it wrong was the one where we shorted a single position on Sandisk around 1455 and took a stop-loss around 1485. $MU , on the other hand, we’ve been playing both long and short, and basically all of them were profitable.

Steady and solid—that’s good enough😎

Chief, read this post carefully and enjoy it—this is what’s actually valuable. Don’t think that just because there’s a big player, everyone can get rich.

The market is still the same market, existing solely to harvest most people. If you keep going around every day, charging in and betting and betting, in the end, the one who loses everything will be your life!🤡🤡

The morning reminded the empty spot of $ZEC 850-855—did it hit the mark properly?
Our strategic targets have also been reached, but the slippage is just too big 🤡
This round, it’s time to feast on the premium pork knuckle rice 😅

The $ZEC 850-855 mentioned this morning needs to pay attention to the callback. This time it has already come down. The section chief only opened four in total—enough for two hotpot meals over the weekend. Not bad, not bad. Let’s just call the overall cost protection—no need to look anymore 🤡

Everyone keeps talking about making money, making money—but the section chief isn’t that excited.

First, the section chief feels happy about getting results and about the newcomers who joined in, because you may soon be able to change your own life or fate.
At the same time, the section chief feels regret in advance for those who will lose everything after this round—you will become the majority after the bull market.

In the past few cycles, stories like this have been repeatedly played out. You saw the beginning; the section chief saw the ending.
Here are a few suggestions from the section chief:
1. Don’t hold too grand a mindset toward the crypto market. This is a market with no bottom line. Price swings and black swans won’t follow your assumptions.
2. When the bull market is at its craziest, before you go to sleep, check your limit orders to see whether you have a stop-loss, and check whether your position is healthy.
3. While protecting your costs, seek larger profits. Don’t be too idealistic—up and down oscillations are the norm, and breakouts happen only in about 10% of the market conditions.
4. Don’t trade crypto with debt, and don’t take out loans to trade crypto. If you have elderly to support and children to raise, the section chief suggests you participate in the U.S. stock market. If you’re young, can afford to lose, and are eager to change your fate, the section chief suggests you participate in the crypto market.
5. Surviving in trading depends only on yourself continually learning. Don’t go looking for gods everywhere—try to make yourself your own god.

These are all the section chief’s shallow experiences after a few rounds, but every word comes from the heart. It’s worth rereading several times! When market sentiment rises, no one wants to give you a rational, objective analysis. Exchanges, the market, and KOLs all want you to rush forward no matter what—yet no one is willing to tell you the brutal reality.

Wishing all the friends who are following and not following the section chief that in this round you can all get satisfactory results—don’t become the last 80–90% who lose everything and exit!

—From the sincere Section Chief <t-2/>#比特币创2023年3月来最佳周表现