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The U.S. labor market may not be as resilient as headline data suggests.
Over the past three years, more than 2.1 million jobs have been revised down from the initial Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates.
2023: -306,000 jobs
2024: -818,000 jobs
2025: -1,029,000 jobs — marking the steepest annual revision in at least two decades
Cumulatively, since 2019, approximately 2.5 million previously reported jobs have disappeared following data adjustments — indicating that earlier projections of employment growth were significantly overstated.
#USJobs #LaborMarket #Economy #MacroUpdate
Over the past three years, more than 2.1 million jobs have been revised down from the initial Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates.
2023: -306,000 jobs
2024: -818,000 jobs
2025: -1,029,000 jobs — marking the steepest annual revision in at least two decades
Cumulatively, since 2019, approximately 2.5 million previously reported jobs have disappeared following data adjustments — indicating that earlier projections of employment growth were significantly overstated.
#USJobs #LaborMarket #Economy #MacroUpdate
Significant Downward Revisions in U.S. Employment
Recent data reveals a major shift in the U.S. labor landscape, as 2025 saw a record-breaking downward revision of 1,029,000 jobs. This marks the largest annual adjustment in over two decades. $OWL
This latest update is part of a broader three-year trend of over-reporting:
2023: Revised down by 306,000 jobs.
2024: Revised down by 818,000 jobs.
2025: Revised down by 1,029,000 jobs.
Historical Context & Impact
The cumulative effect of these adjustments suggests that initial economic reports have been notably optimistic:
Three-Year Total: In just the last three years, a total of 2,153,000 jobs previously thought to exist have been removed from official records.
Long-term Trend: Since 2019, revisions have erased 2.5 million jobs, with negative adjustments occurring in six out of the last seven years. $WOD
Comparison to the Great Recession: The current scale of revisions is nearly double that of the 2009–2010 period, which saw a combined downward adjustment of approximately 1.2 million jobs. $黑马
The takeaway: These figures indicate that the actual strength of the U.S. labor market has been consistently lower than what was originally suggested by preliminary government data.
#EmploymentReport #LaborMarket #USJobsData
Recent data reveals a major shift in the U.S. labor landscape, as 2025 saw a record-breaking downward revision of 1,029,000 jobs. This marks the largest annual adjustment in over two decades. $OWL
This latest update is part of a broader three-year trend of over-reporting:
2023: Revised down by 306,000 jobs.
2024: Revised down by 818,000 jobs.
2025: Revised down by 1,029,000 jobs.
Historical Context & Impact
The cumulative effect of these adjustments suggests that initial economic reports have been notably optimistic:
Three-Year Total: In just the last three years, a total of 2,153,000 jobs previously thought to exist have been removed from official records.
Long-term Trend: Since 2019, revisions have erased 2.5 million jobs, with negative adjustments occurring in six out of the last seven years. $WOD
Comparison to the Great Recession: The current scale of revisions is nearly double that of the 2009–2010 period, which saw a combined downward adjustment of approximately 1.2 million jobs. $黑马
The takeaway: These figures indicate that the actual strength of the U.S. labor market has been consistently lower than what was originally suggested by preliminary government data.
#EmploymentReport #LaborMarket #USJobsData
📉 Trade Setup: $LAB /USDT (Short)
Current Price: 0.13472
Entry Zone: $0.13480 – $0.13600
(Looking for a slight retracement into the previous breakdown zone before a further drop).
Take Profit (TP): $0.12850
(Targeting the recent lows and psychological support levels).
Stop Loss (SL): $0.14150.
#LaborMarket #TradingSignals #BinanceSquareTalks #Analysiscrptoking #Write2Earrn
Current Price: 0.13472
Entry Zone: $0.13480 – $0.13600
(Looking for a slight retracement into the previous breakdown zone before a further drop).
Take Profit (TP): $0.12850
(Targeting the recent lows and psychological support levels).
Stop Loss (SL): $0.14150.
#LaborMarket #TradingSignals #BinanceSquareTalks #Analysiscrptoking #Write2Earrn
#USNFPBlowout US NFP Blowout: January 2026 Resets the Narrative 📉💼
The January 2026 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report didn't just update the charts—it forced a massive recalibration of the "economic slowdown" story. Labeled the #USNFPBlowout, this data drop has shifted expectations for the rest of the year.
📊 The Numbers at a Glance
Jobs Added: 130,000 (Crushing consensus estimates of 55K–70K).
Unemployment Rate: Held steady at 4.3% (Defying fears of a spike).
Wage Growth: Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% MoM and 3.7% YoY—steady, but not inflationary.
The "Workweek" Signal: Hours worked ticked up to 34.3, suggesting companies are maximizing their current staff rather than preparing for layoffs.
