In-depth analysis of the market and strategy adjustment

📊 Review of yesterday's market highlights:

The non-agricultural data was released, and the results were surprising - the lower-than-expected values ​​and the rising unemployment rate together outlined the outline of the economic recession. This situation has paved the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates several times this year, and even cut interest rates in advance. For the currency circle, it is undoubtedly potential good news. It is expected that the first interest rate cut will come in September, injecting a touch of warmth into the market.

⚠ Short-term risk warning:

However, even if the expectation of interest rate cuts brings hope, two major shadows still loom over the market in the short term:

The Middle East powder keg is rekindled: tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated sharply, and Iran may take action against Israel in the next few days, and geopolitical risks have increased sharply.

Mentougou token release: This event is like a time bomb, which may detonate market panic at any time.

🔍 Strategy adjustment suggestions:

Based on the above analysis, we need to remain cautiously optimistic. The real rebound may need to wait until the situation in Iran becomes clear. Looking back at yesterday, we have tried to make early arrangements on TIA. Although there are certain risks, the strategic direction is basically correct.

BTC observation point: If the BTC price falls below the $60,000 mark, it will be a good time to consider further increasing positions.

📈 On-chain data insights:

The latest on-chain data shows that stablecoins are fleeing exchanges, while BTC is experiencing a reflux phenomenon, which may indicate a subtle change in market sentiment.

📊 Future market prediction:

The initial sound of Iran's action: Once Iran launches an attack on Israel, the market may fall briefly, and then may usher in an opportunity for a rebound.

Mentougou incident: When relevant news is released, the market may be under pressure to fall again.

Long-term outlook: It is expected that after resisting the volatility at the end of August, the market is expected to gradually pick up and usher in a rebound.

📅 Repair cycle estimate:

This round of market adjustment is expected to take at least one week to complete the repair, and the volatility may increase during this period. Please be sure to do a good job of risk management and flexibly adjust your position strategy.

All members are requested to pay close attention to market dynamics, maintain rational analysis, and operate steadily. Our community will continue to provide you with the latest information and in-depth analysis, and jointly grasp the pulse of the market!

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