Is the crypto market a bull market or a bear market right now? Analyze it from three dimensions
Consider it rationally from three dimensions! Because bull and bear markets are driven by macro factors and logic, not by price fluctuations. The crypto market is very volatile, First, the macro perspective: In 2014, during the crypto bull-market top, the market cap was 100 billion yuan In 2017, during the crypto bull-market top, the market cap was 800 billion yuan In 2021, during the crypto bull-market top, the market cap was 3,000 billion yuan In 2026, is it currently 2 trillion? So here’s the question: in the crypto market, it’s an incremental market. In this round, the existing market—gold market cap—has also risen by more than 300,000 billion dollars. And even U.S. stocks are up significantly. Gold—August 2017: 80 trillion yuan Gold in December 2021: 120 trillion yuan Gold in 2025: 4.3 trillion yuan An incremental market versus a stock (existing) market—when you compare the two like this, all the problems are completely resolved,
In this round, the prince took the brothers to buy the dip in Bitcoin in July 2023 at 31,000. For Ethereum, the prince led the brothers to buy the dip in June 2025 at 2,200. Starting the end of June, he stressed that there might be a needle-insertion event that didn’t go through contracts—so they dodged 10.11. 6月底全网看空情况下,太子说以太坊2250正式启动主升浪,明确七月3800,六月底多次申明年底打底1.2万u,比特币10万时强调7月12万多位置。 太子带兄弟们提前躲过了10.11 唯一强调2026年八月开始主升浪!全网都等十月抄底
While everyone online was singing bearish in August, I told you that in August Ethereum would rise 20% in a single day to trigger the start, and that Bitcoin would rise 5,000 USD in a single day as the starting point. During this period, I kept telling you about every Bitcoin breakout inflection point—its rise speed, amplitude, and the tactics used by the main forces to shake out and then pump.
So now the prince tells you that altcoins start at a 50% gain in a single day! And these are the mainstream altcoins. In other words, for the past two months, altcoins have been consolidating, building up energy and waiting to fire—and the truly massive super bull move is right before 10.15! The biggest primary surge in two years.
The US stock market and gold have confirmed that there’s plenty of money in the market. Bitcoin then amplifies this situation and ignites market sentiment. And after that, the one truly responsible for taking volatility to the extreme is altcoins.
Why, in recent years, the Crown Prince has always been 0 on the watchlist
Many KOLs are people I watched rise from the ground up. But I never comment on anyone—unless someone deliberately tries to smear them. Then the Crown Prince, just like before, will come down hard on those who can’t sleep.
Because people are like this: they hate that you’re doing well, laugh at what they say is “nothing,” despise you for being poor, and fear you once you get rich.
The people close to you hope you’ll stumble, while those far away wish you smooth sailing. And the one who envies you the most is often not a stranger, but the familiar person closest to you.
When you’re down on your luck, everyone wants to give you pointers. When you’re thriving, everyone picks you apart.
Don’t fear the spears of outsiders—fear the hidden wounds from someone you know. Outsiders hope you’re safe; people who know you are the ones who worry you’ll make a comeback.
When you’re poor, no one notices you in a busy street. When you’re rich, trouble surrounds you on every side. If you live an ordinary life, everyone stays at peace. But once you get noticed, criticism comes in waves.
If you have nothing, others look down on you and trample you. If you achieve a little, others get jealous and attack your reputation. Only when the gap is large enough will you get a kind of fake respect.
Your friend drives a 200,000-yuan car, and you drive one worth 300,000. He’ll be jealous. But when you drive one worth 800,000, he’ll turn that jealousy into something like admiration and worship.
