The process of suspending interest rates is very long because: 1. The Federal Reserve believes that it will raise interest rates again this year. The market thinks that there is a high probability that interest rates will not be raised. Who is right and who is wrong has become less important, but suspending interest rates may still take some time. 2. Since 1990, the U.S. stock market has suspended interest rates for different lengths of time, with the longest being 13 months, the shortest being 2 months, and the average being 10 months.

3. Take the average to deduce that if there is no interest rate increase this year, the current interest level will remain until August 2024, when the BTC halving has already occurred. 4. U.S. stocks continued to rise during the interest rate suspension period (Russell 1000 was 6 at this stage The average monthly increase is 13%) 5. The economic recession will not occur during the interest rate hike or pause stages, but will occur several months or even longer after the interest rate cut begins. Future recessions will not occur until at least 2025. 6. If this year If interest rates are raised again, the end of the interest rate suspension will be even longer. The big release of money that you have been waiting for all year long in 2024 but has not been predicted is based on the data of previous years. Maybe this time is different. But this time the Fed will not keep interest rates for a short time. It may be a long time. Stay patient.