$BTC
Golden September, the turning point has arrived
Crypto Insider 9/23
I. Economic data analysis:
(1) On November 7, the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut rose to 48.4%, and the probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut was 51.6%
(2) Geopolitics: The United States urgently warned Israel: Do not engage in a full-scale war with Hezbollah!
(3) Today, Trump's chance of winning is 47%, Harris's chance of winning is 51%. Harris breaks silence: promises to support cryptocurrency investment
(4) ETF dynamics: total net inflow last week was 397.4 million U, BlackRock ETF launched options
(5) This Friday: PCE data
II. On-chain data and market sentiment:
(1) Market sentiment 50 (down 2 from yesterday)
(2) Mining data analysis: 699eh/s, handling fee 3.7 gas:3 S19 shutdown coin price: 60382-63126U
(3) Pain point of option No. 27 58000 nominal amount 5.751 billion
(4) BNB double benefits: new mine + CZ released from prison
Potential negatives in the near future
1. Middle East situation
2. Japan's economic policy (pay attention to changes in exchange rate appreciation, pay attention to the backstab of interest rate hike at the end of the year)
3. Uncertainty before the election
4. Large option No. 27
Potential positives in the near future
1. ETH After the spot ETF adjustment period, it enters the rising cycle
2. Japan's interest rate remains unchanged at 0.25, the yen depreciates, and it is good for risky assets
3. BlackRock ETF launches options
4. CZ is released from prison on the 29th, which is good for BNB and Binance Eco Coin
The above content is for information sharing only,
and does not constitute any investment advice!
Investment is risky, so be cautious when entering the market!