These three technical indicators look similar, but if you look closely, they’re different between 2019 and 2022. The only thing that’s the same is that Bitcoin has fully, completely bottomed out and is about to rise—going up all the way, without looking back. In this current cycle, the total market cap of the crypto market hasn’t even grown yet. Not only did the prince lead everyone to copy the brothers and bottom-tap the bottom of this cycle’s Bitcoin—but also the bottom of Ethereum. It even completed the main surge again and again when everyone else was calling for shorts. And while everyone was praising the rise of US stocks and the rise of gold, I’m telling you the crash is coming fast. Watch one more detail: after October 2025, why did the crypto market detach from gold and US stocks and fall on its own? Because I said risk assets rise last. And after October 2025, US small-cap stocks completely exploded. At that time, capital went into US stocks—but now the money in US stocks is withdrawing. So the crypto market’s real main surge is truly coming.
Can Ethereum reach 8,000–12,000? The price and direction can’t be shouted into existence. In each Ethereum bull cycle, its market share is around 20% to 25%. In 2017, the crypto market cap was 800 billion; in 2021, it was 3 trillion; in 2026, how much do you think it will be in this cycle? The crown prince has always emphasized a minimum of 750 billion (a market cap of 7.5 trillion). If that’s the case, a 1.5 trillion market cap would be Ethereum’s. In the previous gold bull market, in each round the market grew by tens of billions (of billions). This time, it directly grew by “tens of billions” (over several tens of trillions), which proves that this bull cycle has more liquidity!
Also, you need to consider the incremental market: if the main players don’t “eat meat” for five years, what impact will that have on the market? Retail investors don’t really care—these five years have already had all the ‘hair’ (profit potential) plucked clean! Money can only withdraw when the trend is rising!
Bitcoin: in the short term, watch for 100k; in the medium term, watch for 160k. This is the only “horse-ahead cannon” (major call) in the entire internet telling you this. The only one on the whole internet—back in 2023, when everyone was looking at $8,000, I told you that the next major upswing is coming. And in December 2025, after holding above around $150,000—again, I’m the only one. Last year in June, I emphasized Ethereum at 2,200 and that it would stand above 5,000x within two months. This year in August, while everyone else continued to sing bearish songs, I emphasized that August would kick off the main upswing!
Looking back now, every time the market truly starts a major move, it’s always when people are the most skeptical. Real opportunities are never the ones that come after a rally, when someone tells you, “I already knew.” Instead, it’s when everyone still doesn’t believe it, and you get the direction and the timing laid out in front of you ahead of time.
Big push to watch at 50x! This is a once-in-five-years opportunity! Earlier in the livestream, I said an extreme thing: at the bottom, you have to be aggressively bullish, because this is an unchanging rule in the crypto world—especially when the liquidity hasn’t even come to the market yet, but the price is already at the bottom at the level of the yearly moving average. At the top, you have to be aggressively bearish, because crypto rallies and drops can be tens of times—before the main pump wave, when you buy you can still see tens of times upside; after the main pump wave, when you buy you can fall tens of times instead. The market is extreme. You need to be more extreme than it is ahead of time. This isn’t an offensive strategy—it’s a defensive one. Go in early so you have the right to leave early. When the price has gone up 20x, then people outside will see 200x—that’s when you leave. The bottom candlesticks already make people confused. Add to that deliberately bearish media news from the outside, and frightened retail traders who switch from longs to shorts—at this moment, you need to be even more extreme. This is a form of defense! Before the end of last year, a few brothers in the livestream said they saw ZEC at 1500, and a few altcoins at 100x. Many people mocked them for daring to think 1500. But this year it happened. In essence, how many crypto traders are not crazy? Sooner or later, everyone has to go crazy. Being crazy earlier is stronger than being crazy later. The people who are losing money are basically just one step behind, going crazy later; then the late-crazies buy back the coins that the early-crazies went crazy about at a high price—commonly called chasing. When DOGE hits $1, people will still look at it and say it’ll be $15 later. Just like the last bull market—everyone who bought DOGE blindly only thought about $1 to $10. But when it has already surged 300x at 0.2, then you look at it. Looking at $1 from 0.0006 and looking at $1 from 0.6 are two different kinds of people. Without getting into anything else: last year, when “Prince” ETH was at 2000 and said it would be 10,000, how many were actually thinking about 10,000? But what happened later—when it reached 5000, everyone’s faces changed, and suddenly they were talking about 8000. Why do so many people lose money? Because at the top, nobody stays calm in advance. Nobody wants to leave. That’s why they end up losing by dozens of times. The people at the top are emotionally疯狂. The bottom, on the other hand, makes people colder and calmer—and most people get the direction wrong. At the bottom, you need to be hot. At the top, you need to be able to put your own fire out.
