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🚨 BREAKING: DeFi just leveled up.
Grayscale Investments files S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for an AAVE ETF.
If this gets approved, $AAVE isn’t just a token anymore — it’s Wall Street product.
Institutional money into DeFi?
This could move FAST.
👀 Don’t watch the narrative. Front-run it.
#AAVE #defi #etf #BinanceSquare
Grayscale Investments files S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for an AAVE ETF.
If this gets approved, $AAVE isn’t just a token anymore — it’s Wall Street product.
Institutional money into DeFi?
This could move FAST.
👀 Don’t watch the narrative. Front-run it.
#AAVE #defi #etf #BinanceSquare
Truth Social, the company associated with President Donald Trump, has filed an application for a spot ETF that would hold $BTC , $ETH , and what's being described as a "surprise altcoin" that hasn't been publicly named yet.
On a pure regulatory level, this is straightforward—it's an ETF filing like any other, subject to SEC review, approval or denial, and all the usual disclosures. But the context makes it anything but ordinary.
You have a sitting U.S. president's company entering the crypto ETF market while regulatory frameworks are still being debated and shaped. That creates obvious questions about conflicts of interest, influence, and whether approval processes will be scrutinized differently because of who's involved.
The "surprise altcoin" element adds another layer—if it's something obscure or recently launched, that raises eyebrows. If it's an established asset, it's less controversial but still significant. What's clear is that executive-level entities are now openly positioning in crypto products, and that shift in visibility matters regardless of whether this particular ETF gets approved.
#bitcoin #Ethereum #crypto #etf #TruthSocial
On a pure regulatory level, this is straightforward—it's an ETF filing like any other, subject to SEC review, approval or denial, and all the usual disclosures. But the context makes it anything but ordinary.
You have a sitting U.S. president's company entering the crypto ETF market while regulatory frameworks are still being debated and shaped. That creates obvious questions about conflicts of interest, influence, and whether approval processes will be scrutinized differently because of who's involved.
The "surprise altcoin" element adds another layer—if it's something obscure or recently launched, that raises eyebrows. If it's an established asset, it's less controversial but still significant. What's clear is that executive-level entities are now openly positioning in crypto products, and that shift in visibility matters regardless of whether this particular ETF gets approved.
#bitcoin #Ethereum #crypto #etf #TruthSocial
Bitcoin ETFs bleed $410M as Standard Chartered slashes BTC target
US spot Bitcoin ETFs are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses as Standard Chartered cut its 2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000.
US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw heightened selling on Thursday, with outflows accelerating the same day Standard Chartered lowered its 2026 Bitcoin forecast.
Spot $BTC ETFs recorded $410.4 million in outflows, extending weekly losses to $375.1 million, according to SoSoValue data.
Unless Friday brings substantial inflows, the funds are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses, with assets under management (AUM) nearing $80 billion, down from a peak of almost $170 billion in October 2025
The selling coincided with Standard Chartered lowering its 2026 Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000, warning that prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering.
“We expect further price capitulation over the next few months,” the bank said in a Thursday report, forecasting Bitcoin to drop to $50,000 and $ETH to $1,400.
“Once those lows are reached, we expect a price recovery for the remainder of the year,” Standard Chartered added, projecting year-end prices for BTC and ETH at $100,000 and $4,000, respectively.
Solana ETFs the only winners amid heavy crypto ETF outflows
Negative sentiment persisted across all 11 Bitcoin ETF products, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund suffering the largest outflows of $157.6 million and $104.1 million, respectively, according to Farside.
Ether ETFs faced similar pressure, with $113.1 million in daily outflows dragging weekly outflows to $171.4 million, marking a potential fourth consecutive week of losses. $XRP ETFs saw their first outflows of $6.4 million since Feb. 3, while Solana ETFs bucked the trend, recording a minor $2.7 million in inflows.
Extreme bear phase not yet here as analysts expect $55,000 bottom
Standard Chartered’s latest Bitcoin forecast follows previous analyst forecasts that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000 before testing a recovery.
Crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant reiterated that realized price support remains at around $55,000 and has not yet been tested.
“Bitcoin’s ultimate bear market bottom is around $55,000 today,” CryptoQuant said in a weekly update shared with Cointelegraph.
“Market cycle indicators remain in the bear phase, not extreme bear phase,” CryptoQuant noted, adding: “Our Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has not entered the Extreme Bear regime that historically marks the start of bottoming processes, which typically persist for several months.”
Bitcoin hovered around $66,000 on Thursday, briefly dipping to $65,250, according to CoinGecko data.
Despite ongoing selling pressure, long-term holder (LTH) behavior does not indicate capitulation, with holders currently selling around breakeven. “Historical bear market bottoms formed when LTHs endured 30–40% losses, indicating further downside may be required for a full reset,” CryptoQuant added.
This article is my own research and a opinion, it doesn't mean that it is right. So it would be better if you do your own research before doing any trade.
#BTC #etf #bullishleo
US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw heightened selling on Thursday, with outflows accelerating the same day Standard Chartered lowered its 2026 Bitcoin forecast.
Spot $BTC ETFs recorded $410.4 million in outflows, extending weekly losses to $375.1 million, according to SoSoValue data.
Unless Friday brings substantial inflows, the funds are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses, with assets under management (AUM) nearing $80 billion, down from a peak of almost $170 billion in October 2025
The selling coincided with Standard Chartered lowering its 2026 Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000, warning that prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering.
“We expect further price capitulation over the next few months,” the bank said in a Thursday report, forecasting Bitcoin to drop to $50,000 and $ETH to $1,400.
“Once those lows are reached, we expect a price recovery for the remainder of the year,” Standard Chartered added, projecting year-end prices for BTC and ETH at $100,000 and $4,000, respectively.
Solana ETFs the only winners amid heavy crypto ETF outflows
Negative sentiment persisted across all 11 Bitcoin ETF products, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund suffering the largest outflows of $157.6 million and $104.1 million, respectively, according to Farside.