🔍 Why This "Blowout" Matters
1. The 2025 "Truth" Revealed 📉
The report included massive annual benchmark revisions. We now know that 2025 was far weaker than originally thought—job growth was slashed from 584K down to just 181K for the entire year.
The Twist: Because the economy already absorbed that "secret" weakness, January’s 130K gain feels like a powerful structural pivot.
2. Resilience in Key Sectors 🏥🏗️
Hiring wasn't just "noise." It was concentrated in essential, non-cyclical areas:
The Laggards: Federal government and Financial activities saw declines, creating a balanced, "needs-based" labor market.
3. The Fed's "Waiting Room" 🏛️
This report effectively killed the hope for aggressive, near-term rate cuts. With the labor market refusing to "roll over," the Federal Reserve now has the luxury of patience.
Market Move: Treasury yields rose and the USD strengthened as traders pushed "imminent easing" bets further into the second half of 2026.
💡 The Bottom Line
durability is enough to change the trajectory of every asset class from Gold to Bitcoin. The story isn't about a crash anymore—it's about cautious resilience.
#USNFPBlowout #Macro2026 #LaborMarket #FedWatch #InvestingStrategy #EconomicUpdate$BTC $XRP $BNB
The January 2026 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report didn't just update the charts—it forced a massive recalibration of the "economic slowdown" story. Labeled the #USNFPBlowout, this data drop has shifted expectations for the rest of the year.
📊 The Numbers at a Glance
Jobs Added: 130,000 (Crushing consensus estimates of 55K–70K).
Unemployment Rate: Held steady at 4.3% (Defying fears of a spike).
Wage Growth: Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% MoM and 3.7% YoY—steady, but not inflationary.
The "Workweek" Signal: Hours worked ticked up to 34.3, suggesting companies are maximizing their current staff rather than preparing for layoffs.
🔍 Why This "Blowout" Matters
1. The 2025 "Truth" Revealed 📉
The report included massive annual benchmark revisions. We now know that 2025 was far weaker than originally thought—job growth was slashed from 584K down to just 181K for the entire year.
The Twist: Because the economy already absorbed that "secret" weakness, January’s 130K gain feels like a powerful structural pivot.
2. Resilience in Key Sectors 🏥🏗️
Hiring wasn't just "noise." It was concentrated in essential, non-cyclical areas:
The Laggards: Federal government and Financial activities saw declines, creating a balanced, "needs-based" labor market.
3. The Fed's "Waiting Room" 🏛️
This report effectively killed the hope for aggressive, near-term rate cuts. With the labor market refusing to "roll over," the Federal Reserve now has the luxury of patience.
Market Move: Treasury yields rose and the USD strengthened as traders pushed "imminent easing" bets further into the second half of 2026.
💡 The Bottom Line
durability is enough to change the trajectory of every asset class from Gold to Bitcoin. The story isn't about a crash anymore—it's about cautious resilience.
#USNFPBlowout #Macro2026 #LaborMarket #FedWatch #InvestingStrategy #EconomicUpdate$BTC $XRP $BNB
🚨 LABOR MARKET SHOCK: Worst January Since 2009
The U.S. labor market has started 2026 with a massive setback. Employers announced 108,435 job cuts in January alone—the highest January total recorded since the Great Recession.
The Trend:
This surge in layoffs signals a deepening corporate contraction, far exceeding typical seasonal adjustments.
Recession indicators are flashing red.
#Economy #LaborMarket #Layoffs #Recession #JobCuts
The U.S. labor market has started 2026 with a massive setback. Employers announced 108,435 job cuts in January alone—the highest January total recorded since the Great Recession.
The Trend:
This surge in layoffs signals a deepening corporate contraction, far exceeding typical seasonal adjustments.
Recession indicators are flashing red.
#Economy #LaborMarket #Layoffs #Recession #JobCuts
📉 U.S. Labor Market Weakening ⚠️
Excluding healthcare, the U.S. labor market has declined for 24 straight months.
Beneath the surface, job growth is quietly slowing, signaling potential broader economic softness.
#LaborMarket #jobs #Economy #USDataImpact #MarketWatch
Excluding healthcare, the U.S. labor market has declined for 24 straight months.
Beneath the surface, job growth is quietly slowing, signaling potential broader economic softness.
#LaborMarket #jobs #Economy #USDataImpact #MarketWatch
Danny Tarin:
Really helpful content, well written
🇺🇸 Jobless Claims: The Labor Market’s "Slow-Motion" Cooling
The latest US Initial Jobless Claims just hit the tape, and while the "Actual" beat the "Expected," the real story is in the nuances.
