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Today's Picks
Israel's Security Cabinet authorizes Prime Minister and Defense Minister to take military action against Hezbollah
Israel seeks changes to Gaza ceasefire plan, Hamas hostage release
U.S. core PCE price index slightly higher than expected in June
"Fed megaphone": The Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates this week, but may signal a September rate cut
Trump: If elected, a strategic national Bitcoin reserve will be established; Bitcoin market value may surpass gold in the future
National Bureau of Statistics: From January to June 2024, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.5%
Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: We should focus on areas such as intelligent connected vehicles, new materials, biomanufacturing, brain-computer interfaces, quantum information, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace to accelerate the development of new quality productivity
A quantitative private equity firm has confirmed that high-frequency trading fees may increase 9 times to 1 yuan per transaction.
Private equity monopolizes Saudi ETF subscription with hardware? Multiple quantitative private equity fund managers: They will not monopolize transactions
Two subsidiaries of Evergrande Auto were filed for bankruptcy reorganization
Market Review
Last Friday, the US dollar index continued to fluctuate in a range, hitting a low of 104.19, and finally closed down 0.08% at 104.32. The US Treasury yields fell sharply, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield falling to 4.2%, and the two-year Treasury yield closing at 4.3850%.
As PCE data showed that US prices rose only slightly in June, spot gold rebounded and returned to above $2,380, and finally closed up 0.93% at $2,387.04 per ounce. Spot silver finally closed up 0.27% at $27.91 per ounce. In addition, as the Israel-Lebanon conflict escalated sharply over the weekend, spot gold jumped at the opening on Monday and once rushed above $2,400, and spot silver returned to above $28.
Due to the selling pressure from CTA and traders weighing Asian demand against falling US inventories, WTI crude oil fell by more than 2% and once fell below $76, and finally closed down 2.49% at $76.04 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 2.28% at 79.64 yuan per barrel. On Monday, due to the escalation of the conflict between Israel and Lebanon, both oils opened 1% higher.
The three major U.S. stock indices opened higher and ended higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 1.64%, the S&P 500 up 1.11%, and the Nasdaq up 1.03%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.22%, with Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) up 3.78%, NIO (NIO.N) up 3.63%, and Bilibili (BILI.O) up 2.26%.
Major European stock indices rebounded, with Germany's DAX30 index closing up 0.65%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing up 1.21%; and Europe's STOXX 50 index closing up 1.06%.
Hong Kong stocks fluctuated throughout the day. The Hang Seng Index regained the 17,000-point mark and closed up 0.1% at 17,021.31 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 0.66% at 3,443.73 points. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index's market turnover was HK$104.67 billion (the previous trading day's turnover was HK$105.734 billion). On the market, heavy machinery stocks rose the most, home appliance stocks strengthened, and technology stocks rebounded; real estate services, pork, CXO concepts, telecommunications services and other sectors fell. In terms of individual stocks, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (03808.HK) rose 18%, Haier Smart Home (06690.HK) rose 6.1%, JD.com (09618.HK) rose 3%, and Alibaba Health (00241.HK) rose 3.5%; Oriental Selection (01797.HK) fell 23.4%, New Oriental (09901.HK) fell 4.4%, Cha Baidao (02555.HK) fell 4.4%, and China Unicom (00762.HK) fell 4.2%.
The three major A-share indexes showed divergent trends, with the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fluctuating higher, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose slightly; by the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.14%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.45%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.92%. In terms of sectors, affected by the news, the concept of automobile dismantling rose sharply, with Chaoyue Technology, Huahong Technology, and Yiqiu Resources hitting the daily limit; the household appliances sector rose sharply, with Martian and Beiding shares hitting the daily limit of 20%; the concept of commercial aerospace rose sharply, with Xinyan shares and Hollewo hitting the daily limit of 20%; among other sectors, the sectors of intelligent transportation, aviation, general machinery, ships, automobiles, securities companies, non-ferrous metals, engineering machinery, national defense and military industry, industrial mother machines, and copper cable high-speed connections were among the top gainers; a few sectors such as banks and telecommunications operators fell. More than 4,300 stocks rose in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, with a transaction amount of more than 620 billion yuan.
International News
1. Over the weekend, Israel said Lebanon fired rockets at the Golan Heights, killing at least 10 people and injuring more than 30. Lebanon's Hezbollah said it had "nothing to do" with the attack. The Israeli Security Cabinet has authorized Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Galant to launch a military strike against Lebanon's Hezbollah in response to Hezbollah's rocket attack on the Golan Heights town of Majdal Shams on the 27th. The U.S. Embassy in Lebanon issued a travel security alert.