Ether ETFs faced similar pressure, with $113.1 million in daily outflows dragging weekly outflows to $171.4 million, marking a potential fourth consecutive week of losses. $XRP ETFs saw their first outflows of $6.4 million since Feb. 3, while Solana ETFs bucked the trend, recording a minor $2.7 million in inflows.
Extreme bear phase not yet here as analysts expect $55,000 bottom
Standard Chartered’s latest Bitcoin forecast follows previous analyst forecasts that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000 before testing a recovery.
Crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant reiterated that realized price support remains at around $55,000 and has not yet been tested.
“Bitcoin’s ultimate bear market bottom is around $55,000 today,” CryptoQuant said in a weekly update shared with Cointelegraph.
“Market cycle indicators remain in the bear phase, not extreme bear phase,” CryptoQuant noted, adding: “Our Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has not entered the Extreme Bear regime that historically marks the start of bottoming processes, which typically persist for several months.”
Bitcoin hovered around $66,000 on Thursday, briefly dipping to $65,250, according to CoinGecko data.
Despite ongoing selling pressure, long-term holder (LTH) behavior does not indicate capitulation, with holders currently selling around breakeven. “Historical bear market bottoms formed when LTHs endured 30–40% losses, indicating further downside may be required for a full reset,” CryptoQuant added.
This article is my own research and a opinion, it doesn't mean that it is right. So it would be better if you do your own research before doing any trade.
#BTC #etf #bullishleo
U.S. President Donald Trump’s social media platform Truth Social has reportedly filed for a Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, marking a notable development in the evolution of digital asset investment products.
The proposed ETF aims to provide investors with exposure to Bitcoin and Ethereum — the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Rather than directly holding digital assets, investors would gain exposure through a regulated financial instrument traded on traditional markets.
ETFs are widely used investment vehicles because they offer accessibility, liquidity, and regulatory oversight. If approved, this product could serve as a bridge between traditional finance and the cryptocurrency ecosystem, potentially attracting both retail and institutional capital.
The SEC’s review will be closely monitored across the financial industry. Historically, the regulator has taken a cautious approach toward crypto-related ETFs, emphasizing concerns such as market volatility, manipulation risks, and investor protection standards.
Truth Social’s filing reflects the broader institutional shift toward digital assets as mainstream investment opportunities. The final regulatory decision could influence the trajectory of future crypto-linked financial products.
#BTC #ETH #SEC #etf $BTC $ETH $TRUMP #TRUMP
The proposed ETF aims to provide investors with exposure to Bitcoin and Ethereum — the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Rather than directly holding digital assets, investors would gain exposure through a regulated financial instrument traded on traditional markets.
ETFs are widely used investment vehicles because they offer accessibility, liquidity, and regulatory oversight. If approved, this product could serve as a bridge between traditional finance and the cryptocurrency ecosystem, potentially attracting both retail and institutional capital.
The SEC’s review will be closely monitored across the financial industry. Historically, the regulator has taken a cautious approach toward crypto-related ETFs, emphasizing concerns such as market volatility, manipulation risks, and investor protection standards.
Truth Social’s filing reflects the broader institutional shift toward digital assets as mainstream investment opportunities. The final regulatory decision could influence the trajectory of future crypto-linked financial products.
#BTC #ETH #SEC #etf $BTC $ETH $TRUMP #TRUMP
Trump Media Persists: Launches Two New Crypto ETFs After SEC Block
📅 February 13 - United States | Far from backing down after regulatory delays, Trump Media and Technology Group (TMTG) is back with two new crypto ETF offerings, reaffirming its commitment to integrating digital assets into the financial ecosystem linked to the Truth Social brand.
📖Both funds, if approved, will offer exposure to staking rewards, a component that still faces increased regulatory scrutiny in the US. The appointed advisor is Yorkville America Equities, while Crypto.com will provide custody, liquidity, and staking services.
Purchases will be channeled through their broker-dealer, Foris Capital US LLC, and each ETF would have a management fee of 0.95%.
The relationship between TMTG and Crypto.com has deepened in recent months. In addition to these ETFs, they collaborate on a prediction market, a CRO treasury, and support for Trump Media's bitcoin reserve.
There is even anticipation of a future non-equity reward token for DJT shareholders, which could operate on the Cronos blockchain.
This is not the first attempt. Last June, TMTG filed its registration for a spot bitcoin ETF, and subsequently announced a range of products under the concept of “American Exceptionalism”, including a “Crypto Blue Chip” ETF with assets such as BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and CRO.
However, in August, the SEC delayed decisions on several proposals, including those from Truth Social. Although the regulator has expedited some processes, ETFs that include staking or lower-cap altcoins remain more difficult to approve.
Topic Opinion:
TMTG is not only seeking financial exposure but also aiming to position its brand within the new digital investment system. However, its success will depend less on marketing and more on regulatory approval and institutional trust.
💬 Do you think the SEC will approve these new ETFs with staking?
Leave your comment...
#TrumpMedia #etf #bitcoin #SEC #CryptoNews $BTC $ETH $SOL
📖Both funds, if approved, will offer exposure to staking rewards, a component that still faces increased regulatory scrutiny in the US. The appointed advisor is Yorkville America Equities, while Crypto.com will provide custody, liquidity, and staking services.
Purchases will be channeled through their broker-dealer, Foris Capital US LLC, and each ETF would have a management fee of 0.95%.
The relationship between TMTG and Crypto.com has deepened in recent months. In addition to these ETFs, they collaborate on a prediction market, a CRO treasury, and support for Trump Media's bitcoin reserve.
There is even anticipation of a future non-equity reward token for DJT shareholders, which could operate on the Cronos blockchain.
This is not the first attempt. Last June, TMTG filed its registration for a spot bitcoin ETF, and subsequently announced a range of products under the concept of “American Exceptionalism”, including a “Crypto Blue Chip” ETF with assets such as BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP and CRO.
