🕒 At 2 a.m., the interest rate cut figures were quietly revealed, and then the old Bao Jin opened his mouth. The waves of this round of market are definitely magnificent! 🌊 Looking back on this year, there are only three equally shocking news: BTC spot release, Ethereum spot green light, and tonight's first interest rate cut drama. 🎬 Opening the market, the little tricks of capital speculation are clear at a glance. They are all partying before the official news lands, but after the landing, they are busy cashing out and retreating, leaving a mess. 💸
🛍️ As soon as the retail sales data came out yesterday, the signal light of economic recovery was on, and the recession concerns were reduced. The expectation of a 50 basis point interest rate cut soared to 66%, and the big cake also took advantage of the trend to touch the 61350 high. But in the afternoon, the probability of a 50 basis point interest rate cut quietly slipped to 61%, and the market also fell all the way until it stabilized at 59350. This trend clearly tells us: if the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points tonight, it will be a surge; if it is 25 basis points, hey, the market will be smashed! 📉📈 At present, the chance of winning by 50 basis points is 60%!
💭 The benefits of interest rate cuts need to be savored slowly, and they can be felt quarterly and semi-annually. The release of liquidity is definitely a boon to the risk market in the long run, but in the early stage, emotions have the final say. Once emotions are excited, the market likes to draw doors (roller coasters). 🎢 Even if it goes up to the sky tonight, it may fall down in two days. Be mentally prepared!
📉 Speaking of the market, the exchange rate is in danger. The new low of 0.0386 is rare in a few years! This place has been paid attention to for a long time, and the logic of compensating for the rise is solid. 💡 Patient friends can start to slowly lay out, and the bottom-picking range is locked in 2050-1920. For those who bought in around 53,000, the short-term high target is 68,500, the stop loss is set at 58,000-59,000, and the take profit is aimed at 65,000-68,500. Once 68,500 is reached, we will leave gracefully! 🚀
🚫 Today, I will not give a specific point. After all, for those who have a bottom position, this fluctuation is just a breeze. Let's not gamble for a while, sit on the Diaoyutai! 🎣
