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A Bollinger rebound strategy with tuned parameters: HYPE 2-hour candles, 5x leverage, +1008% in a one-year backtest, profitable in 11 of 13 monthsOver the past year, this strategy returned +1008% in a backtest on Binance HYPEUSDT 2-hour candles, making money in 11 out of 13 months (parameters tuned, 5x leverage, fees included, maximum drawdown 49%). Backtest results only; not investment advice. It's a Bollinger one-sigma rebound strategy on FMZ. With the original parameters, it was profitable in only 5 of 13 months. I tuned the parameters using this year's data; I'll discuss the risk of overfitting in the final section. The example chart uses actual Binance futures HYPEUSDT 2-hour candlesticks (UTC), and the signals were recalculated offline according to the source code rules. Profit and loss figures are from an AlgoRover local backtest, using data up to November 5 at 21:00 Beijing time.

A Bollinger rebound strategy with tuned parameters: HYPE 2-hour candles, 5x leverage, +1008% in a one-year backtest, profitable in 11 of 13 months

Over the past year, this strategy returned +1008% in a backtest on Binance HYPEUSDT 2-hour candles, making money in 11 out of 13 months (parameters tuned, 5x leverage, fees included, maximum drawdown 49%). Backtest results only; not investment advice.
It's a Bollinger one-sigma rebound strategy on FMZ. With the original parameters, it was profitable in only 5 of 13 months. I tuned the parameters using this year's data; I'll discuss the risk of overfitting in the final section.
The example chart uses actual Binance futures HYPEUSDT 2-hour candlesticks (UTC), and the signals were recalculated offline according to the source code rules. Profit and loss figures are from an AlgoRover local backtest, using data up to November 5 at 21:00 Beijing time.
Article
I ran a HYPE strategy on Binance’s 1-hour candles for a full year: +306%, with losses in only 3 of 13 monthsThis strategy returned +306% in a backtest on Binance HYPEUSDT 1-hour candles over the past year, with 10 profitable months out of 13 (default parameters, 3x leverage, fees included, 30% maximum drawdown). Backtest results only; not investment advice. There are only two rules: reverse direction whenever the two volume moving averages cross, and determine the direction from the previous swing’s peak and trough. It doesn’t look at price at all. Let’s break it down. The example chart uses real Binance futures HYPEUSDT 1-hour candlesticks (UTC). Signals were recalculated offline according to the source-code rules; these are not exchange trade records. The conceptual chart uses synthetic data, and the P&L chart comes from a local AlgoRover backtest. Data through November 5 at 02:00 Beijing time.

I ran a HYPE strategy on Binance’s 1-hour candles for a full year: +306%, with losses in only 3 of 13 months

This strategy returned +306% in a backtest on Binance HYPEUSDT 1-hour candles over the past year, with 10 profitable months out of 13 (default parameters, 3x leverage, fees included, 30% maximum drawdown). Backtest results only; not investment advice.
There are only two rules: reverse direction whenever the two volume moving averages cross, and determine the direction from the previous swing’s peak and trough. It doesn’t look at price at all. Let’s break it down.
The example chart uses real Binance futures HYPEUSDT 1-hour candlesticks (UTC). Signals were recalculated offline according to the source-code rules; these are not exchange trade records. The conceptual chart uses synthetic data, and the P&L chart comes from a local AlgoRover backtest. Data through November 5 at 02:00 Beijing time.
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