However, in August, the SEC delayed decisions on several proposals, including those from Truth Social. Although the regulator has expedited some processes, ETFs that include staking or lower-cap altcoins remain more difficult to approve.
Topic Opinion:
TMTG is not only seeking financial exposure but also aiming to position its brand within the new digital investment system. However, its success will depend less on marketing and more on regulatory approval and institutional trust.
💬 Do you think the SEC will approve these new ETFs with staking?
Leave your comment...
#TrumpMedia #etf #bitcoin #SEC #CryptoNews $BTC $ETH $SOL
🚨 WALL STREET BETS BIG ON XRP — IS THIS THE ETF TIPPING POINT? 🚀💰
When a banking giant moves, markets listen. 👀
Treasury company Evernorth just revealed something 🔥
💰 $152 MILLION in XRP ETFs held by Goldman Sachs represents nearly 14% of total net XRP ETF inflows last year.
That’s not retail hype.
That’s institutional conviction. 🏦
According to disclosures, Goldman Sachs held $152M in U.S. spot XRP ETFs as of Q4 2025 — distributed as follows:
📌 Bitwise XRP ETF — $39.8M
📌 Franklin XRP Trust — $38.5M
📌 Grayscale XRP Trust — $38.0M
📌 21Shares XRP ETF — $35.9M
💵 Total cumulative ETF inflows?
➡️ $1.23 BILLION (SoSoValue, Feb 11)
This means one Wall Street titan accounts for ~14% of net inflows.
👉 The ETF vehicle is working.
👉 Institutions are choosing regulated exposure.
👉 Direct token custody isn’t required.
Meanwhile…
🚀 Binance integrated RLUSD on the XRP Ledger
🎤 At XRP Community Day, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse called XRP the company’s “North Star”
💼 President Monica Long reinforced XRP at the center of payments, treasury & liquidity strategy
🏛️ XRPL Foundation appointed Brett Mollin as Executive Director
With DEX + lending features coming in 2026, the ecosystem is expanding fast.
📊 Institutional inflows
🏦 Regulated ETF structure
🌍 Expanding network utility
🔥The real question is:
Is this the beginning of sustained Wall Street allocation into XRP…
or just the first domino?
What do you think — accumulation phase or peak narrative? 👇
#etf
$XRP
$RLUSD
When a banking giant moves, markets listen. 👀
Treasury company Evernorth just revealed something 🔥
💰 $152 MILLION in XRP ETFs held by Goldman Sachs represents nearly 14% of total net XRP ETF inflows last year.
That’s not retail hype.
That’s institutional conviction. 🏦
According to disclosures, Goldman Sachs held $152M in U.S. spot XRP ETFs as of Q4 2025 — distributed as follows:
📌 Bitwise XRP ETF — $39.8M
📌 Franklin XRP Trust — $38.5M
📌 Grayscale XRP Trust — $38.0M
📌 21Shares XRP ETF — $35.9M
💵 Total cumulative ETF inflows?
➡️ $1.23 BILLION (SoSoValue, Feb 11)
This means one Wall Street titan accounts for ~14% of net inflows.
👉 The ETF vehicle is working.
👉 Institutions are choosing regulated exposure.
👉 Direct token custody isn’t required.
Meanwhile…
🚀 Binance integrated RLUSD on the XRP Ledger
🎤 At XRP Community Day, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse called XRP the company’s “North Star”
💼 President Monica Long reinforced XRP at the center of payments, treasury & liquidity strategy
🏛️ XRPL Foundation appointed Brett Mollin as Executive Director
With DEX + lending features coming in 2026, the ecosystem is expanding fast.
📊 Institutional inflows
🏦 Regulated ETF structure
🌍 Expanding network utility
🔥The real question is:
Is this the beginning of sustained Wall Street allocation into XRP…
or just the first domino?
What do you think — accumulation phase or peak narrative? 👇
#etf
$XRP
$RLUSD
🚀 ETHEREUM: THE COILED SPRING READY TO SNAP? 💎
Nearly 30% of the total ETH supply is now staked, and the entry queue for new validators has hit a staggering 71 days.
Over 4 million ETH are waiting in line just to join the network. With ETFs locking up even more, a massive "Supply Shock" is in the making.
🚀 "Is ETH hitting a new All-Time High this month? Vote with a '🔥' for YES or '❄️' for NO!"
#ETH #etf #Write2Earn
Nearly 30% of the total ETH supply is now staked, and the entry queue for new validators has hit a staggering 71 days.
Over 4 million ETH are waiting in line just to join the network. With ETFs locking up even more, a massive "Supply Shock" is in the making.
🚀 "Is ETH hitting a new All-Time High this month? Vote with a '🔥' for YES or '❄️' for NO!"
#ETH #etf #Write2Earn
🚨 ETF Flow Update – Feb 12 🚨
🔴 Bitcoin ETFs: -$252.6M (1D) | -$135.1M (7D)
🔴 Ethereum ETFs: -$54.8M (1D) | -$127.3M (7D)
🟢 Solana ETFs: +$140K (1D) | -$4.36M (7D)
📉 Institutions trimming $BTC & $ETH exposure.
🔄 Small rotation into SOL, but weekly trend still cautious.
Volatility building. Smart money positioning early. 👀
#bitcoin #Ethereum #solana #crypto #etf
🔴 Bitcoin ETFs: -$252.6M (1D) | -$135.1M (7D)
🔴 Ethereum ETFs: -$54.8M (1D) | -$127.3M (7D)
🟢 Solana ETFs: +$140K (1D) | -$4.36M (7D)
📉 Institutions trimming $BTC & $ETH exposure.
🔄 Small rotation into SOL, but weekly trend still cautious.
Volatility building. Smart money positioning early. 👀
#bitcoin #Ethereum #solana #crypto #etf
❗ Goldman Sachs holds $2.4 billion in crypto ETFs: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP
Goldman Sachs is one of the world's largest investment banks, ranked among the top 5 banks in the US. Assets under management: $3.2 trillion.
