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🚨 BREAKING: Fed's January Rate Decision Probabilities Come Into Focus ...... ...

Market-based indicators have revealed updated probabilities for the Federal Reserve's January interest rate decision, offering clearer insight into investor expectations. Current pricing suggests the Fed is more likely to hold rates steady, while a smaller but notable probability remains for a potential rate cut, depending on incoming inflation and labor market data.

Analysts say the probabilities reflect a balance between cooling inflation trends and lingering economic resilience, keeping policymakers cautious. Markets remain highly sensitive to upcoming data releases and Fed commentary, which could quickly shift expectations ahead of the January meeting.

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The FED kept interest rates unchanged and signaled that it may cut them 2 times from now until the end of 2025, but reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2026 and 2027 to a total of only 4 cuts, equivalent to 1%.
The 'dot plot' chart shows a significant divide among officials, with interest rate expectations in 2027 hovering around 3.4%.
Notably, 7 out of 19 members do not expect any cuts in 2024, an increase from 4 members in March.
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