Actual: 227k
Expected: 222k
On the surface, a 5k miss might look like a crack in the foundation, but let's zoom out. Here is what you actually need to know about the current state of the American workforce:
📉 The "Big Picture" Reality
Despite missing the mark, claims actually fell from the previous week's upwardly revised 232k. We aren't seeing a mass-layoff event; rather, we are seeing a "normalization" after a period of extreme tightness. $ESP
⏳ The "Sticky" Factor (Continuing Claims)
The more telling metric is Continuing Claims, which rose to 1.862 million. $LINEA
Translation: People aren't losing their jobs in record numbers, but those who do lose them are staying unemployed for longer. The "easy hire" era is officially in the rearview mirror.
⚖️ The Fed’s Tightrope Walk
For the Federal Reserve, this 227k print is almost perfect. It’s high enough to suggest that the labor market is losing its inflationary heat, but low enough to signal that the economy isn't sliding into a recession. $XPL
Don’t expect this data to trigger a massive pivot in interest rate policy. The labor market is cooling, but it’s doing so in slow motion.
#joblessclaims #LaborMarket #USRetailSalesMissForecast
The latest US Initial Jobless Claims just hit the tape, and while the "Actual" beat the "Expected," the real story is in the nuances.
Actual: 227k
Expected: 222k
On the surface, a 5k miss might look like a crack in the foundation, but let's zoom out. Here is what you actually need to know about the current state of the American workforce:
📉 The "Big Picture" Reality
Despite missing the mark, claims actually fell from the previous week's upwardly revised 232k. We aren't seeing a mass-layoff event; rather, we are seeing a "normalization" after a period of extreme tightness. $ESP
⏳ The "Sticky" Factor (Continuing Claims)
The more telling metric is Continuing Claims, which rose to 1.862 million. $LINEA
Translation: People aren't losing their jobs in record numbers, but those who do lose them are staying unemployed for longer. The "easy hire" era is officially in the rearview mirror.
⚖️ The Fed’s Tightrope Walk
For the Federal Reserve, this 227k print is almost perfect. It’s high enough to suggest that the labor market is losing its inflationary heat, but low enough to signal that the economy isn't sliding into a recession. $XPL
Don’t expect this data to trigger a massive pivot in interest rate policy. The labor market is cooling, but it’s doing so in slow motion.
#joblessclaims #LaborMarket #USRetailSalesMissForecast
📉LABOR MARKET ALERT: Hiring Stalls
Unemployed Americans are now taking longer to find new jobs than at any point in the past four years, per Financial Times.
The "Big Stay" is in full effect:▪️Hiring rates have slowed significantly.▪️Job turnover is plunging.▪️The average search duration is climbing.
The labor market isn't crashing—it's freezing. #Economy #JobsReport #Recession #LaborMarket #FinancialTimes
$BTC $ETH $XRP
Unemployed Americans are now taking longer to find new jobs than at any point in the past four years, per Financial Times.
The "Big Stay" is in full effect:▪️Hiring rates have slowed significantly.▪️Job turnover is plunging.▪️The average search duration is climbing.
The labor market isn't crashing—it's freezing. #Economy #JobsReport #Recession #LaborMarket #FinancialTimes
$BTC $ETH $XRP
US Annual Job Growth Revised Downward to Lowest Level Since 2003
Annual benchmark revisions from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) confirm that 2025 was the weakest year for American job growth outside of recessions since 2003.
Key details from the latest report include:
Total Job Gains: Initial estimates of 584,000 new jobs for 2025 were slashed by more than 400,000. The revised data shows the U.S. added just 181,000 jobs for the entire year.
Monthly Average: This equates to an average of roughly 15,000 jobs per month, a significant drop from the 168,000 average seen in 2024.
Sector Performance: Most gains were concentrated in healthcare and social assistance, while the federal government and financial activities experienced notable losses.
Unemployment Rate: Despite the stagnant hiring, the unemployment rate ended the year relatively low at 4.4% in December and ticked down further to 4.3% in January 2026 as the labor supply growth also slowed.
While 2025 was historically sluggish, the January 2026 jobs report offered a surprise rebound with 130,000 new jobs, nearly doubling economist expectations.
#USRetailSalesMissForecast
#JobsReportShock
#LaborMarket
#BLS
#EconomicNews
Annual benchmark revisions from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) confirm that 2025 was the weakest year for American job growth outside of recessions since 2003.
Key details from the latest report include:
Total Job Gains: Initial estimates of 584,000 new jobs for 2025 were slashed by more than 400,000. The revised data shows the U.S. added just 181,000 jobs for the entire year.
Monthly Average: This equates to an average of roughly 15,000 jobs per month, a significant drop from the 168,000 average seen in 2024.
Sector Performance: Most gains were concentrated in healthcare and social assistance, while the federal government and financial activities experienced notable losses.