According to the latest Form 13F (mandatory reporting for large institutional investors in the US):
• Bitcoin ETF — $1.1 billion
• Ethereum ETF — $1 billion
• XRP ETF — $153 million
• Solana ETF — $108 million
Total: $2.36 billion in crypto ETFs.
When one of the largest banks on the planet publicly holds $2.4 billion in crypto, it's no longer an experiment, but part of a portfolio strategy.
#news #etf
Goldman Sachs is one of the world's largest investment banks, ranked among the top 5 banks in the US. Assets under management: $3.2 trillion.
According to the latest Form 13F (mandatory reporting for large institutional investors in the US):
• Bitcoin ETF — $1.1 billion
• Ethereum ETF — $1 billion
• XRP ETF — $153 million
• Solana ETF — $108 million
Total: $2.36 billion in crypto ETFs.
When one of the largest banks on the planet publicly holds $2.4 billion in crypto, it's no longer an experiment, but part of a portfolio strategy.
#news #etf
AAVE ETF FILED! SEC APPROVAL IMMINENT?
Grayscale just dropped the bomb. They're turning their $AAVE Trust into an ETF. NYSE Arca listing incoming. This is massive. The market is about to explode. Get ready for insane pumps. Don't miss this opportunity.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#AAVE #ETF #CryptoNews #FOMO 🚀
Grayscale just dropped the bomb. They're turning their $AAVE Trust into an ETF. NYSE Arca listing incoming. This is massive. The market is about to explode. Get ready for insane pumps. Don't miss this opportunity.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#AAVE #ETF #CryptoNews #FOMO 🚀
Dorsey Ratkowski Z8S1:
Fake
BLACKROCK'S $TAO SHOCKER!
Entry: 58000 🟩
Target 1: 60000 🎯
Target 2: 62000 🎯
Stop Loss: 57000 🛑
$TAO is bleeding. BlackRock's IBIT saw massive outflows. Investors are cashing out. This is your warning. Don't get caught on the wrong side. The market is turning. Act now or regret it. Massive profit potential for those who are quick.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#CryptoTrading #FOMO #Bitcoin #ETF 🚀
Entry: 58000 🟩
Target 1: 60000 🎯
Target 2: 62000 🎯
Stop Loss: 57000 🛑
$TAO is bleeding. BlackRock's IBIT saw massive outflows. Investors are cashing out. This is your warning. Don't get caught on the wrong side. The market is turning. Act now or regret it. Massive profit potential for those who are quick.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
#CryptoTrading #FOMO #Bitcoin #ETF 🚀
🚀 Bold Prediction: How High Can Bitcoin Go in the Next Bull Run?
$BTC isn’t just moving… it’s following a pattern. And history gives us clues.
According to previous cycles, Bitcoin’s peak typically comes 12–18 months after the halving. If that rhythm holds, the next explosive phase could still be loading. ⚡
Let’s break down the scenarios:
🎯 Base Target: $180,000 – $220,000
The theory of diminishing returns suggests each cycle’s percentage gains shrink — but the absolute gains keep growing.
Smaller multiples. Bigger numbers.
🏦 Mainstream Consensus: $250,000 – $350,000
With spot ETFs from giants like BlackRock and Fidelity Investments going mainstream, Bitcoin is no longer a retail-only asset.
If sovereign funds and pension funds allocate even a small percentage, Bitcoin’s market cap could challenge gold’s — currently around $14 trillion.
Digital gold vs physical gold. The narrative is getting stronger. 🪙
🔥 Aggressive Prediction: $500,000+
Banks like Standard Chartered have floated long-term forecasts suggesting BTC could approach this level before 2030 under strong institutional adoption.
If supply keeps tightening and demand scales globally, a parabolic phase isn’t impossible.
But here’s the real test:
Can you survive the quiet years?
2026–2027 might feel boring. Maybe even painful.
Yet if history repeats, $200,000 in 2029 could look cheap in hindsight.
Bitcoin doesn’t reward impatience.
It rewards conviction. 💎
How high do you think this cycle goes?
#bitcoin #crypto #bullmarket #etf #DigitalGold
$BTC
$XRP
$BTC isn’t just moving… it’s following a pattern. And history gives us clues.
According to previous cycles, Bitcoin’s peak typically comes 12–18 months after the halving. If that rhythm holds, the next explosive phase could still be loading. ⚡
Let’s break down the scenarios:
🎯 Base Target: $180,000 – $220,000
The theory of diminishing returns suggests each cycle’s percentage gains shrink — but the absolute gains keep growing.
Smaller multiples. Bigger numbers.
🏦 Mainstream Consensus: $250,000 – $350,000
With spot ETFs from giants like BlackRock and Fidelity Investments going mainstream, Bitcoin is no longer a retail-only asset.
If sovereign funds and pension funds allocate even a small percentage, Bitcoin’s market cap could challenge gold’s — currently around $14 trillion.
Digital gold vs physical gold. The narrative is getting stronger. 🪙
🔥 Aggressive Prediction: $500,000+
Banks like Standard Chartered have floated long-term forecasts suggesting BTC could approach this level before 2030 under strong institutional adoption.
If supply keeps tightening and demand scales globally, a parabolic phase isn’t impossible.
But here’s the real test:
Can you survive the quiet years?
2026–2027 might feel boring. Maybe even painful.
Yet if history repeats, $200,000 in 2029 could look cheap in hindsight.
Bitcoin doesn’t reward impatience.
It rewards conviction. 💎
How high do you think this cycle goes?
#bitcoin #crypto #bullmarket #etf #DigitalGold
$BTC
$XRP
Analysts Can't Agree: Bitcoin to $50K or $200K? Here's What Both Sides Are Saying.
Bitcoin is at $68,000.
And nobody can agree on where it's going next.
The bears say: We're heading to $40K-$50K before any recovery.
The bulls say: This is capitulation $87K to $200K+ is next.
The range: $40,000 to $200,000+.
That's a 150% spread in predictions.
