美联储何时降息？

Kevin O'Leary is going against the grain this time. While others are betting on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, he directly said: I don't believe it! Furthermore, even if there is a rate cut, the impact on Bitcoin prices would be minimal, at most fluctuating by 5% around the current price. #美联储重启降息步伐

But the market doesn't think so — data from #cme gives an 89% probability of a rate cut, and the rising sentiment has also driven #BTC up from 83,000 to above 93,000, currently stuck between the support of 90,000 and the resistance of 92,500. Traders say that if it can break through 92,500, then 94,000 to 95,000 is likely to come. #美联储何时降息？

The reason O'Leary doesn't see a rate cut is that he believes inflation is still stubbornly high, with the U.S. #cpi continuing to rise, and the Federal Reserve is hesitant to make moves. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve has quietly injected $13 billion in liquidity into the short-term financing market, which has also stirred the crypto market.

Now the market is focused on: this week's liquidity + the Federal Reserve's attitude. If it breaks 92,500, then the bulls will jump in; if it falls below 90,000, it will have to go back and consolidate.

$ETH $SOL $BTC
🔥【Midnight Global Market Explosion!】After waking up, how is your account? The suspense of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut rises again, gold prices, stock prices, and cryptocurrency prices are all "surging"! What exactly happened that changed the market overnight?👇

📈 U.S. stocks collectively surged, with energy and finance leading the way
The Dow Jones soared by 408 points, with the S&P and Nasdaq rising in tandem📊; however, Chinese concept stocks fell against the trend, with NIO and XPeng dropping over 4%, and Alibaba and Baidu following suit, while the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index fell by 1.38%📉

📉 Employment data "shocked", rate cut expectations soared to 89%!
U.S. private sector employment unexpectedly shrank in November, and market expectations shifted instantly❗The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December soared to nearly 90%, causing U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar to fall, with gold prices rising in tandem🆙

🛢️ Geopolitical turmoil resurfaces, oil prices open high and rise
A sudden explosion occurred in the Russia-Ukraine oil pipeline⚡, combined with the impact of energy sanctions, international oil prices surged strongly, and volatility in the energy market intensified🔥

💎 In summary: Weak employment ignites hopes for rate cuts, with U.S. stocks and gold rising together; geopolitical conflicts combined with supply risks lead to an explosive start for oil prices! The market is now closely watching the Federal Reserve's decision next week🎯

💬 What do you think? Is the Federal Reserve really going to change direction? Will gold and energy continue to surge? Come to the comments section to share your views and discuss the next steps for the market!👇
#美联储何时降息？ #加密市场观察

On December 4th, the US dollar remained weak after hitting a five-week low last week, mainly influenced by US data and news regarding Federal Reserve personnel, increasing expectations for interest rate cuts ahead of next week's rate decision. #美联储何时降息？

The ADP private sector employment report released on Wednesday was unexpectedly weak, while ISM services data showed easing price pressures, boosting market confidence in interest rate cuts.

Additionally, Trump's suggestion that he might nominate Hassett to succeed the Federal Reserve Chair adds further uncertainty to the interest rate outlook. LSEG data indicates that the market has priced in an 85% probability of a rate cut in December, and the dollar may continue to face pressure in the short term, with investors focusing on policy trends and the impact of economic data on the market. #美联储重启降息步伐

For many Asian emerging market currencies, a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December may be timely. Easing policies will help the Reserve Bank of India alleviate downward pressure on the rupee and provide a brief respite for currencies such as the Indonesian rupiah, South Korean won, and Philippine peso. This week, the Indian rupee fell below 90 against 1 US dollar for the first time in history; the won has already dropped over 4% this quarter. #美联储何时降息？

Experts point out that currencies with robust economies and strong growth momentum, such as the renminbi, New Taiwan dollar, and South Korean won, may perform better. However, the Indian rupee faces high tariffs and economic slowdown risks, while the Philippine peso is dragged down by the central bank's easing tendencies. Bloomberg data shows that market expectations for a 25 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve in December exceed 90%, prompting Asian currencies to begin stabilizing. Analysts believe that the renminbi is likely to strengthen, making it a good time to position for Asian currencies. In Japan, although the central bank hinted at a possible rate hike, the rapid increase in prices limits support for the yen. #美联储重启降息步伐

The market now almost considers the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December as a certainty, with a probability as high as 90%. However, interestingly, the latest data shows that the economy may experience stagflation, where wages and prices pull on each other like a spiral. This has led to discussions about whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates as expected or adjust its strategy to respond to this potential risk. #美联储何时降息？
#美联储重启降息步伐

The possibility of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December has risen to 87%—have we officially entered a bull market phase?

