RussiaCrypto

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1. Influence on the Global Economy
Crude oil prices greatly influence the global economy. When oil prices rise sharply, production and transportation costs also increase, which can trigger inflation. In such conditions, investors often seek hedge assets, including gold and Bitcoin. Conversely, if oil prices drop drastically and trigger an economic recession, investors may turn to safer assets, which could lead to sell-offs in the crypto market.

#Trump2024 #TrumpCrypto #BitcoinPizzaDay2024 #russiacrypto #trump
Introduction :

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has become one of the most complex geopolitical crises of the 21st century, drawing in global powers and reshaping alliances. Amidst this turmoil, former U.S. President Donald Trump's stance on the issue has sparked heated debates. Trump's historical connection with Russia and his public comments on Ukraine make him a polarizing figure when discussing potential resolutions to the war. Some see Trump as uniquely positioned to broker peace, while others fear his policies could embolden Russia, leading to further escalation. As tensions persist, investors, policymakers, and citizens alike are left wondering: would Trump's return to power offer a path toward resolution or deepen the conflict?

Trump's Historical Stance on Russia and Ukraine :

To understand Trump's approach to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, one must examine his historical relationships with both countries. Throughout his presidency (2016-2020), Trump's attitude towards Russia was notably softer than his predecessors. He frequently expressed admiration for Russian President Vladimir Putin, often lauding his leadership qualities. This stance was especially apparent in 2018 when Trump publicly cast doubt on U.S. intelligence agencies' conclusions regarding Russian interference in the 2016 elections, siding with Putin during a joint press conference in Helsinki.
Trump’s seemingly favourable view of Russia was a constant point of contention, leading to investigations and accusations of collusion. His administration, however, did implement some sanctions on Russia following its annexation of Crimea in 2014, but these moves were largely perceived as actions driven by Congress rather than the White House itself.
On Ukraine, Trump’s relationship was far more contentious. His presidency saw the infamous impeachment over a phone call with Ukrainian President Vlodymir Zelensky, in which Trump was accused of withholding military aid in exchange for political favors. This left an indelible mark on his legacy and reinforced the perception that he placed his political interests above the geopolitical stability of Eastern Europe.
Given this background, how might Trump's past views and actions shape his approach to the ongoing war?

The Peacekeeper or the Escalator?

A critical question surrounding Trump’s potential involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war is whether he would act as a peacekeeper or an escalator. Trump has frequently touted his ability to negotiate deals and bring conflicting parties to the table. In fact, he has claimed that if re-elected, he could end the war within 24 hours through his unique negotiating prowess.
His argument for this quick resolution hinges on his perceived closeness with Putin. Trump has suggested that his rapport with the Russian leader could be the key to stopping further aggression. In Trump's view, his administration's diplomacy could prevent Russia from feeling cornered by the West, offering them an off-ramp to end the war without "losing face."

On the other hand, critics argue that Trump's approach to Russia could embolden Putin and lead to further destabilization in the region. His warm rhetoric towards Moscow, critics say, may signal to Russia that they could push their ambitions without significant pushback from the U.S. This would be a marked departure from the Biden administration's strong backing of Ukraine through military aid, sanctions, and diplomatic efforts to rally NATO allies.

Investors, particularly those with interests in energy, defense, and Eastern European markets, are deeply concerned about what such a shift might mean for global stability. A more lenient stance towards Russia could lead to prolonged conflict, volatility in markets, and fluctuating energy prices—especially given Europe's reliance on Russian natural gas. For many, the stakes of Trump's return to the global stage are high.

Impact on U.S. Foreign Policy: A Return to "America First"?

Trump's "America First" foreign policy was one of the hallmarks of his presidency, and it could play a significant role in how he approaches the Russia-Ukraine war moving forward. During his time in office, Trump often questioned the value of U.S. involvement in global conflicts, criticizing NATO allies for not pulling their weight. His emphasis was on reducing American military entanglements abroad and focusing on domestic economic interests.
If Trump were to regain influence, it's plausible that he would shift the U.S. focus away from the war in Ukraine and prioritize economic interests, especially concerning energy independence. The U.S. could potentially see a reduction in its military and financial aid to Ukraine, pushing Europe to take on a more significant role in resolving the conflict.
For U.S. investors, especially those involved in industries like manufacturing, energy, and defense, this potential shift could lead to both opportunities and risks. Less U.S. involvement in Ukraine might ease tensions with Russia, reducing energy supply risks and stabilizing oil prices. On the other hand, reduced American leadership could mean greater instability in the long run, leading to prolonged market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty.