Same market. Same data. Completely different conclusions.
Let me break down what each side is seeing and why both might be partially right.
The Full Spectrum: $40K to $200K
Extreme Bears: $40K-$50K
Who: ZordXBT, John Blank (Zacks), Polymarket traders
The call: Bitcoin drops to $40K-$50K, possibly wicking to $32K
Their argument:
Historical bear markets see 75-85% drops from ATHCurrent 46% drop ($126K → $70K) isn't enoughFinal capitulation hasn't happened yetPolymarket odds: 64% chance Bitcoin goes sub-$50K
Bears: $50K-$55K
Who: Standard Chartered, Canary Capital (Steven McClurg)
The call: Drop to $50K by summer, then recovery to $100K by EOY
Their argument:
ETF outflows continuing ($817M single day, $1.33B weekly)Average ETF buyer sitting on -25% loss (bought at $90K)Macro headwinds (high rates, sticky inflation)Four-year cycle entering bear phase
Standard Chartered's exact words: "We are going to see more pain and a final capitulation period for digital asset prices in the next few months."
Cautious Middle: $60K-$70K Range
Who: Grayscale, cycle-based analysts
The call: Hold current support, range-bound 2026
Their argument:
BTC correlating with high-growth tech stocksNot acting as "digital gold" yetMight be a "breather year" in the four-year cycleSupport should hold at $60K-$70K
Bulls (Near-Term): $87K-$95K
Who: Ainslie Research (Chris Tipper), on-chain analysts
The call: Relief rally to $87K-$95K, then consolidation
Their argument:
Bitcoin oversold vs 50/100-week moving averagesHistorical rallies of 170-220% after undervalued zonesOn-chain showing capitulation signalsShort-term bounce likely before next leg
Institutional Bulls: $143K-$150K
Who: Citi, Standard Chartered (end-2026 target), Grayscale
The call: $143K-$150K by end of 2026
Their argument:
ETF demand will returnInstitutional adoption still earlyFed rate cuts coming (eventually)Four-year cycle might break (no traditional bear in 2026)
Citi's framework: Base case $143K, bull case $189K, bear case $78K
Ultra Bulls: $175K-$200K+
Who: Grayscale (new ATH in H1 2026), CZ, crypto-native analysts
The call: New all-time high above $150K, possibly $200K+
Their argument:
Spot ETFs changed the game (no more 80% crashes)Institutional demand is structural, not cyclicalSupercycle thesis (2026 won't be a bear year)Bitcoin's scarcity + growing demand = inevitable
Grayscale's specific call: "Bitcoin's price will likely reach a new all-time high in the first half of the year"
The Bear Case: Why $50K Could Happen
1. ETF Outflows Are Real
The numbers:
ETF holdings down 100,000 BTC from October peakTotal AUM dropped 41%: $165B → $96BAverage ETF buyer entry price: $90KCurrent price: $70KLoss: -22%
What bears say: Institutions aren't buying the dip. They're selling. When your average buyer is underwater, they don't add they cut losses.
2. Historical Drawdowns Go Deeper
Past bear markets:
2018: -85% ($20K → $3K)2022: -78% ($69K → $15.5K)
Current:
2026: -46% ($126K → $70K)
What bears say: We're only halfway through a typical bear market. History says we go lower.
3. Macro Is Getting Worse
Fed not cutting rates yetInflation still sticky at 2.9-3.1%Dollar strengthening (bad for $BTC )Tech stocks correlating down
What bears say: Bitcoin trades like a risk asset. Risk-off environment = more downside.
4. Standard Chartered's Warning
October 2025: $200K for 2025, $300K for 2026
December 2025: Cut to $100K for 2025, $150K for 2026
February 2026: Cut again to $50K near-term, $100K for EOY 2026
What bears say: If a major bank keeps slashing forecasts, they're seeing real deterioration.
The Bull Case: Why $87K-$200K Could Happen
Now let me show you the data bulls are using.
1. On-Chain Says: Capitulation Zone
The signals:
SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) below 1 = sellers realizing lossesLong-term holders selling at historic ratesExchange outflows accelerating (whales accumulating)Fear & Greed Index hit 5 (lowest ever, worse than FTX collapse)
What bulls say: Extreme fear + whale accumulation = classic bottom formation.
Example: On February 6, whales bought 66,940 BTC in a single day largest since 2022.
2. Undervalued vs Realized Price
Realized Price: $55K (average cost basis of all Bitcoin)
Current Price: $70K
What bulls say: We're trading near realized price. Historically, this is where bottoms form, not where crashes accelerate.
3. Negative Funding Rates = Short Squeeze Setup
Funding rates have been negative for multiple days.
Translation: Shorts are paying longs. Market is overleveraged to the downside.
What bulls say: When everyone's short, a bounce can trigger a massive short squeeze forcing shorts to buy back, spiking price.
4. Historical Rally Patterns
After extreme fear + capitulation:
2018: +316% rally (from $3.2K to $13K in 6 months)2020: +1,625% rally (from $4K to $69K)2022: +715% rally (from $15.5K to $126K)
What bulls say: If this is capitulation, the next rally could be 200-300%+. That's $140K-$210K from current levels.
Who's Right?
Honestly? Maybe both.
Here's my take on how this could play out:
Scenario 1: Bears Win Short-Term, Bulls Win Long-Term
BTC drops to $50K-$55K (capitulation)Stays there for weeks/monthsThen rallies to $87K-$100K by EOYNew ATH ($150K+) in 2027
Probability: 40%
This fits Standard Chartered's revised forecast and historical patterns.
Scenario 2: We Already Bottomed at $67K
$70K holdsRelief rally to $87K-$95KConsolidation, then continuation to $120K-$150K
Probability: 30%
This fits the bull case if Fear & Greed 5 marked the bottom.
Scenario 3: Deeper Crash to $40K Range
Breaks $60K supportCapitulation wick to $40K-$50KThen recovery begins
Probability: 20%
This fits the extreme bear case and Polymarket odds.