Unemployment Rate: Despite the stagnant hiring, the unemployment rate ended the year relatively low at 4.4% in December and ticked down further to 4.3% in January 2026 as the labor supply growth also slowed.
While 2025 was historically sluggish, the January 2026 jobs report offered a surprise rebound with 130,000 new jobs, nearly doubling economist expectations.
#USRetailSalesMissForecast
#JobsReportShock
#LaborMarket
#BLS
#EconomicNews
🚨 THE U-TURN NO ONE SAW COMING: US Jobs Just Shattered the Narrative!
If you were betting on a weak economy today, the January jobs report just handed you a massive reality check. After months of "slowdown" talk and a pessimistic outlook from Kevin Hassett, the data just pulled a complete 180. $ZRO
The labor market isn't just "hanging in there"—it’s officially fighting back. Here is the breakdown of the shockwaves hitting Wall Street right now:
📈 The "January Jump" by the Numbers:
The Big Beat: The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January—the highest monthly gain since April 2025. $WCT
Private Sector Surge: Private companies added a massive 172,000 jobs, proving that the engine of the economy is still humming despite high rates.
The Rate Drop: Unemployment ticked down to 4.3% (beating the 4.4% expectation).
📉 The "Ghost" of 2025:
While today looks bright, the history books just got rewritten—and it’s grim. The 2025 payroll revision came in at -862,000. This is the largest downward correction since the 2009 Great Financial Crisis. It confirms what many felt last year: the economy was actually much weaker than the initial data suggested. $RESOLV
🛑 What This Means for Your Wallet:
March Rate Cuts? Likely Dead. The Fed was looking for an excuse to cut rates; this report just took it away. With hiring this strong, Jerome Powell has no reason to rush.
Higher for Longer: If you were waiting for mortgage or loan rates to tank in early Spring, you might be waiting until Summer or beyond.
The Federal Shrink: While the private sector is hiring, government payrolls are shrinking fast, reflecting a major shift in DC spending.
The Bottom Line: We just shifted from "recession watch" to "rebound reality" in the span of 24 hours. The 2025 "Hiring Recession" is in the rearview mirror, and the private sector is back in the driver's seat.
#JobsReport #LaborMarket #USTechFundFlows
If you were betting on a weak economy today, the January jobs report just handed you a massive reality check. After months of "slowdown" talk and a pessimistic outlook from Kevin Hassett, the data just pulled a complete 180. $ZRO
The labor market isn't just "hanging in there"—it’s officially fighting back. Here is the breakdown of the shockwaves hitting Wall Street right now:
📈 The "January Jump" by the Numbers:
The Big Beat: The US economy added 130,000 jobs in January—the highest monthly gain since April 2025. $WCT
Private Sector Surge: Private companies added a massive 172,000 jobs, proving that the engine of the economy is still humming despite high rates.
The Rate Drop: Unemployment ticked down to 4.3% (beating the 4.4% expectation).
📉 The "Ghost" of 2025:
While today looks bright, the history books just got rewritten—and it’s grim. The 2025 payroll revision came in at -862,000. This is the largest downward correction since the 2009 Great Financial Crisis. It confirms what many felt last year: the economy was actually much weaker than the initial data suggested. $RESOLV
🛑 What This Means for Your Wallet:
March Rate Cuts? Likely Dead. The Fed was looking for an excuse to cut rates; this report just took it away. With hiring this strong, Jerome Powell has no reason to rush.
Higher for Longer: If you were waiting for mortgage or loan rates to tank in early Spring, you might be waiting until Summer or beyond.
The Federal Shrink: While the private sector is hiring, government payrolls are shrinking fast, reflecting a major shift in DC spending.
The Bottom Line: We just shifted from "recession watch" to "rebound reality" in the span of 24 hours. The 2025 "Hiring Recession" is in the rearview mirror, and the private sector is back in the driver's seat.
#JobsReport #LaborMarket #USTechFundFlows
📊US Labor Market Report
The US labor market report (Nonfarm Payrolls, NFP) measures the net change in the number of employed people across the economy, including the private and public sectors. This means it also includes government employees, even those who were previously laid off during a government shutdown and later rehired.
However, this report can be misleading or inflated from an analytical perspective. The NFP counts all net changes in employment, not only genuinely new jobs created by economic growth. For example, if government workers were fired during a shutdown and then hired back, they are counted again as “new jobs” in the monthly statistics.
This signal is very bullish for crypto in the medium to long term.