#美联储何时降息？

$ZEC $GIGGLE $PIEVERSE 🔥🔥🔥🔥
🔥【Breaking】The Federal Reserve is changing leadership! Trump is directly “nominating” his choice; is the market ready for a major shock?🔥

The originally planned interview process has been abruptly canceled👋. Multiple U.S. media outlets confirm: Trump has personally selected his former economic advisor—Kevin Hassett—to replace Powell.

In simple terms, this means the future Federal Reserve may directly take orders from the president😏.

👉 What exactly happened?
The list of candidates and the interview organized by the Treasury Secretary was completely overridden by a single statement from the boss. Trump said during a meeting: “It’s been narrowed down to one person.” He even referred to Hassett as “the future chairman” in front of him. This move is very much Trump🤷♂️.

👉 Why Hassett?
Two words: loyalty. Hassett has been with Trump for many years and is a trusted confidant. It is said that Trump still regrets selecting Powell and is determined to use “his own people” this time.

👉 What does this mean for the market?

1. Crisis of independence: Can the Federal Reserve withstand political pressure and make independent decisions in the future?🤔
2. Increased expectations for rate cuts: A more “compliant” chairman may mean that rate cuts could come faster and more aggressively. The liquidity floodgates may open💸.
3. Increased volatility: The uncertainty of policy direction will definitely rise in the short term, and the stock, bond, and forex markets may become more turbulent. However, for the crypto market, the volatility and easing of the traditional world often herald opportunities🚀.

In summary: The “Powell era” of the Federal Reserve is about to end, and a more politicized and closely aligned “Hassett era” may begin. Buckle up; the macro theme for 2025 may be set from here on out. #美联储何时降息？

The major event last night was Trump mentioning that he will select the Federal Reserve Chairman early next year. When introducing the potential candidate Kevin Hassett, he stated that the potential Federal Reserve Chairman is right here.

This can be understood as his choice being set in stone.

This also dispelled rumors of Powell resigning in advance.

Currently, the predicted probability in the market has risen to 86%, and the market has begun to anticipate his appointment in advance.

Kevin is one of the most crypto-friendly potential chairpersons in history. He was once an advisor to Coinbase and a strong supporter of Trump’s interest rate cuts, and he actually holds positions.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve has officially ended the quantitative tightening policy, and it is expected that there may be three consecutive interest rate cuts, with a projected reduction of 75 basis points—quantitative easing is coming!

At the same time, Musk predicts that a $38.3 trillion "crisis" could trigger a surge in Bitcoin prices. This move has caused Bitcoin prices to soar nearly $9k, and a small bull market may be on the horizon!

#降息预期 #美联储何时降息？ #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话

Although the interest rate cut in December is not a done deal

Wall Street traders are still betting on the interest rate cut in December

You can tell by the current market situation. We started going long on Ethereum from 2800 and successfully made a profit of 400 points, which means if you bought 100 Ethereum, you would earn 40,000 USD. Such a fantastic order, don't you want it?

Earning 40,000 USD on a single trade doesn't seem like much, but if converted to RMB, it's 280,000, equivalent to an ordinary person's annual salary.

The next fantastic order is being set up, only taking on board those who truly want to turn things around.

#美联储何时降息？ #币安区块链周

Let's talk about next week's Federal Reserve meeting and what the market is concerned about.

To put it simply, a 25 basis point rate cut in December is now almost a consensus expectation in the market. But the trouble lies not in this meeting, but in next year: how much to cut and why to cut, these two opposing voices are arguing fiercely.

The market is pulling between two scenarios:

· Dovish scenario (worried about employment): believes that the Federal Reserve is more afraid of a sudden spike in the unemployment rate (especially since AI may have already begun to impact college graduate employment), so it would cut rates to “support” even if inflation is temporarily high. This is potentially positive for market liquidity.
· Hawkish scenario (worried about inflation): believes the economy is still strong, and inflation is stubborn, so the room for rate cuts is actually limited. Some officials have clearly opposed, arguing that rate cuts won't solve the employment issues brought about by “technology and demographic structure.”