Scenario 4: Supercycle (No Traditional Bear)
Consolidates at $70K-$80KRallies to new ATH by mid-2026No deep bear market
Probability: 10%
This fits Grayscale's "end of four-year cycle" thesis.
The Key Data Points to Watch
Forget predictions. Here's what to actually monitor:
1. ETF Flows
If flows turn positive: Bulls are right.
If outflows continue: Bears are right.
Current: Negative. Watch for reversal.
2. Fear & Greed Index
Currently: 15 (Extreme Fear)
If it drops below 10: Possible final capitulation.
If it starts rising: Bottom might be in.
3. $60K Support
Holds: Bulls have a case.
Breaks: Bears take control, next stop $50K.
4. Funding Rates
Stay negative: Short squeeze setup.
Flip positive: Longs getting squeezed instead.
What Should You Do?
Here's my honest advice:
If You're Waiting to Buy
Don't go all-in at one level.
Layer your entries:
20% at current ($70K)30% at $60K50% at $50K
This way you get exposure if bulls are right, but have dry powder if bears are right.
If You're Already Holding
Don't panic sell.
If you believe long-term (2-5 years), this chop doesn't matter.
Bitcoin at $40K, $50K, or $70K all cheap if it's going to $150K-$200K eventually.
If You're Trading
Respect the range.
We're in $60K-$80K chop. Trade the bounces, take profits, don't over-leverage.
The Bottom Line
#bitcoin is at $70,000.
Bears see: $40K-$55K before recovery.
Bulls see: $87K-$200K+ next.
The truth? Nobody knows.
But here's what we DO know:
✅ #etf outflows are real (bearish)
✅ On-chain capitulation signals are real (bullish)
✅ Macro is challenging (bearish)
✅ Fear & Greed at historic lows (bullish)
✅ Historical bear markets go deeper (bearish)
✅ Historical bottoms have this exact setup (bullish)
Both sides have valid data.
The market will decide who's right.
What's your take are we going to $50K before $100K, or is $70K the bottom? And which analyst camp are you in? Let me know below.
And nobody can agree on where it's going next.
The bears say: We're heading to $40K-$50K before any recovery.
The bulls say: This is capitulation $87K to $200K+ is next.
The range: $40,000 to $200,000+.
That's a 150% spread in predictions.
Same market. Same data. Completely different conclusions.
Let me break down what each side is seeing and why both might be partially right.
The Full Spectrum: $40K to $200K
Extreme Bears: $40K-$50K
Who: ZordXBT, John Blank (Zacks), Polymarket traders
The call: Bitcoin drops to $40K-$50K, possibly wicking to $32K
Their argument:
Historical bear markets see 75-85% drops from ATHCurrent 46% drop ($126K → $70K) isn't enoughFinal capitulation hasn't happened yetPolymarket odds: 64% chance Bitcoin goes sub-$50K
Bears: $50K-$55K
Who: Standard Chartered, Canary Capital (Steven McClurg)
The call: Drop to $50K by summer, then recovery to $100K by EOY
Their argument:
ETF outflows continuing ($817M single day, $1.33B weekly)Average ETF buyer sitting on -25% loss (bought at $90K)Macro headwinds (high rates, sticky inflation)Four-year cycle entering bear phase
Standard Chartered's exact words: "We are going to see more pain and a final capitulation period for digital asset prices in the next few months."
Cautious Middle: $60K-$70K Range
Who: Grayscale, cycle-based analysts
The call: Hold current support, range-bound 2026
Their argument:
BTC correlating with high-growth tech stocksNot acting as "digital gold" yetMight be a "breather year" in the four-year cycleSupport should hold at $60K-$70K
Bulls (Near-Term): $87K-$95K
Who: Ainslie Research (Chris Tipper), on-chain analysts
The call: Relief rally to $87K-$95K, then consolidation
Their argument:
Bitcoin oversold vs 50/100-week moving averagesHistorical rallies of 170-220% after undervalued zonesOn-chain showing capitulation signalsShort-term bounce likely before next leg
Institutional Bulls: $143K-$150K
Who: Citi, Standard Chartered (end-2026 target), Grayscale
The call: $143K-$150K by end of 2026
Their argument:
ETF demand will returnInstitutional adoption still earlyFed rate cuts coming (eventually)Four-year cycle might break (no traditional bear in 2026)
Citi's framework: Base case $143K, bull case $189K, bear case $78K
Ultra Bulls: $175K-$200K+
Who: Grayscale (new ATH in H1 2026), CZ, crypto-native analysts
The call: New all-time high above $150K, possibly $200K+
Their argument:
Spot ETFs changed the game (no more 80% crashes)Institutional demand is structural, not cyclicalSupercycle thesis (2026 won't be a bear year)Bitcoin's scarcity + growing demand = inevitable
Grayscale's specific call: "Bitcoin's price will likely reach a new all-time high in the first half of the year"
The Bear Case: Why $50K Could Happen
1. ETF Outflows Are Real
The numbers:
ETF holdings down 100,000 BTC from October peakTotal AUM dropped 41%: $165B → $96BAverage ETF buyer entry price: $90KCurrent price: $70KLoss: -22%
What bears say: Institutions aren't buying the dip. They're selling. When your average buyer is underwater, they don't add they cut losses.
2. Historical Drawdowns Go Deeper
Past bear markets:
2018: -85% ($20K → $3K)2022: -78% ($69K → $15.5K)
Current:
2026: -46% ($126K → $70K)
What bears say: We're only halfway through a typical bear market. History says we go lower.
3. Macro Is Getting Worse
Fed not cutting rates yetInflation still sticky at 2.9-3.1%Dollar strengthening (bad for $BTC )Tech stocks correlating down
What bears say: Bitcoin trades like a risk asset. Risk-off environment = more downside.