In other words, the report does not distinguish between:
1. Real new job creation driven by economic expansion,
2. Temporary layoffs and rehires,
3. Job rotations, seasonal hiring, or contract work.
Because of this methodology, the headline number can appear stronger than the underlying economic reality. The labor market report often reflects statistical adjustments and employment normalization, rather than pure organic job growth.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The opinions expressed are personal and based on publicly available data. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#️⃣ Hashtags:
#JobsReport #LaborMarket #FederalReserve #Macroeconomic #NFP
However, this report can be misleading or inflated from an analytical perspective. The NFP counts all net changes in employment, not only genuinely new jobs created by economic growth. For example, if government workers were fired during a shutdown and then hired back, they are counted again as “new jobs” in the monthly statistics.
This signal is very bullish for crypto in the medium to long term.
In other words, the report does not distinguish between:
1. Real new job creation driven by economic expansion,
2. Temporary layoffs and rehires,
3. Job rotations, seasonal hiring, or contract work.
Because of this methodology, the headline number can appear stronger than the underlying economic reality. The labor market report often reflects statistical adjustments and employment normalization, rather than pure organic job growth.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. The opinions expressed are personal and based on publicly available data. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#️⃣ Hashtags:
#JobsReport #LaborMarket #FederalReserve #Macroeconomic #NFP
LABOR MARKET SHOCKER: US JOBS DATA HIDES DEEP WEAKNESS $DXYUS January jobs data shows misleading strength. Layoffs are down, but hiring is crushed by tariff fears and immigration curbs. The labor market is NOT as strong as it looks. Unemployment rate hides the real struggle. Wages are cooling. Finding work is harder. Graduates face grim prospects. Economic growth is NOT translating to real job opportunities. This rigidity is a major red flag.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USJobs #LaborMarket #Economy #FOMO 🚨
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USJobs #LaborMarket #Economy #FOMO 🚨
US LABOR MARKET SHOCKER: GROWTH HIDING WEAKNESS $USDC
Forget the headlines. Real wages are cooling. Finding a job is harder. Graduates face a brutal reality. The labor market is RIGID despite strong economic signals. Don't be fooled by the numbers. This is not the strength you think it is. The underlying pressure is immense. The data paints a misleading picture of resilience. The economy is showing cracks. This impacts everything. Act now.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USD #Economy #LaborMarket 📉
Forget the headlines. Real wages are cooling. Finding a job is harder. Graduates face a brutal reality. The labor market is RIGID despite strong economic signals. Don't be fooled by the numbers. This is not the strength you think it is. The underlying pressure is immense. The data paints a misleading picture of resilience. The economy is showing cracks. This impacts everything. Act now.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USD #Economy #LaborMarket 📉
US JOBS SHOCKER! LABOR MARKET CRASHING $BTC 📉
Revelio Labs estimate: 13,300 nonfarm payroll jobs lost in January. December revised DOWN to 34,400. This is a major warning. The labor market is weakening fast. Expect market shifts. Ignore the noise. Focus on the trend. This data confirms the slowdown.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USJobs #LaborMarket #Economy #Crypto 🚨
Revelio Labs estimate: 13,300 nonfarm payroll jobs lost in January. December revised DOWN to 34,400. This is a major warning. The labor market is weakening fast. Expect market shifts. Ignore the noise. Focus on the trend. This data confirms the slowdown.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#USJobs #LaborMarket #Economy #Crypto 🚨
Major Banks Diverge on U.S. Average Hourly Earnings Forecast for January
Ahead of the U.S. January labour report, major financial institutions have released divergent predictions for average hourly earnings, highlighting ongoing uncertainty in wage growth and inflation dynamics.
Economists widely expect year-over-year (YoY) earnings growth to be around 3.6%, slightly above the Federal Reserve’s preferred trend and consistent with consensus estimates. Many forecasters — including Scotiabank, Barclays, Capital Economics, and Dekabank — align around this 3.5–3.6% range, while banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Pantheon Macroeconomics, BNP Paribas, HSBC, Jefferies, TD Securities and UBS also project a modestly higher 3.7% YoY rise. This reflects expectations that wage pressures remain above historical norms, even as labour market momentum cools.
For the month-over-month (MoM) change, Reuters consensus and several institutions forecast a 0.3% increase, with Morgan Stanley and Scotiabank at 0.2% and Goldman Sachs slightly higher at 0.4% — underscoring differing views on short-term wage momentum.
Market Implication: Mixed wage forecasts could produce volatility in FX, equities and bond yields when the official jobs report releases, as traders gauge inflation pressures and Fed rate expectations ahead of data.
#USEarnings #LaborMarket
Ahead of the U.S. January labour report, major financial institutions have released divergent predictions for average hourly earnings, highlighting ongoing uncertainty in wage growth and inflation dynamics.
