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It is timely to revisit the typical crypto market cycle, as Bitcoin continues to respect it with remarkable precision.

The macro top was confirmed in October, when $BTC tested the $126,000 zone, marking the current cycle ATH. Since that rejection, price has transitioned into a prolonged consolidation phase, which structurally aligns with the early stages of a broader bear market cycle.

From a wave structure perspective, price action is developing an extended corrective formation (ABC). The initial decline from $126K to the $59K region completes Wave A. Current market behavior suggests a potential Wave B recovery toward the key supply and resistance band around $84,800–$90,000, where sellers are expected to reassert control.

Failure to reclaim and hold above this supply zone would likely trigger Wave C, with downside continuation toward the $34,000–$30,000 projected target area. This zone aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation, and long-term value based interest making it a critical region for strategic accumulation, not panic.

Cycle analysis indicates that this corrective phase may extend into early 2027, setting the stage for the next major accumulation and recovery phase. While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid, the broader macro structure continues to support higher prices long term, with expansion potential toward $200,000+ once the cycle reset completes.

#BTC #bitcoin #TrendingTopic

#bitcoin can drop below 40k later this year! But before that, in the short term, we may see a final drop to 58k, followed by a huge bear market rally to 85k. If you are confused, let's take a look at my prediction:

Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)

From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!

Why can $BTC go to 58k in the immediate short term? There are 2 very important levels that are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.

After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!

What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?

Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send $BTC to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!
#BTC #TrendingTopic

Bitcoin can drop below 40k later this year! But before that, in the short term, we may see a final drop to 58k, followed by a huge bear market rally to 85k. If you are confused, let's take a look at my prediction:

Short-term: 58k (wave A on the chart)
Mid-term: 85k (wave B on the chart)
Long-term: 40k (wave C on the chart)

From an investment point of view, after we hit 40k, that would be a great buying opportunity because Bitcoin will probably go to 200k in the next years!

Why can Bitcoin go to 58k in the immediate short term? 2 very important levels are waiting to be hit. The first is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bear market on the non-LOG scale, and the second is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Bitcoin bounced off 60k, but we didn't hit these levels, so that means we probably are going to go down very soon. When Bitcoin hits 58, that would complete the wave (A) of the bear market.

After that we may see a big rise to 85k (wave B), when everyone will think that the bottom is in, and these people may invest all their money into the crypto market. But do not get caught! We want to wait for wave (C). Your entry point is at 40k or lower!

What about all the ETF investors? Let's take a look at the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF chart. To me it looks like a huge trap for all investors that invested in Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025. The banks and huge institutions will probably take all stop losses and liquidity below the current all-time low. Does it make sense to you?

Why do whales need your stop losses? They have an enormous amount of money, and they need your order to get "filled" into the crypto market. They cannot buy Bitcoin from no one. They need your orders to enter the crypto space. That's why they cannot send Bitcoin to the upside, and instead they need to manipulate the price and crash Bitcoin again and again. In other words, they will make much more money by sending the price of Bitcoin down!

Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! I am very transparent with my trades. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
#MarketRebound #BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #BTC #TrendingTopic

As the digital asset market matures, it becomes increasingly important to contextualize price action within Bitcoin’s established macro cycle framework. Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated a repetitive sequence of expansion, distribution, contraction, and re-accumulation. Current price behavior continues to respect this broader structural rhythm with notable precision.

Macro Top & Structural Shift
The present cycle’s macro top was confirmed in October when Bitcoin tested the $126,000 region, establishing a new all-time high. The rejection from that level signaled exhaustion in upside momentum and marked the transition from expansion into a distribution-to-contraction phase. Since then, price has entered a prolonged consolidation range, structurally consistent with the early stages of a broader corrective cycle.

Wave Structure & Corrective Formation
From a structural standpoint, price action is developing an extended ABC corrective pattern:

Wave A: The initial decline from $126,000 to approximately $59,000 completed the first impulsive leg lower, reflecting broad profit-taking and weakening bullish momentum.

Wave B (Potential): Current dynamics suggest a counter-trend recovery toward the $84,800–$90,000 supply and resistance band. This region represents a significant liquidity pocket where sellers may reassert control.

Wave C (Risk Scenario): Failure to reclaim and sustain acceptance above the supply zone would increase the probability of Wave C unfolding, targeting the $34,000–$30,000 region.

This projected downside aligns with historical demand, prior cycle accumulation zones, and long-term value-based interest—positioning it as a strategic re-accumulation area rather than a structural breakdown of the macro thesis.

Cycle Timing & Forward Outlook
Cycle duration analysis suggests the corrective phase could extend into early 2027, consistent with previous multi-year contraction periods. Such resets historically lay the groundwork for the next major expansion cycle.

While short- to mid-term volatility and downside risk remain valid considerations, the broader macro structure continues to favor long-term appreciation. Upon completion of the corrective cycle and renewed accumulation, expansion potential toward the $200,000+ region remains structurally plausible within the next growth phase.

Strategic Perspective
In cyclical markets, patience and positioning outweigh emotional reaction. The current environment demands disciplined risk management, objective analysis, and an understanding that corrections are integral components of long-term structural growth.

The macro cycle is not broken — it is evolving.

#BTC走势分析 #bitcoin #TrendingTopic #CPIWatch
$BTC