$BTC Phase 1: Week 1 – Foundations & Fundamental Analysis
Before putting money on the line, understand the "Why" behind the price movements.
Market Sentiment: Monitor the Fear & Greed Index. It tells you if the market is over-hyped (Greed) or undervalued (Fear).
Macro-Economics: Keep an eye on US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and CPI (Inflation) data. Usually, when the US Dollar (DXY) strengthens, BTC faces downward pressure.
Supply Dynamics: Understand the impact of the Bitcoin Halving. With a fixed supply of 21 million, scarcity is the primary driver of value.
Phase 2: Week 2 – Technical Analysis (The Charts)
You don't need to be a pro, but you should know how to read the "pulse" of the market using tools like TradingView.
Support & Resistance: Identify the price floors where BTC usually stops falling (Support) and the ceilings it struggles to break (Resistance).
Moving Averages: Watch the 50-day and 200-day MAs. These are used by institutional investors to determine the long-term trend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Above 70: Overbought (Potential for a price correction/drop).
Below 30: Oversold (Potential buying opportunity).
Phase 3: Week 3 – Risk Management & Strategy
The goal isn't just to make money; it’s to not lose it.
DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging): Instead of investing a lump sum, invest a fixed amount every week. This lowers your average entry price during volatility.
The 1% Rule: Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Crypto is highly volatile; ensure your "emergency fund" is in a bank, not in BTC.
Storage Security: If you are holding a significant amount, move it from exchanges to a Cold Wallet (Hardware wallet) for maximum security.
Phase 4: Week 4 – Execution & Psychology
Avoid FOMO: Fear Of Missing Out is the biggest enemy. If the price jumps 10% in a day, don't chase it. Wait for a "retest" or a dip.
Set Clear Goals: Decide your exit strategy. Are you a "HODLer" (Long-term) or a "Swing Trader" (Short-term)? Set your "Take Profit" and "Stop Loss" levels accordingly.
News Filtering: Follow reputable sources and avoid "shill" accounts on social media that promise 100x returns overnight.
#USIranStandoff #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #RiskAssetsMarketShock #BTC走势分析 #VANARY