Economists widely expect year-over-year (YoY) earnings growth to be around 3.6%, slightly above the Federal Reserve’s preferred trend and consistent with consensus estimates. Many forecasters — including Scotiabank, Barclays, Capital Economics, and Dekabank — align around this 3.5–3.6% range, while banks such as JPMorgan Chase, Pantheon Macroeconomics, BNP Paribas, HSBC, Jefferies, TD Securities and UBS also project a modestly higher 3.7% YoY rise. This reflects expectations that wage pressures remain above historical norms, even as labour market momentum cools.
For the month-over-month (MoM) change, Reuters consensus and several institutions forecast a 0.3% increase, with Morgan Stanley and Scotiabank at 0.2% and Goldman Sachs slightly higher at 0.4% — underscoring differing views on short-term wage momentum.
Market Implication: Mixed wage forecasts could produce volatility in FX, equities and bond yields when the official jobs report releases, as traders gauge inflation pressures and Fed rate expectations ahead of data.
#USEarnings #LaborMarket
US LABOR MARKET IS FLASHING MAJOR RECESSION SIGNALS.
Labor demand is now weaker than levels seen during the 2001 recession.
US job openings just dropped to 6.5 million, falling 386,000 in December alone, the lowest level since September 2020 while over the last 2 months, openings have collapsed by 907,000.
From the March 2022 peak, job openings are now down 5.6 million, showing how fast labor demand has cooled.
Openings are now sitting below pre pandemic levels seen in 2018–2019.
This is not a good labor market anymore. It is weakening quickly. The vacancy to unemployed ratio has fallen to 0.87. That means there are fewer than 1 job available per unemployed worker.
This ratio is now:
• Below the pre pandemic high of 1.24
• Near 2021 stress levels
• Even weaker than readings seen during the 2001 recession
Challenger layoff data confirms the same trend. US employers announced 108,435 job cuts in January.
That is:
• +118% higher YOY
• +205% higher MOM
• The highest January layoff total since 2009 recession
Layoffs are no longer concentrated in one sector. They are spreading. Transportation led cuts with over 31,000 layoffs. Technology followed with 22,000.
Healthcare announced 17,000, one of the most concerning signals since healthcare was the last strong hiring pillar.
Even more worrying is that companies are not planning to replace these jobs. Hiring plans announced in January were just 5,306, the lowest January hiring total on record going back to 2009 tracking.
So companies are doing two things at once: Cutting more jobs, Planning fewer hires.
JOLTS data shows hiring rates are flat. Quit rates are stuck near 2.0%, meaning workers are not confident enough to leave jobs voluntarily. When quits fall while openings fall, it shows workers are defensive and firms are cautious.
This creates a frozen labor market. Low hiring. Low mobility. Rising layoff risk.
Putting all the data together:
• Job openings → falling sharply
• Vacancy ratio → below recession thresholds
• Layoffs → surging to post-GFC levels
• Hiring plans → record lows
• Quit rates → weak
The labor market has moved from cooling → contracting.
If this trend continues, it increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease faster.
But historically, the first phase of labor deterioration is risk off for markets. Only later does liquidity support arrive. For now, the signal is simple:
US labor market weakness is accelerating and recession risks are rising.
This article is my personal research and opinion, if you want to take some action try to do your own research.
#bullishleo #LaborMarket
US job openings just dropped to 6.5 million, falling 386,000 in December alone, the lowest level since September 2020 while over the last 2 months, openings have collapsed by 907,000.
From the March 2022 peak, job openings are now down 5.6 million, showing how fast labor demand has cooled.
Openings are now sitting below pre pandemic levels seen in 2018–2019.
This is not a good labor market anymore. It is weakening quickly. The vacancy to unemployed ratio has fallen to 0.87. That means there are fewer than 1 job available per unemployed worker.
This ratio is now:
• Below the pre pandemic high of 1.24
• Near 2021 stress levels
• Even weaker than readings seen during the 2001 recession
Challenger layoff data confirms the same trend. US employers announced 108,435 job cuts in January.
That is:
• +118% higher YOY
• +205% higher MOM
• The highest January layoff total since 2009 recession
Layoffs are no longer concentrated in one sector. They are spreading. Transportation led cuts with over 31,000 layoffs. Technology followed with 22,000.
Healthcare announced 17,000, one of the most concerning signals since healthcare was the last strong hiring pillar.
Even more worrying is that companies are not planning to replace these jobs. Hiring plans announced in January were just 5,306, the lowest January hiring total on record going back to 2009 tracking.
So companies are doing two things at once: Cutting more jobs, Planning fewer hires.
JOLTS data shows hiring rates are flat. Quit rates are stuck near 2.0%, meaning workers are not confident enough to leave jobs voluntarily. When quits fall while openings fall, it shows workers are defensive and firms are cautious.