4. Standard Chartered's Warning
October 2025: $200K for 2025, $300K for 2026
December 2025: Cut to $100K for 2025, $150K for 2026
February 2026: Cut again to $50K near-term, $100K for EOY 2026
What bears say: If a major bank keeps slashing forecasts, they're seeing real deterioration.
The Bull Case: Why $87K-$200K Could Happen
Now let me show you the data bulls are using.
1. On-Chain Says: Capitulation Zone
The signals:
SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) below 1 = sellers realizing lossesLong-term holders selling at historic ratesExchange outflows accelerating (whales accumulating)Fear & Greed Index hit 5 (lowest ever, worse than FTX collapse)
What bulls say: Extreme fear + whale accumulation = classic bottom formation.
Example: On February 6, whales bought 66,940 BTC in a single day largest since 2022.
2. Undervalued vs Realized Price
Realized Price: $55K (average cost basis of all Bitcoin)
Current Price: $70K
What bulls say: We're trading near realized price. Historically, this is where bottoms form, not where crashes accelerate.
3. Negative Funding Rates = Short Squeeze Setup
Funding rates have been negative for multiple days.
Translation: Shorts are paying longs. Market is overleveraged to the downside.
What bulls say: When everyone's short, a bounce can trigger a massive short squeeze forcing shorts to buy back, spiking price.
4. Historical Rally Patterns
After extreme fear + capitulation:
2018: +316% rally (from $3.2K to $13K in 6 months)2020: +1,625% rally (from $4K to $69K)2022: +715% rally (from $15.5K to $126K)
What bulls say: If this is capitulation, the next rally could be 200-300%+. That's $140K-$210K from current levels.
Who's Right?
Honestly? Maybe both.
Here's my take on how this could play out:
Scenario 1: Bears Win Short-Term, Bulls Win Long-Term
BTC drops to $50K-$55K (capitulation)Stays there for weeks/monthsThen rallies to $87K-$100K by EOYNew ATH ($150K+) in 2027
Probability: 40%
This fits Standard Chartered's revised forecast and historical patterns.
Scenario 2: We Already Bottomed at $67K
$70K holdsRelief rally to $87K-$95KConsolidation, then continuation to $120K-$150K
Probability: 30%
This fits the bull case if Fear & Greed 5 marked the bottom.
Scenario 3: Deeper Crash to $40K Range
Breaks $60K supportCapitulation wick to $40K-$50KThen recovery begins
Probability: 20%
This fits the extreme bear case and Polymarket odds.
Scenario 4: Supercycle (No Traditional Bear)
Consolidates at $70K-$80KRallies to new ATH by mid-2026No deep bear market
Probability: 10%
This fits Grayscale's "end of four-year cycle" thesis.
The Key Data Points to Watch
Forget predictions. Here's what to actually monitor:
1. ETF Flows
If flows turn positive: Bulls are right.
If outflows continue: Bears are right.
Current: Negative. Watch for reversal.
2. Fear & Greed Index
Currently: 15 (Extreme Fear)
If it drops below 10: Possible final capitulation.
If it starts rising: Bottom might be in.
3. $60K Support
Holds: Bulls have a case.
Breaks: Bears take control, next stop $50K.
4. Funding Rates
Stay negative: Short squeeze setup.
Flip positive: Longs getting squeezed instead.
What Should You Do?
Here's my honest advice:
If You're Waiting to Buy
Don't go all-in at one level.
Layer your entries:
20% at current ($70K)30% at $60K50% at $50K
This way you get exposure if bulls are right, but have dry powder if bears are right.
If You're Already Holding
Don't panic sell.
If you believe long-term (2-5 years), this chop doesn't matter.
Bitcoin at $40K, $50K, or $70K all cheap if it's going to $150K-$200K eventually.
If You're Trading
Respect the range.
We're in $60K-$80K chop. Trade the bounces, take profits, don't over-leverage.
The Bottom Line
#bitcoin is at $70,000.
Bears see: $40K-$55K before recovery.
Bulls see: $87K-$200K+ next.
The truth? Nobody knows.
But here's what we DO know:
✅ #etf outflows are real (bearish)
✅ On-chain capitulation signals are real (bullish)
✅ Macro is challenging (bearish)
✅ Fear & Greed at historic lows (bullish)
✅ Historical bear markets go deeper (bearish)
✅ Historical bottoms have this exact setup (bullish)
Both sides have valid data.
The market will decide who's right.
What's your take are we going to $50K before $100K, or is $70K the bottom? And which analyst camp are you in? Let me know below.
Ollie of Wood:
maybe one day it will be at 200,000 but for now I see it more at 50,000 😉🥰
📢 🚨 BREAKING: GRAYSCALE FILES S-1 TO LAUNCH AAVE ETF 🟠
Grayscale — one of the largest crypto asset managers in the world — has filed an S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a decentralized finance ETF focused on $AAVE .
This is a big deal: it would be one of the first ETF vehicles tied to a DeFi protocol token, pushing the boundaries of mainstream regulated investment products in crypto.
⸻
🧠 Why This Matters to Markets
🔹 Crypto ETF Evolution
From Bitcoin and Ethereum to DeFi tokens — ETF products are expanding beyond just the largest assets.
🔹 Institutional Pathway for DeFi Exposure
If approved, this ETF could offer regulated institutional access to $AAVE , a key DeFi governance & collateral token.
🔹 Regulatory Footprint Growth
Grayscale continues to push into regulated ETFs, not just trusts — that’s a signal of capital market maturation.
🔹 Market Confidence Booster
Institutional vehicles = more channels for capital flow → broader adoption narrative.
⸻
📊 What This Could Signal for Traders
✔ Bullish Narrative for $AAVE
ETF product link = potential demand story and sentiment boost.
✔ Sector Rotation Potential
DeFi tokens may get repriced as regulated product expectations rise.
✔ ETF Momentum Story Continues
From BTC → ETH → now #AAVE → markets are watching innovation.
✔ Volatility Catalyst
Expect headline reactions as news spreads and expectations shift.