In 2023, when Bitcoin was at 31,000, the Crown Prince already emphasized that by around the end of 2025 it would be around $150,000. Back then, the whole internet was looking at 8,000; after that, with every round of volatility, everyone told you it was over—only I told you to keep innovating and keep hitting new highs. Then with it only just short of $150,000, those paper-handed traders said, “Wow, why is the Crown Prince looking at Bitcoin at 120,000?” Last June, the whole internet was bearish on Ethereum. It’s the same logic: the Crown Prince emphasized that in two months it would reach 5,000. Two months ago, when Bitcoin was at 62,000, the Crown Prince already told you that it would start surging in August. Now I’m emphasizing that Bitcoin will reach 180,000. When Bitcoin reaches 160,000, even if you can’t quite touch 180,000, the paper-handed traders will immediately say, “Wow, the Crown Prince is bullish on Bitcoin at 180,000.” Paper hands are always paper hands—give them a hundred-times coin and they can still find a way to lose money.
In the past couple of days, many people have been saying that the U.S. Treasury yield is 5%. If you only focus on that, I can only say you're too inexperienced. Why the “three major indicators”? They must be required to deliver an annualized increase of 5% within one year, and always keep ahead of U.S. Treasuries. If the U.S. broad market can’t rise by 5% in a year, then the U.S. economy will collapse. So, when U.S. Treasuries are at 5%, it will push the crypto and stock markets even higher—this is the core.
Short-term: welcoming 109,000! Next February: welcoming 160,000! The price K-line, technical patterns, media news, market sentiment—everything is fake. The previous cycle had 800 billion, the one before that had 3 trillion; this time, over the past five years, there hasn’t been any bubble. What does that prove? The money hasn’t even come in yet. No bubble means it’s not a bull-top. A bull market is about digesting bubbles; right now there are no bubbles. The total market cap in crypto has already retreated back to four years ago. Six months ago, during the decline, it retreated again, and it’s on track to go back to ten years ago. If it really goes sideways, except for BTC and ETH, all altcoins will basically delist. In this industry, close to 100% of people have no way to eat. At the moment, all signs are repeating themselves in each previous bull-market tail explosion state. The direction is to surge upward massively! Think rationally. If the direction is right and you have patience, then hold the low-priced positions firmly. All three are indispensable. If you want to catch the main impulse wave, first ask yourself whether you deserve it. Retail investors look at: “Why isn’t it up today?” Insiders look at: “How do we get you off the train?” The prince gives you an old saying: A bull market is never made by going up—it’s made by deception. When that sudden explosive moment finally happens, you’ll turn around and say, “Damn it, so this is the insiders’ playbook.” Don’t panic—if they press down harder, it will be even more brutal. The rebound will be more violent. If good news doesn’t pump the market, that’s the last gasp right before the massive explosion.
Every sharp drop is essentially a reshuffling of capital. The consensus from the previous phase ends, and a new consensus emerges. A sharp drop, at its core, kills the old consensus. Without breaking, nothing is established! That’s why after every sharp drop, the market looks different again—the new strong signals appear.
Bitcoin could hit 100,000 within about 10 days or so! That means the drop could be up to 2,000, and the rise could be 10,000! And it’s not certain it will drop—because this level is a short-term uptrend, but the mid-term will be even more intense. The 77,000 level—just like when I told you about 62,000—it’s a level that once passed, it’s gone for good. The pump-and-dump operators in altcoins will complete the two biggest bull surges of the past two years around Bitcoin’s 100,000 mark! 95% of the time they torture people’s psychology, and 5% of the time they ride ahead like a rocket!