V went to the gym today. When I was waiting for the red light at the intersection, a gym salesperson approached me. I told him that I had a 3-year membership card, and he walked away angrily. Then a hot beauty walked by, and the salesperson followed her.
Coincidentally, our paths were the same, and I kept watching the salesperson and the beauty walking side by side at a very fast pace, so I couldn't hear what they were saying.
At first, the two of them walked very close, and I almost thought that the salesperson seemed to have convinced the beauty and was taking her to the gym. Then, when I saw the beauty waving her hands, I knew that the salesperson was being rejected.
The beauty wanted to speed up and get rid of the salesperson, but the salesperson was determined to keep up. The beauty seemed to say loudly, "Go away!" The salesperson continued to output the words.
The beauty found that she couldn’t refuse, nor could she walk fast, so she immediately stopped and hid from the salesperson. The salesperson reacted very quickly and suddenly knelt down on one knee. People who didn’t know would have thought he was proposing. For the sake of work, he even forgot his dignity. I admire his inner strength to this extent!
It was just that when the salesperson knelt down, he didn't handle his hands properly and accidentally touched the bare legs of the beautiful woman under her short skirt. The beautiful woman shouted, "This is indecent!" I heard this clearly.
At this point, the salesperson quickly got up, bent down to apologize and left.
Such a dramatic promotion scene, coupled with such beautiful women, and most importantly, it was such a tenacious and unyielding promotion that ended in the most awkward state of interpersonal interaction.
This is a super inspirational story about challenging the most difficult scenarios with the utmost persistence and hard work, but it ended so embarrassingly.
It's like a fast-flowing river, and a warrior rows upstream, the waves are stirred up, and the passionate BGM sounds, but as a result, the boat capsizes and the "warrior" becomes a drowned rat.
This makes me think of a question: is hard work useful? Are all the chicken soups about "Origai" useful?
Is it really true that "life has no four seasons, only off-season and peak season of mentality"?
Is it really true that “there are no sunset industries, only sunset mindsets?”
Is it really true that “there are top talents in every profession”?
Is it really true that “gold shines wherever it is”?
Perhaps, as an outsider, you can easily spot the mistakes in these chicken soup words. In one sentence, "If you make the wrong choice, your efforts will go to waste", and everyone in CX knows it by heart.
But when it comes to some specific personal choices, are you really so wise?
For example, I ask you, should I buy BTC now?
Should I hold UNI or FIL?
Should I hold BCH or LTC?
If you have 100,000 now, should you deposit it in the bank, buy a stable fund, or buy an ETH mining machine?
Do you buy an ETH mining machine or buy ETH directly?
Is blockchain your long-term development area?
Should I continue to run the physical store I am running now?
In 2005, when people met, they asked if you were online. In 2025, when people met, they asked if you were on the blockchain. Do you believe it?
Do you believe DECP will be able to buy BTC in the future?
Do you believe that digital currency exchanges can be nationalized?
Do you believe that your so-called public chains such as UBANK and ZEROLIMIT will be finished sooner or later?
Do you think that one day countries will buy BTC for reserves?
Do you believe that people will have to use blockchain to get married in the future?
Do you believe that in the future Taobao’s market share will either shrink by 40%, not being killed by JD.com but being divided up by blockchain electronic transactions, or Taobao itself will exist in the form of blockchain?
Do you believe that the current real estate landlords and coal bosses in Shanxi stay away from blockchain when they hear about it, but sooner or later they will ask to use blockchain because they need many scenarios for property rights financialization transactions.
Well, after saying so much, there are always a few things you don’t believe or are hesitant about.
Why are we hesitant? Because we are blinded by a leaf. What is within our sight? First of all, we should not focus on the details, but on the overall situation and the trend. What is the leaf that prevents us from seeing the trend?
The first type of leaf is without information. For example, my parents left Sichuan to work in 1988. Since they were going to work there anyway, why not come to Shenzhen? With their efforts, I might have been a second-generation Shenzhener with several houses. But they ended up going to Xinjiang, and I became the stupid son of a landlord with 30 acres of cotton. The main reason was that they didn’t know much about the development of Shenzhen at that time, and there was little talk on TV at that time.
The second leaf is too much information, mainly short-term information, such as price fluctuations, which may not always be the same as the trend, people's discussions, and of course, all of these are external events.
According to the ABC rule, A is the external event, B is the thought, and C is the behavior.
People's choices of investment, employment, marriage and settlement (C) are not really triggered by these external events (A), but by your thoughts about these external events (B). The idea is, are you sure of your judgment of the trend, or are you blinded by short-term events?
Theory is too boring, let’s talk about some examples.
The ground promotion mentioned above is carried out on the roads where people are in a hurry rather than in places where people stay. In today's world where Internet marketing and big data precision marketing are so developed, the timing is not chosen at the beginning of the year when spring is the most important time of the year. Facing a woman with an excellent figure, repeating the ineffective words of "learn about fitness", this is basically against the trend.
