Market Review
On September 11, when TRB was around 23, I posted that TRB would definitely break 30 and that you must not short it. You should go short at 38 (if you are careful, you can find the 15-minute K-line, 38 is also a periodic high point), and then short at the high point near 42. After being scammed by the TRB rate for the first time, I decisively found a countermeasure, and it was very effective. You can say that I killed two birds with one stone. If you have any questions, please refer to my previous post.
Today's analysis
The dealer of TRB played the game very skillfully this time. We have to say that he is a trading genius and a master of human nature management. He has a very good grasp of the psychology of leeks. TRB's high negative fee rate caused all kinds of noise in the market. Some big investors started a dispute with the dealer precisely because of this fee rate. The big investors who resisted the orders thought that the fee rate would only last for two or three days at most, but they resisted for more than a week, from the first day to the fourth day. The high fee rate changed the mentality of the big investors who resisted the orders, and they swear to fight the dealer to the death. At this time, the idea that it is better to blow up the position than to stop loss arises spontaneously. This kind of mentality just step into the psychological trap of the dealer little by little. The principle of lossless market manipulation by the dog dealer: the dealer found the small-cap TRB as a harvesting tool. After a long-term layout, the dealer absorbed most of the chips from the bottom and achieved absolute pricing power with a high degree of control. Then the dealer started the crazy plan. The fund rate was used very skillfully by the TRB dealer. The bottom was slowly pulled up step by step with small steps and inducement to empty. After locking up the large-scale air force, the dealer started a crazy hunting plan. By charging large-scale air forces with high fund fees to fill part of the chips for market manipulation, and then by pulling the market to ensure the popularity of the currency circle, attract more air forces to die. With popularity and a large air force, the dealer has unlimited bullets to pull the market, forming a closed-loop market manipulation method, and the dealer has become a perpetual motion machine. Personally, I think the dealer's profit point is precisely to make a profit by smashing the market.
Future changes
TRB fishtail market, friends who are still obsessed with the funding rate must pay attention, pay attention, pay attention! Important things must be said three times!
At present, TRB is a little weak in pulling up the market, and everyone has made optimization countermeasures for the high funding rate. The tricks of the dealer have been slowly exposed. Everyone has this little trick on how to eat the funding rate, so those who eat the funding rate later must be careful that the dealer will take out the second sickle. Those who eat the funding fee will lose their principal forever! If you are bold and must buy and sell decisively, you may lose your principal if you hesitate for a minute. It is too easy for the dealer to control the market and smash it. If the price does not change and the position is gone, it will be the end of the leeks. Next week, TRB will most likely pull back to around 30-25. Of course, if it continues to pull up, there is another pressure point above, which is around 60. I will definitely go short when I expect it, and control my position reasonably!