This creates a frozen labor market. Low hiring. Low mobility. Rising layoff risk.
Putting all the data together:
• Job openings → falling sharply
• Vacancy ratio → below recession thresholds
• Layoffs → surging to post-GFC levels
• Hiring plans → record lows
• Quit rates → weak
The labor market has moved from cooling → contracting.
If this trend continues, it increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease faster.
But historically, the first phase of labor deterioration is risk off for markets. Only later does liquidity support arrive. For now, the signal is simple:
US labor market weakness is accelerating and recession risks are rising.
This article is my personal research and opinion, if you want to take some action try to do your own research.
#bullishleo #LaborMarket
The #crypto market has seen approximately $570 billion in market value erased, with the total market capitalization down around 19%, reflecting broad-based #riskoff sentiment.
The number of planned U.S. layoffs in January surged to the highest January level in 17 years, signaling mounting pressure in the #labormarket amid economic uncertainty.
Crypto firm Penguin Securities completed a $18 million financing round, highlighting continued #funding activity despite the recent market downturn.
#Bitcoin fell below the $70,000 level for the first time since Nov 6, 2024, marking a key technical break amid heightened #volatility.
$BTC
$USDC
The number of planned U.S. layoffs in January surged to the highest January level in 17 years, signaling mounting pressure in the #labormarket amid economic uncertainty.
Crypto firm Penguin Securities completed a $18 million financing round, highlighting continued #funding activity despite the recent market downturn.
#Bitcoin fell below the $70,000 level for the first time since Nov 6, 2024, marking a key technical break amid heightened #volatility.
$BTC
$USDC
GN🌙 CoinRank Evening Headlines!
The #crypto market has seen approximately $570 billion in market value erased, with the total market capitalization down around 19%, reflecting broad-based #riskoff sentiment.
The number of planned U.S. layoffs in January surged to the highest January level in 17 years, signaling mounting pressure in the #labormarket amid economic uncertainty.
Crypto firm Penguin Securities completed a $18 million financing round, highlighting continued funding activity despite the recent market downturn.
#Bitcoin fell below the $70,000 level for the first time since Nov 6, 2024, marking a key technical break amid heightened #volatility.
#CoinRank
The #crypto market has seen approximately $570 billion in market value erased, with the total market capitalization down around 19%, reflecting broad-based #riskoff sentiment.
The number of planned U.S. layoffs in January surged to the highest January level in 17 years, signaling mounting pressure in the #labormarket amid economic uncertainty.
Crypto firm Penguin Securities completed a $18 million financing round, highlighting continued funding activity despite the recent market downturn.
#Bitcoin fell below the $70,000 level for the first time since Nov 6, 2024, marking a key technical break amid heightened #volatility.
#CoinRank
Labor Day Sparks Crypto Market Reflection :
As Labor Day brings a moment of pause, the cryptocurrency market takes a breath, reflecting on recent trends and future prospects.
The holiday period often sees reduced trading volumes, leading to increased market volatility.
Investors are advised to stay informed and cautious, as market fluctuations can be unpredictable.
Despite the calm, the crypto space continues to evolve, driven by technological advancements and growing adoption.
As the market moves forward, understanding the dynamics of crypto and its potential will be crucial for investors and enthusiasts alike.
The post-Labor Day market may bring new opportunities and challenges, shaping the future of digital assets.
$BNB $ETH $SOL
#StablecoinPayments #BinanceAlphaAlert #AltcoinETFsPostponed #AirdropSafetyGuide #LaborMarket
The holiday period often sees reduced trading volumes, leading to increased market volatility.
Investors are advised to stay informed and cautious, as market fluctuations can be unpredictable.
Despite the calm, the crypto space continues to evolve, driven by technological advancements and growing adoption.
As the market moves forward, understanding the dynamics of crypto and its potential will be crucial for investors and enthusiasts alike.
The post-Labor Day market may bring new opportunities and challenges, shaping the future of digital assets.
$BNB $ETH $SOL
#StablecoinPayments #BinanceAlphaAlert #AltcoinETFsPostponed #AirdropSafetyGuide #LaborMarket
US Jobless Claims Drop: A Positive Signal for the Economy
The U.S. labor market continues to demonstrate resilience as jobless claims decline, marking a promising turn in the nation’s economic narrative. In December 2024, the Department of Labor reported a sharp drop in weekly jobless claims to 200,000—a figure that beats expectations and suggests robust employment trends heading into the new year.
