#美联储何时降息？ #杰克逊霍尔年会 #加密市场反弹 $BTC
Recently, the heated debate on "China will not collapse and the United States will not cut interest rates" has been heatedly staged. What kind of financial game between China and the United States is hidden behind this?
In the cryptocurrency world, we often witness the ever-changing situation, but the shock brought by the Sino-US financial war is unusual. What is the mystery behind the so-called "China will not collapse, and the United States will not cut interest rates"?
First, we need to understand the logic behind the US interest rate cut. When formulating interest rate policies, the Fed's primary consideration is to maintain the global stability of the US dollar and control domestic inflation, rather than simply catering to the short-term expectations of market investors. Even during the 2008 financial crisis, the Fed only cut interest rates to stimulate the economy after careful consideration. So how is the current situation different from 2008? Today's global economic landscape and financial system have become extremely complex.
Judging from recent financial data, the US economy has shown a certain degree of resilience, and although its inflation level has fluctuated, it is generally controllable. At the same time, the United States does not want to see disorderly flows of capital at home and abroad due to interest rate cuts, which would damage the "solid fortress" of the US dollar.
Let's look at the situation in China. The Chinese economy is facing certain downward pressure, but the government is still taking diversified measures to maintain stability, such as expanding domestic demand and promoting innovation. Similarly, China has a considerable policy toolbox to deal with various potential risks, so the United States may see this stability and think that there is no need to respond by lowering interest rates.
This financial war without gunpowder is actually a contest between the comprehensive strength and economic strategies of China and the United States, rather than a simple game of exchange rates and interest rates. Therefore, in the absence of a major economic turnaround, the possibility of the United States taking the initiative to cut interest rates is indeed slim.
For us cryptocurrency players, this game has undoubtedly added more uncertainty to the market. But just like every ups and downs in the past, risks are also opportunities for those who are prepared.
What do you think? Welcome to discuss in the comments section!
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Disclaimer: The above content is for information sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice! Investment is risky, please be cautious when entering the market!
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