⸻
🚨 Grayscale files S-1 with the SEC to launch an AAVE ETF! 🟠
DeFi meets regulated investing 📈
Institutional access to #AAVE could be coming 🔥
#AAVE #ETF #DeFi $ETH $AAVE
⸻
📌 TL;DR
✔ Grayscale filing S-1 for AAVE ETF
✔ Could be one of the first DeFi token ETFs
✔ Expands institutional access
✔ Traders watch sentiment + flows
Grayscale — one of the largest crypto asset managers in the world — has filed an S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch a decentralized finance ETF focused on $AAVE .
This is a big deal: it would be one of the first ETF vehicles tied to a DeFi protocol token, pushing the boundaries of mainstream regulated investment products in crypto.
⸻
🧠 Why This Matters to Markets
🔹 Crypto ETF Evolution
From Bitcoin and Ethereum to DeFi tokens — ETF products are expanding beyond just the largest assets.
🔹 Institutional Pathway for DeFi Exposure
If approved, this ETF could offer regulated institutional access to $AAVE , a key DeFi governance & collateral token.
🔹 Regulatory Footprint Growth
Grayscale continues to push into regulated ETFs, not just trusts — that’s a signal of capital market maturation.
🔹 Market Confidence Booster
Institutional vehicles = more channels for capital flow → broader adoption narrative.
⸻
📊 What This Could Signal for Traders
✔ Bullish Narrative for $AAVE
ETF product link = potential demand story and sentiment boost.
✔ Sector Rotation Potential
DeFi tokens may get repriced as regulated product expectations rise.
✔ ETF Momentum Story Continues
From BTC → ETH → now #AAVE → markets are watching innovation.
✔ Volatility Catalyst
Expect headline reactions as news spreads and expectations shift.
⸻
🚨 Grayscale files S-1 with the SEC to launch an AAVE ETF! 🟠
DeFi meets regulated investing 📈
Institutional access to #AAVE could be coming 🔥
#AAVE #ETF #DeFi $ETH $AAVE
⸻
📌 TL;DR
✔ Grayscale filing S-1 for AAVE ETF
✔ Could be one of the first DeFi token ETFs
✔ Expands institutional access
✔ Traders watch sentiment + flows
AAVE ETF FILING ROCKS DEFI. INSTITUTIONAL FLOODGATES OPENING.
This is it. Grayscale just filed with the SEC to turn the AAVE Trust into a spot ETF. Imagine AAVE trading on NYSE Arca. No more complex wallets needed. This is massive adoption. The DeFi world just got a direct on-ramp for Wall Street. Expect insane demand. AAVE already ripped +7.44%. This is the start of something huge. Governance tokens are next.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#AAVE #DeFi #ETF #CryptoNews 🚀
This is it. Grayscale just filed with the SEC to turn the AAVE Trust into a spot ETF. Imagine AAVE trading on NYSE Arca. No more complex wallets needed. This is massive adoption. The DeFi world just got a direct on-ramp for Wall Street. Expect insane demand. AAVE already ripped +7.44%. This is the start of something huge. Governance tokens are next.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
#AAVE #DeFi #ETF #CryptoNews 🚀
🚨 *Today’s Major Crypto & US Policy Updates*
$BTC $ETH
🔹 The *U.S. Supreme Court* is expected to announce its decision on Trump-era tariffs on *February 20* — a ruling that could impact markets.
🔹 White House advisor *Patrick Witt* states that trillions of dollars are potentially ready to enter the crypto market.
🔹 Trump’s Truth Social funds have filed with the SEC for two new crypto ETFs:
* *CRONOS (CRO) with staking*
* *Bitcoin & Ether ETF including ETH staking*
🔹 The crypto market has seen heavy volatility, with approximately *$910 billion wiped out in the last 30 days*.
🔹 Patrick Witt also emphasized that banks should not fear stablecoin yields and called for compromise as the *CLARITY Act* discussions face midterm political pressure.
📊 Markets are moving fast — regulation, ETFs, and institutional capital are shaping the next phase of crypto.
Stay informed. Stay strategic.
#CryptoNews #Ethereum #BTC #Stablecoins #ETF
$BTC $ETH
🔹 The *U.S. Supreme Court* is expected to announce its decision on Trump-era tariffs on *February 20* — a ruling that could impact markets.
🔹 White House advisor *Patrick Witt* states that trillions of dollars are potentially ready to enter the crypto market.
🔹 Trump’s Truth Social funds have filed with the SEC for two new crypto ETFs:
* *CRONOS (CRO) with staking*
* *Bitcoin & Ether ETF including ETH staking*
🔹 The crypto market has seen heavy volatility, with approximately *$910 billion wiped out in the last 30 days*.
🔹 Patrick Witt also emphasized that banks should not fear stablecoin yields and called for compromise as the *CLARITY Act* discussions face midterm political pressure.
📊 Markets are moving fast — regulation, ETFs, and institutional capital are shaping the next phase of crypto.
Stay informed. Stay strategic.
#CryptoNews #Ethereum #BTC #Stablecoins #ETF
ZEC EXPLOSION: PRIVACY COIN ETF CONFIRMED 🚀
Grayscale is launching a $ZEC Spot ETF. This is not a drill.
Institutional money is about to flood into privacy coins. The era of snooping is OVER. $ZEC 's selective disclosure feature is a game-changer. Protect your business secrets. Pay partners privately.
This is the catalyst we've been waiting for. Massive upside incoming. Don't get left behind.
News is for reference, not investment advice.
#ZEC #Crypto #PrivacyCoin #ETF #FOMO 💥
Grayscale is launching a $ZEC Spot ETF. This is not a drill.
Institutional money is about to flood into privacy coins. The era of snooping is OVER. $ZEC 's selective disclosure feature is a game-changer. Protect your business secrets. Pay partners privately.
This is the catalyst we've been waiting for. Massive upside incoming. Don't get left behind.
News is for reference, not investment advice.
#ZEC #Crypto #PrivacyCoin #ETF #FOMO 💥
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