2. Israel is seeking to modify the Gaza ceasefire plan and Hamas' plan to release hostages. Israeli officials said that Israel has submitted the latest proposal for the Gaza ceasefire agreement to the United States.
3. The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in June was 2.6%, higher than expected. Traders expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in July and start cutting interest rates in September. Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece", said that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates this week, but may send a signal of a rate cut in September.
4. Due to continued pressure from high inflation, US consumer confidence fell to an eight-month low of 66.4.
5. Trump plans to hold more outdoor rallies, saying that the U.S. Secret Service must protect his safe return, including returning to the site of the "failed assassination attempt" and holding another rally.
6. Trump: I hope the United States will become a Bitcoin superpower; Bitcoin will not threaten the US dollar; if elected, I will establish a strategic national Bitcoin reserve; the market value of Bitcoin may surpass gold in the future.
7. Former US President Obama supports Harris's campaign for US president, ending days of speculation.
8. The Russian Central Bank raised interest rates by 200 basis points, raising the benchmark interest rate from 16% to 18%, in line with market expectations.
9. The EU transferred 1.5 billion euros in profits from Russian assets to Ukraine, and the Kremlin vowed to respond.
10. The EU has launched excessive deficit procedures against seven member states: France, Italy, Hungary, Belgium, Malta, Poland and Slovakia.
11. The Nikkei 225 index fell for the eighth consecutive day, marking the longest losing streak since October 2021.
12. The 33rd Summer Olympic Games opened in Paris, France.
13. Malaysia applied to join the BRICS.
Domestic News
1. National Bureau of Statistics: From January to June 2024, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide increased by 3.5%.
2. National Development and Reform Commission: Comprehensively promote the regular issuance of real estate investment trust (REITs) projects in the infrastructure field.
3. The Ministry of Finance and other four departments: Implement a special guarantee plan to support scientific and technological innovation, and increase the risk sharing ratio by category.
4. Wu Qing, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, held a special symposium in Beijing to study and plan a package of measures to further comprehensively deepen the reform and opening up of the capital market.
5. The People's Bank of China stated that it would unify the foreign exchange risk management model for QFII/RQFII and direct entry into the interbank bond market, and issued the "Implementation Rules of the Regulations on the Supervision and Administration of Non-Bank Payment Institutions".
6. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: We must accelerate the cultivation of new pillars and new tracks, focus on areas such as intelligent connected vehicles, new materials, biomanufacturing, brain-computer interfaces, quantum information, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace to accelerate the development of new quality productivity.
7. Premier Li Qiang held talks with Italian Prime Minister Meroni.
8. Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with US Secretary of State Blinken.
9. China Gold Association: my country's gold production in the first half of 2024 was 179.634 tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.58%.
10. A dam breach in Xiangtan, Hunan has grown to more than 50 meters, and more than 3,100 people have been evacuated urgently.
11. Chongqing’s automobile production has returned to the top among cities in the country.
12. The spokesperson of the China Coast Guard made a statement regarding the Philippines’ supply of supplies to the stranded warship on the Ren’ai Reef: The China Coast Guard confirmed this and supervised the entire process.
13. Quantitative private equity has confirmed that the high-frequency trading fee may increase 9 times to 1 yuan per transaction.
14. CITIC Construction Investment responded to the intern incident: the relevant person in charge has been dismissed and there is no "assisting in financial fraud".
15. SERES: Plans to acquire a stake in Huawei’s Yinwang Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.
16. Fuyao Glass: Fuyao America is not a target of investigation and its production and operations are currently operating normally.
17. Private equity firms rely on hardware to monopolize Saudi ETF subscriptions? Several quantitative private equity fund managers: They will not monopolize transactions.
18. Two subsidiaries of Evergrande Auto were declared bankrupt and reorganized, which had a significant impact on their production and business activities.
19. The Chinese pair Huang Yuting/Sheng Lihao won the first gold medal of the Paris Olympics.
20. Suparna Airlines, a subsidiary of HNA Aviation Group, revealed that it will receive its first C919 passenger aircraft in the fourth quarter of 2024, becoming the world's first private airline to operate the C919.
Risk Warning
☆At 16:30, the UK will announce the central bank’s mortgage license for June;
☆At 18:00, the UK will announce the July CBI retail sales difference;
☆At 22:30, the United States will release the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for July.
Article forwarded from: Jinshi Data