The Investor’s Perspective: Risks and Opportunities

The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has far-reaching consequences for global markets, particularly in sectors such as energy, defense, and agriculture. Since the beginning of the war, sanctions against Russia have had profound effects on global energy prices, with Europe suffering from the disruption of Russian natural gas supplies. Investors have seen sharp fluctuations in the energy sector, prompting shifts toward renewable energy and alternative energy sources.
Trump’s potential approach to the war could either stabilize or further unsettle these markets. If he adopts a more lenient stance towards Russia and reduces U.S. involvement, energy markets could see reduced volatility in the short term. Russia may be more willing to negotiate over its energy exports, bringing some relief to European economies and, by extension, U.S. investors with stakes in global energy firms.
On the other hand, the defense sector could face increased uncertainty. The Biden administration’s strong support for Ukraine has bolstered defense contractors through expanded arms sales to Eastern Europe and NATO allies. A Trump-led pullback could dampen demand for U.S. defense exports, impacting companies heavily reliant on government contracts.
Additionally, agricultural markets would continue to be in flux. Both Russia and Ukraine are major grain exporters, and the war has already disrupted global food supplies. A Trump-negotiated peace could lead to more stable global agricultural markets, but any perceived softness on Russia could prolong the conflict and exacerbate global food insecurity.

Public Opinion and Trump’s Re-election Prospects

Trump’s stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict could play a critical role in his re-election campaign. In 2024, foreign policy is likely to be a significant issue, particularly as Americans become increasingly aware of the global implications of the war. While Trump’s supporters may see his relationship with Putin as an asset, others are deeply skeptical, fearing that his policies could lead to greater instability.
Polling data suggests a nation divided. Many Republicans believe that Trump’s no-nonsense, business-like approach could bring a swift end to the war. However, a significant portion of the electorate, including independents and Democrats, remain wary of Trump's coziness with Russia and are concerned that a shift in U.S. policy under his leadership could escalate tensions.

Conclusion: A Critical Juncture

As the war in Ukraine drags on, Trump’s potential return to power raises essential questions about the future of global diplomacy and conflict resolution. Would his historical affinity for Russia and disdain for traditional U.S. alliances pave the way for a peaceful resolution, or would it signal a dangerous shift towards appeasement and escalation?

For U.S. investors and citizens alike, the answer could shape the future of global markets, energy stability, and geopolitical alliances. Whether Trump’s approach would lead to resolution or escalation, one thing is clear: his involvement would mark a significant turning point in the ongoing crisis. In a world already fraught with uncertainty, the stakes could not be higher.

A Russian citizen from Yakutsk has been sentenced to seven years in prison for providing financial support to the Ukrainian armed forces through cryptocurrencies. This is the first time a Russian court has issued a public verdict regarding the use of cryptocurrencies to finance a military organization that Russia considers hostile.
Financial support is classified as treason.

In a recent development, Deribit crypto exchange has announced its exit from Russia due to sanctions introduced by the European Union, according to the statement posted on its website. As a Dutch-owned platform, Deribit must adhere to EU sanctions. The exchange will no longer accept Russian nationals or residents as clients, unless exceptions apply.
” Due to EU sanctions against Russia, Deribit is no longer able to accept Russian nationals and Russian residents as its clients, unless an exception applies. Since Deribit’s parent company is Dutch, these EU sanctions are relevant to us,” the crypto exchange noted.
Due to EU sanctions, Deribit has restricted access to its platform for Russian nationals. Russian nationals can only use the exchange’s services if they are also citizens of an EEA member country or Switzerland, or if they have permanent residency in one of these countries.
Deribit Limits Russian Access: Some Residents Can Use Platform
For example,Russian nationals residing in Ireland or that are also nationals of Denmark can use Deribit services. However, Russians residing in the UAE are still prohibited from using the platform. Furthermore, the exchange does not make exceptions for Russian companies, which means they are also unable to access Deribit’s services.
An email from Deribit to clients explains that Russian accounts will enter “reduce-only mode” starting February 17, 2025, meaning traders can only close positions or place new orders that reduce risk. All open positions will be closed on March 29, 2025, but there will be no restrictions on withdrawing assets.
Originally founded in the Netherlands in 2016, Deribit is now based in Panama. This move followed a 2020 EU directive that required crypto platforms to identify customers through new rigorous anti-money-laundering (AML) rules.
In a statement, Deribit stated that they believe crypto markets should be accessible to everyone. They found the new regulations imposed by the EU to be too restrictive and costly for many traders. As a result, they chose to move to a more favorable regulatory environment.
#CryptoRegulations #RussiaCrypto #Write2Earn #BitcoinWhaleMove

🔔 MARKET MOVING NEWS! (25/12/24)

1️⃣ Russia Imposes 6-Year Ban on Crypto Mining in 10 Regions, Citing Energy Use ⛏
#RussiaCrypto
According to local media reports, the Russian government has imposed a six-year ban on crypto mining in 10 regions due to the industry's high power consumption. The ban takes effect on Jan. 1 2025 and ends on March 15, 2031. It includes seasonal restrictions in key cryptocurrency mining regions to prevent energy blackouts. The restrictions align with Russia’s cryptocurrency mining laws signed by the president in August and October 2024.