Key Figures and Trends
Recent Decline in Claims:Initial jobless claims fell by 15,000 compared to the previous week, marking the lowest level in three months.The four-week moving average, a more stable measure, also declined by 10,000, reaching 210,000.Continuing Claims:Continuing claims, which represent individuals still receiving unemployment benefits, dropped to 1.6 million, the lowest since mid-2023.Sector Analysis:Technology Sector: Despite high-profile layoffs at some tech giants earlier in the year, hiring in AI, cybersecurity, and software development has offset job losses.Healthcare and Construction: These sectors continue to drive employment growth, accounting for a combined 70,000 new jobs in the last quarter of 2024.
Economic Context
GDP Growth Alignment:The drop in jobless claims aligns with the 3.2% GDP growth reported for Q4 2024, signaling a broader economic recovery.Consumer spending remains robust, supported by lower inflation and rising wages.Inflation Impact:Inflation has cooled to 3.1%, down from its peak of 9.1% in 2022, allowing businesses to stabilize and expand hiring efforts.Federal Reserve Policy:The Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate hikes has supported businesses by maintaining borrowing costs at manageable levels.
Regional Insights
Northeast and Midwest:States like New York and Michigan have seen significant declines in jobless claims due to growth in manufacturing and logistics.Sunbelt States:Texas and Florida lead in job creation, particularly in energy, hospitality, and healthcare.
Challenges to Monitor
Labor Force Participation:While unemployment remains low at 3.5%, labor force participation rates have yet to return to pre-pandemic levels, particularly among older workers.Potential Layoffs:Some economists warn of potential layoffs in retail and seasonal employment as the holiday season winds down.Economic Uncertainty:Global factors, including geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, could pose risks to continued job market strength.
Expert Opinions
Optimistic Outlook:"The steady drop in jobless claims is a testament to the U.S. economy’s resilience and adaptability," said Sarah Jennings, an economist at MarketWatch.Cautious Notes:"We must remain vigilant, as labor market metrics can lag behind other economic indicators," cautioned John Miller, a labor economist at the University of Chicago.
Closing Thoughts
The decline in U.S. jobless claims is a positive indicator for the economy, reflecting robust hiring, reduced layoffs, and an overall healthy labor market. However, policymakers and businesses must address lingering challenges to ensure sustained growth in 2025 and beyond. As the U.S. labor market continues to evolve, its performance will remain a critical barometer of economic health.
#USJoblessClaimsDip #economy #LaborMarket #UnemploymentRate #USjobs
Key Figures and Trends
Recent Decline in Claims:Initial jobless claims fell by 15,000 compared to the previous week, marking the lowest level in three months.The four-week moving average, a more stable measure, also declined by 10,000, reaching 210,000.Continuing Claims:Continuing claims, which represent individuals still receiving unemployment benefits, dropped to 1.6 million, the lowest since mid-2023.Sector Analysis:Technology Sector: Despite high-profile layoffs at some tech giants earlier in the year, hiring in AI, cybersecurity, and software development has offset job losses.Healthcare and Construction: These sectors continue to drive employment growth, accounting for a combined 70,000 new jobs in the last quarter of 2024.
Economic Context
GDP Growth Alignment:The drop in jobless claims aligns with the 3.2% GDP growth reported for Q4 2024, signaling a broader economic recovery.Consumer spending remains robust, supported by lower inflation and rising wages.Inflation Impact:Inflation has cooled to 3.1%, down from its peak of 9.1% in 2022, allowing businesses to stabilize and expand hiring efforts.Federal Reserve Policy:The Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to interest rate hikes has supported businesses by maintaining borrowing costs at manageable levels.
Regional Insights
Northeast and Midwest:States like New York and Michigan have seen significant declines in jobless claims due to growth in manufacturing and logistics.Sunbelt States:Texas and Florida lead in job creation, particularly in energy, hospitality, and healthcare.
Challenges to Monitor
Labor Force Participation:While unemployment remains low at 3.5%, labor force participation rates have yet to return to pre-pandemic levels, particularly among older workers.Potential Layoffs:Some economists warn of potential layoffs in retail and seasonal employment as the holiday season winds down.Economic Uncertainty:Global factors, including geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, could pose risks to continued job market strength.
Expert Opinions
Optimistic Outlook:"The steady drop in jobless claims is a testament to the U.S. economy’s resilience and adaptability," said Sarah Jennings, an economist at MarketWatch.Cautious Notes:"We must remain vigilant, as labor market metrics can lag behind other economic indicators," cautioned John Miller, a labor economist at the University of Chicago.
Closing Thoughts
The decline in U.S. jobless claims is a positive indicator for the economy, reflecting robust hiring, reduced layoffs, and an overall healthy labor market. However, policymakers and businesses must address lingering challenges to ensure sustained growth in 2025 and beyond. As the U.S. labor market continues to evolve, its performance will remain a critical barometer of economic health.
#USJoblessClaimsDip #economy #LaborMarket #UnemploymentRate #USjobs
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