The impact path on the cryptocurrency market:

1. Short term (next week): the focus is not on “whether to cut rates,” but on Powell's remarks after the meeting. If he hints at “we are almost there,” the market may feel disappointed; if he emphasizes “watch the data, especially employment,” the dovish narrative will prevail, which is positive for sentiment.
2. Medium term (next year): the real contest lies in the data. Every employment and inflation data release will cause these two forces to ebb and flow, and market volatility is inevitable. If the narrative of “worried about employment” is continuously validated, expectations for liquidity easing will be stronger.

In terms of operations, one can pay attention to:

· After next week's meeting, if the market falls due to “hawkish statements,” don’t rush to panic sell; clarify whether it’s short-term sentiment or a trend change.
· In the first half of next year, the details of employment data (especially for highly educated individuals) may influence the Federal Reserve's real thoughts more than inflation data.
· During this period of expectation confusion, being flexible in positions is more important than directional judgment.

In summary, what the market is buying now is not “rate cuts,” but “what the Federal Reserve is worried about.” Concern about employment is not necessarily a bad thing for us.

(Source: Financial Times of the UK and analysis from several institutions, for reference only) #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

Federal Reserve Chairman "refusing to leave"? The cryptocurrency world is quietly changing! Retail investors, don't get left behind!

Recently, Wall Street has been a bit lively! The special clothing company has already identified the next Federal Reserve Chairman, but the current one, Powell, might actually "refuse to leave" and wants to remain on the board, continuing to vote in the FOMC! Deutsche Bank has even jumped in to say: this person might break tradition and continue on!

You ask me what impact this has on the cryptocurrency world? I tell you, this matter is more serious than you think!
Who is the Federal Reserve? The "main faucet" of global liquidity! The choice of chairman is directly related to interest rate hikes and cuts, as well as quantitative easing and tightening. If Powell truly stays on, it indicates that policies might have continuity and won’t quickly shift. For the cryptocurrency world, if liquidity remains tight, the short-term situation will still be volatile; but if he stabilizes the situation, the market may not act wildly, which could be a "calming pill".

However, we retail investors should not just watch the excitement! Let me give you a small example: last year when the Fed took a hawkish stance, Bitcoin almost halved; later, when the tone softened, it rebounded violently. The current situation is a typical "news-driven speculative period" — big players are observing the trends, and retail investors are easily left behind.

So what should we do?
First, don’t panic! The news has just come out, and the market needs time to digest. Don’t rush in with all your positions just because you see the news.
Second, keep a close eye on two indicators: the US dollar index and the reaction of the US stock market. The cryptocurrency world is currently strongly linked to traditional funds; when they move, Bitcoin often changes direction accordingly.
Third, position management is always the key! Keep some bullets, be brave to add positions when it dips, and don’t chase when it rises.
I am currently watching several key levels: Bitcoin stabilizing at 30,000 and Ethereum stabilizing at 1,800, the trend is still not bad. If it breaks below, then watch more and act less, and wait for the wind to come!
Zhi Yao's strength doesn't boast or make empty promises; it only teaches you practical survival skills. Follow Zhi Yao; fans who want to keep up can find Zhi Yao Village, where Zhi Yao announces entry points and exit timing every day! #美联储何时降息？

Last night, three major incidents occurred in the United States, while retail investors were still asleep! #ADP Employment data plummeted by -32,000, and the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut slightly decreased, triggering economic warnings; if Trump returns to power, he may even replace the Federal Reserve chairman, leading to a major shift in fiscal policy, and expectations of liquidity increasing, where will the funds go?

At the same time, #SEC the chairman stated that the cryptocurrency bill will soon pass, Polymarket is returning to the US, and #solana spot #etf is quietly launching. All of this is not a coincidence, but is paving the way for the cryptocurrency market. On the surface, the economy is weak, but in reality, policies, funds, and legitimacy are all hitting together! Retail investors should not panic by staring at K-lines, the focus is on positioning: look for assets with compliance prospects and spot ETF potential, patiently wait for the wind to come; making rash moves is not as good as planning early. #美联储何时降息？

Goldman's latest report is quite information-heavy.

First, the consensus: a rate cut in December is basically a foregone conclusion. But the real key to the report is its outlook for next year—Goldman believes that due to the potential acceleration of economic growth, the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve will clearly slow down in the first half of the year (for example, no action in January, followed by moves in March and June).

However, there is a noteworthy signal hidden within: the employment data for American college students is showing a clear weakening. The unemployment rate for graduates over the age of 25 has risen by about 50% compared to the end of 2022, and the situation is even more pronounced for younger graduates. Goldman suggests that this might be a real impact on the job market due to the replacement by technologies such as AI. If this trend continues, it could not only affect overall consumption but could also force the Federal Reserve to cut rates more aggressively than expected.