2️⃣ Hacker Breaches 15 X Accounts, Nets $500K Boosting Bogus Memecoins: ZachXBT ❓
#HackerAlert
According to the onchain sleuth ZachXBT, over $500,000 in funds stolen via memecoin phishing scams were connected to one threat actor. He reported that the perpetrator tricked X users into handing them control over their accounts by impersonating the X team and issuing fake copyright infringement notices. ZachXBT claims that over 15 X accounts were compromised this way, including those belonging to Kick, Cursor, The Arena, Brett and Alex Blania. Many of these X accounts have large audiences, with well over 200,000 followers who are mainly memecoin enthusiasts looking to catch the next hot tip.

3️⃣ Montenegro Court Rejects Do Kwon’s Extradition Appeal ▶️
#Montenegro
Montenegro’s Constitutional Court has reportedly dismissed Terraform Labs co-founder Do Kwon’s extradition appeal. The court cited legal inconsistencies in Kwon’s appeal, effectively upholding an earlier ruling favouring his extradition. This decision is significant as the international extradition case will potentially set a precedent for cross-border accountability in crypto.

4️⃣ Over 30% Of South Koreans Invest In Crypto Assets 🔍
#SouthKoreaCrypto
According to the South Korean media outlet Yonhap News, the number of crypto users in the country increased by 610,000 in November after Donald Trump won the United States presidential election. Representative Lim Kwang-Hyun of the Democratic Party of Korea shared data showing that digital asset investors in the country at the end of November totalled 15.6 million. Notably, with a population of 51.7 million, this means that over 30% of its citizens are crypto holders. Yonhap said the data was collected and released following the country’s new regulations on crypto exchanges. This is also the first time statistical data related to crypto has been released in the country.

5️⃣ Little-Known Canadian Crypto Firm Matador Adds Bitcoin To Its Books 💸
#MatadorTechnologies
Canadian real-world asset tokenisation firm Matador Technologies has reportedly become the latest company to incorporate BTC in its treasury. The firm's board of directors unanimously approved adding Bitcoin and “USD-denominated assets” to its balance sheet as part of its “long-term capital preservation strategy.” The firm is also planning to convert the majority of its cash balance sheet from Canadian dollars to US dollars.

Sunny Ray, president of Matador, stated,

Matador’s Board and management believe in using Bitcoin to future-proof our treasury. This step also supports our mission to explore using Bitcoin as a platform for our gold-based products.

A Russian citizen from Yakutsk has been sentenced to seven years in prison for providing financial support to the Ukrainian armed forces through cryptocurrency. This marks the first public ruling by a Russian court involving the use of cryptocurrency to fund a military organization deemed hostile by Russia.
Financial Support Classified as Treason
According to Russian media outlet Izvestia, the man was charged with "treason in the form of providing financial assistance to a foreign state or organization," which is considered a threat to the security interests of the Russian Federation. Criminal proceedings were initiated under Article 275 of the Russian Criminal Code.
The Federal Security Service (FSB) reported that the man, born in 1988, was detained and placed in a high-security facility. While his identity has not been disclosed, it is known that he worked for a diamond mining company in the Sakha Republic, also known as Yakutia.
How the Funding Took Place
The man allegedly joined an online group that connected him with the Ukrainian armed forces. Through this group, he received instructions on transferring funds via a cryptocurrency wallet. These funds were then used to support the Ukrainian military, which Russia officially designates as a "terrorist organization."
Cryptocurrencies and the Ukraine Conflict
Since the onset of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukraine has received millions of dollars in cryptocurrency donations. In 2024 alone, decentralized finance transactions in Ukraine surged by over 362%, exceeding $10 million by October.
The Ukrainian government plans to legalize cryptocurrencies by 2025, treating them as securities. Even after converting crypto into traditional currency, the funds will be taxed to prevent tax evasion.
Russia and Cryptocurrencies: A Tool for Evading Sanctions
The Ukrainian government is also pushing for sanctions against Russia's use of cryptocurrencies. Russia's finance minister previously stated that the country uses cryptocurrencies as a way to bypass Western sanctions, further escalating tensions between the two nations.

#CryptoRegulation , #RussiaCrypto , #CryptoNewss , #blockchain , #BTC

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