Including telemarketing, when the country controls telecommunications complaints and mobile phones identify sales numbers, people are tired of being actively marketed to and are accustomed to online shopping. However, there are still a group of people who are desperately making phone calls, using 200 outbound calls a day to practice the law of large numbers. This is also the stupidity of not being able to see trends in marketing.
It’s not that it’s necessarily ineffective, it’s just that this effort is mainly to impress oneself and cannot impress the market.
Why didn’t they follow the marketing trend? The boss’s habitual thinking, the sales staff, the occasional deal, the store manager’s encouragement, and Chen Anzhi’s simple-minded chicken soup, these short-term external information are the leaves that blind the eyes.
Besides, what is the trend for boys to find a wife? It is whether the girl's family of origin is harmonious, whether she is kind, good at communication and motivated. If you follow this trend, you can find a good wife. But why many people don't find one? They are either disturbed by beauty or driven by temporary loneliness. Some even get married because of pregnancy. These are short-term fluctuations, but often make people regret for life.
Besides, when it comes to the investment market, we all say that there is no need for long-term predictions, but short-term predictions are impossible.
BTC has been hovering at a low price of around $4,000 on March 12 for two weeks, and has been around $5,000 for a month. The trend is something that almost everyone who has been involved in the cryptocurrency circle can predict, that is, there will definitely be a bull market. But the result is, did you get on the train at that time? Did you get off the train halfway? Or do you believe in the trend and seek pleasure and quick benefits in the band?
Let me ask you one question, did you get a 3x return? Now the price of BTC is 16,000 USD.
Why didn’t I follow the investment trend? Because I was not sure about my own cognition, and the fear and greed in my heart would take over at the slightest disturbance in the market.
Next, you look at BTC, ETH, UNI, and Fil. Should we be firm in the trend? Yes!
BTC is the world's safest, most consensus-based digital gold. You don't have to worry about which country wants to ban it, or Mentougou wants to pay compensation.
ETH is the most prosperous public chain in the global ecosystem, and even Polkadot can hardly shake its position. So don’t listen to some great guy saying that he has solved the impossible triangle.
UNI, if you think decentralized finance is a trend, it is the leader, and you don’t have to worry about the falling coin price in the recent period.
FIL, if you think distributed storage is the trend, it is also the top spot, and you don’t have to worry about the short-term token model.
As for the prediction of trends, as long as it is based on fundamentals, it will be basically correct. The process will alternate or even regress, but in the long river of time, everything will move towards fundamentals.
After China's reform and opening up, it will definitely become stronger. This is the trend. When will China become the world's number one? We originally thought it would take 2050, but maybe 2030 will be enough.
China's economy must transform, this is the trend. When will traditional industries become difficult to survive? We originally thought it would be in 2022, but this year's epidemic accelerated it.
Sooner or later, the entire world will move from industrial civilization to information civilization. It has already entered this stage, and the next step is to move from information civilization to digital civilization, which includes blockchain, artificial intelligence and big data.
We don’t know when it will fully enter, but it is only a matter of time.
Standing on the trend is just like buying coins. Once you make a choice, don’t regret it. Forget about the private key and choose again. Stick to it.
When it comes to predicting trends, we have to mention Chairman Mao.
His On Protracted War asserted that China would inevitably defeat the Japanese from a trend perspective. This fundamentally inspired the Chinese anti-Japanese army and people, which was a strategic contempt for the enemy.
But Chairman Mao’s wisdom lies in his ability to transform from a poet to a practitioner of specific execution, so he came up with the second sentence: take the enemy seriously tactically.
Guerrilla warfare, sparrow warfare, bases behind enemy lines, the Anti-Japanese United Front, large-scale production in the rear, the rectification movement, etc., which were conducted against the enemy, are all powerful measures to ensure that we follow the trend and deal with short-term difficulties.
Among the many choices in life, I followed the trend and firmly chose blockchain as my career for at least the next 10 years. What about you?
I also follow my personal trend, excel in research and sharing, and become a firm evangelist. What about you?
I follow the trend of investment targets and firmly hold BTC, ETH, UNI, LINK, and FIL. What about you?
Strategically, by following the trend, you can ignore the ups and downs of the market.
Tactically, we need to analyze specific problems and solve various specific problems, such as choosing an exchange, choosing cold and hot wallets, choosing positions, raising chips, choosing a reasonable U purchase range, studying technical lines, taking profits and escaping the top, stopping losses and buying at the bottom.
Be an investor who is optimistic, pragmatic, has the generosity of a poet, and the execution ability of a soldier. The blockchain market will give you unimaginable returns.
Finally, think of Don Quixote.
After Don Quixote finished his prayer, he picked up his shield to protect his body, held the lance in his hand, and urged Rocinante to rush towards the first windmill. His lance was very accurate and pierced the wing of the windmill with one shot. The windmill was spinning rapidly and the lance was broken by the windmill, knocking Don Quixote off Rocinante's back. Don Quixote was knocked to the ground by the windmill and was in a very embarrassed state.
The embarrassment of life never lies in the specific difficulties faced after choosing the right trend, but in the ridiculous and presumptuous behavior of trying to shake a tree with an ant after choosing the wrong trend.