For the market, there are two narratives pulling in different directions:

· On one side is the narrative of "the economy is doing well, slowly cut rates,"
· On the other side is the narrative of "structural employment issues emerging, forcing greater easing."

If the latter gradually becomes the main storyline, the liquidity environment may be more accommodative than what the current market expects.

Points worth observing:

1. Short-term sentiment may be suppressed by expectations of "slowing rate cuts," especially if subsequent economic data turns out to be stronger.
2. However, the medium-term factor that truly impacts the market may be "why cut rates"—if it is due to hidden structural issues necessitating easing, it may not be a bad thing for assets like cryptocurrencies.
3. It is recommended not to focus solely on the number of rate cuts, but to pay attention to the underlying economic data, especially the changes in employment details.

In summary, the main storyline for the macro environment next year may not be inflation, but employment.

(Source: Goldman Sachs Global Economic Outlook Report, for reference only, not constituting investment advice) #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

After watching your share, I really feel happy for you 👍👍👍

It's not because of how much you earned, but because you were willing to not give up on yourself during the toughest times, willing to give yourself a chance, and also willing to give me a chance.

Many people say they have no money and no luck, but what truly determines the outcome is whether or not you can use your last breath on learning and progress, rather than complaining.

The profits you made are because you followed my guidance and did the following:

1. Control your position well, do not go all in.

2. Enter and exit according to signals, do not be emotional.

3. Have clear profit-taking and stop-loss, do not cling to battles.

4. Follow the rhythm, do not chase highs or sell lows.

Many retail investors in the market struggle to achieve the above points, which often leads to losses. Your persistence is not because you encountered me, but because you did the right things yourself. I just provided you with a direction.

I also appreciate your trust in me and hope we can work hard together to achieve long-term compounding, reaching the value we desire.

Hello everyone, I am Anqi, an old trader loyal to spot and contracts ❤️❤️❤️. I hope what I said can help everyone, thank you! 😘😘
#ETH #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $BNB $SOL

The 9 Most Stable Ways to Make Money in the Crypto World👇

It's recommended to read through, remember, and apply it well to avoid unnecessary detours.

① Long-term Holding (Most Suitable for Beginners)

Choose mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, hold for more than six months to a year.

When the bull market comes, the value will naturally reflect.

Advantages: Survives bull and bear markets, highest winning rate.

Challenges: Enduring volatility, don’t chase high prices.

② Swing Trading

Capture 10%-20% of short-term price fluctuations, exit once the target is reached.

Advantages: Good timing, quick returns.

Risks: Misreading the trend can easily lead to losses.

③ Contract Leverage (Caution for Beginners)

5-10 times leverage, small gains can amplify returns.

Advantages: Leverage profits.

Risks: Liquidation can happen faster than price increases.

④ DeFi Staking

Put ETH or stablecoins into DeFi protocols to earn annualized returns.

Advantages: Passive income.

Risks: Possibility of projects being hacked or running away.

⑤ Primary Market (Launchpool/New Projects)

Participate in new coin listings at low cost, profit after listing.

Advantages: Large return potential.

Risks: Most projects can’t withstand pressure; assessing project capability is crucial.

⑥ Airdrop Mining

Participate in testnets, tasks, etc., to receive free tokens.

Advantages: Almost zero cost.

Risks: Many projects are fake, and it takes time.

⑦ Arbitrage Trading

Quickly buy and sell based on price differences across exchanges.

Advantages: Relatively stable.

Risks: Thin profit margins, requires quick execution.

⑧ NFT Investment

Buy promising NFTs, either for short-term trading or long-term holding.

Advantages: Huge gains in bull markets.

Risks: Deep waters, depends on people's insight.

⑨ News-based Trading

Position in advance based on policies, upgrades, and favorable news, such as ETH updates and regulatory benefits.

Advantages: Most effective in catching trends.

Risks: The market can run ahead, making it difficult to judge the authenticity of news.

#美联储何时降息？ #ETH $ETH $SOL $XRP

To those new to the crypto world, I always want to say three sentences, each of which can help you avoid many pitfalls.

① The crypto world is not a get-rich-quick machine, but a high-volatility market.

The money you earn comes from emotional cycles, not from perpetual rises.

When it rises sharply, it drops even more sharply; this is the norm.

So new users should first learn one principle: surviving is more important than making money.

Leave room in your positions

Do not be fully invested

Do not gamble everything

Don’t bet your future on a single wager.

② Prioritize mainstream options and avoid things you don’t understand.

New users are easily lured into traps by “× times the surge,” “internal recommendations,” and “group calls.”

Remember this phrase: If you don’t understand it, don’t touch it.

Large projects rise slowly but steadily, while scam coins can rise quickly but can go to zero.

For newcomers, stability is more important than excitement.

③ Making money relies on the market, losing money relies on operation.

Many people do not lose to the market, but rather to their own actions:

Chasing after a slight rise

Cutting losses only after a drop

Opening contracts chaotically when emotionally charged.

The fundamental skills that can truly allow you to last are only three:

Follow the trend, rather than guessing rises and falls.

Invest regularly, don’t put everything in at once.

Emotional stability is more crucial than technical skills.

The crypto world has never been about who charges forward fiercely, but about who can maintain their rhythm and last longer.

If you can truly adhere to these three points, you are already stronger than 80% of newcomers.
#美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储何时降息？ $BNB $XRP $SOL

Let's talk about a key question: Even if Hasset becomes the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, can it really bring about a quick wave of interest rate cuts?

The core logic is that the Federal Reserve is not a one-man show but a committee. PGIM's fund mogul Peters pointed this out: Hasset may personally lean towards easing, but he needs to persuade other committee members. What the market is currently worried about is precisely his lack of credibility in building consensus.

What does this mean for the crypto market?

1. Short-term expectations may cool down: If the market begins to believe that "changing the chairman ≠ a sudden policy shift," then the optimistic bets on rapid and substantial interest rate cuts next year will wane. This could put short-term pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
2. However, long-term uncertainty is decreasing: This situation instead highlights the checks and balances in the Federal Reserve's decision-making mechanism. This means that regardless of who becomes chairman, the likelihood of drastic policy swings has decreased. In the long run, reducing unpredictable extreme fluctuations is not a bad thing for the healthy development of the market.
3. The real focus should shift: Instead of over-speculating on personnel changes, it is better to return to fundamentals: inflation and employment data. These are the key factors that ultimately drive all committee members' votes. Each important data release in the future may trigger a market repricing of policy paths.

Operationally, it can be viewed as follows:

· Be wary of short-term emotional fluctuations caused by "personnel hype"; do not blindly chase after price increases or sell-off.
· Shift the focus from "who becomes chairman" back to "how is the economic data."
· Maintain a certain degree of positional flexibility until the policy path is clarified.

In summary, changing a part in the Federal Reserve machine will not immediately alter its direction. For us, focusing on the road surface (economic data) is more practical than focusing on the driver (chairman candidate).

(Source: PGIM expert opinions and Bloomberg reports, for reference only, not investment advice) #美联储何时降息？ $BTC $ETH

$BTC

The Federal Reserve makes a significant shift! The world's largest "pump" has officially stopped!

This is definitely an epic signal! It has just been confirmed that the Federal Reserve's QT (quantitative tightening) has come to an end. In simple terms, the largest pump that has been crazily extracting liquidity from the global market for the past two years has finally shut down!

Looking back on why the past two years have been so difficult? The answer lies in this pump, which continuously siphoned off dollar liquidity, leading to money being scarce and expensive. The cryptocurrency market was hit the hardest, suffocating under pressure. Now the tightest constraints on the market have finally been lifted! $ETH


But here I must remind everyone: this is not an immediate signal for a massive surge! "Shutting down" and "reverse liquidity injection" are completely different matters. The market will first digest this expectation, and the volatility is likely to be extremely intense. Before clear easing signals appear, we must be wary of the dual explosions in the market!

The key turning point in the cycle has arrived, and the market narrative is about to change. Are you ready? Let's discuss your views in the comments section!

#美联储何时降息？

Here comes the evening contract real-time order.
$BOB has already started to show a downward trend.
Funds have begun to flee in large amounts.
The daily double top is slowly declining to unload.
Still the same saying, we should operate in accordance with the trend.
So I let the fans enter a wave of short positions.

Take profit wait for Sister Yue to notify, for stop loss refer to the position screenshot
#ETH走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $BNB

It seems that Sister Yue has found a new way to make money

She wants to use this to search for a contract, do you all think it's possible?🤭
#ETH走势分析 #美联储何时降息？ $ETH $SOL $XRP